NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	92		Excitement	4.4 [923]		MVP	Shawn Marion (PHX): +4.9%
Washington Wizards	83		Comeback	1.0 [1075]		LVP	Tracy Murray (WAS): -18.9%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Marion	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	9	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	10	67%	0.05	1	-0.01	10	80%	0.01
Corie Blount	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.07	11	46%	0.02	3	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Rex Chapman	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	3	56%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Rodney Rogers	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.04	11	67%	0.03	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Anfernee Hardaway	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	8	62%	0.02	4	-0.06	5	100%	0.01
Randy Livingston	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	7	29%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	-0.09	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.17	-0.00	-0.07	13	28%	-0.07	2	-0.02	6	33%	-0.04

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Whitney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.01	0.05	7	93%	0.07	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Gerard King	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	8	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ike Austin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	3	75%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	12	44%	0.01	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Jahidi White	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	9	50%	-0.06	2	-0.02	4	25%	-0.06
Mitch Richmond	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	15	50%	-0.01	3	-0.08	8	87%	0.01
Rod Strickland	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.16	-0.03	-0.03	14	29%	-0.08	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Tracy Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.18	-0.03	-0.02	13	14%	-0.17	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	2.3	30.6	15.3	23.6	2.3	24.7	122.0
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +35.1%

PHX +2.9%

WAS -1.9%

PHX +11.0%

PHX +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	WAS	NBA	PHX	WAS	NBA
this game	14.7	15.0	15.2	95.8	84.7	101.7
season	14.8	15.5		101.4	101.1
opponent	14.8	15.3		104.4	96.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	12.1	15.4	14.2	17.4	14.7
WAS	16.7	12.4	15.2	16.0	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tom Gugliotta	77	77	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.19	12	-3	15	14.9	13.9	0.91	15.2	14.2	1.04
Jason Kidd	75	75	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.10	12	-3	15	14.1	16.7	-2.61	14.9	15.2	-0.27
Anfernee Hardaway	74	75	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.24	5	4	1	13.7	17.9	-4.13	14.3	17.5	-3.22
Clifford Robinson	65	65	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.23	5	4	1	13.6	16.9	-3.34	14.8	15.4	-0.53
Rodney Rogers	71	72	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.26	0	9	-9	15.1	13.5	1.56	15.0	14.9	0.12
Corie Blount	32	35	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.06	8	1	7	15.1	14.5	0.62	15.2	14.9	0.25
Shawn Marion	43	45	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.09	2	7	-5	15.0	14.4	0.58	14.7	15.3	-0.55
Rex Chapman	22	23	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.00	4	5	-1	17.9	13.7	4.13	17.5	14.3	3.22
Randy Livingston	21	23	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.13	-3	12	-15	16.7	14.1	2.61	15.2	14.9	0.27

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Hamilton	15	14	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.11	3	-12	15	16.2	14.8	1.40	13.9	14.8	-0.88
Ike Austin	27	26	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.21	6	-15	21	13.9	15.5	-1.60	15.4	14.4	0.97
Aaron Williams	37	35	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.27	6	-15	21	14.2	15.5	-1.23	15.6	14.2	1.41
Gerard King	13	13	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.14	-11	2	-13	17.6	14.6	3.00	15.4	14.6	0.82
Chris Whitney	42	42	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.40	7	-16	23	13.7	16.0	-2.27	15.8	13.8	1.97
Tracy Murray	72	69	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.20	-3	-6	3	14.7	16.0	-1.29	14.2	15.9	-1.69
Rod Strickland	56	54	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.16	-16	7	-23	16.0	13.7	2.27	13.8	15.8	-1.97
Juwan Howard	82	82	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.18	-8	-1	-7	14.8	15.9	-1.03	14.7	14.4	0.37
Jahidi White	62	62	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.02	-17	8	-25	15.9	13.4	2.47	14.2	15.6	-1.37
Mitch Richmond	84	83	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.13	-12	3	-15	14.9	15.7	-0.82	14.8	13.9	0.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.26,0.28,0.29,0.21,0.2,0.15,0.14,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.23,0.3,0.3,0.23,0.18,0.25,0.22,0.27,0.23,0.22,0.14,0.07,0.1,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.11,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 103, DET 90	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.21,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.21,0.13,0.21,0.33,0.27,0.22,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0	94.8%
CHH 106, GSW 89	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.33,0.26,0.24,0.28,0.26,0.24,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.21,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.16,0.18,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%
DAL 109, SAC 91	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.28,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.22,0.14,0.12,0.16,0.2,0.22,0.29,0.23,0.23,0.1,0.17,0.2,0.25,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.7%