NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	95		Excitement	6.1 [609]		MVP	Michael Carter-Williams (MIL): +19.4%
Milwaukee Bucks	108		Comeback	1.2 [296]		LVP	Andre Iguodala (GSW): -15.9%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.02	0.01	22	55%	0.09	2	-0.01	7	86%	0.01
Brandon Rush	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	6	43%	0.02	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Thompson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Michael McAdoo	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Clark	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Klay Thompson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.08	-0.00	-0.06	14	37%	-0.03	2	0.01	4	50%	-0.01
Festus Ezeli	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.04	0.01	8	59%	0.04	2	-0.06	6	50%	-0.05
Shaun Livingston	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	6	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.05	-0.07	0.05	14	71%	0.11	6	-0.17	6	83%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.03	0.02	4	25%	-0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.13	-0.05	-0.02	9	11%	-0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Carter-Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.11	0.10	0.02	10	74%	0.21	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.12	0.03	0.04	17	68%	0.17	3	-0.06	7	86%	0.01
Jabari Parker	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.02	-0.00	14	61%	0.13	2	-0.04	3	33%	-0.03
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.00	13	64%	0.11	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.05
Rashad Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	10	48%	0.05	4	-0.10	3	67%	0.00
John Henson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	8	37%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Khris Middleton	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	0.01	-0.00	12	29%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Johnny O'Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	5	20%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.4	28.7	15.3	28.6	2.3	27.3	127.0
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +46.8%

MIL +9.4%

MIL +0.9%

GSW -7.7%

MIL +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	MIL	NBA	GSW	MIL	NBA
this game	13.5	14.7	14.9	93.1	105.9	105.1
season	13.7	14.8		112.3	102.8
opponent	15.3	15.1		107.2	102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	13.5	14.8	12.1	13.8	13.5
MIL	13.1	14.0	14.6	17.5	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Michael McAdoo	3	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-13	13	12.7	13.5	-0.87	12.0	14.8	-2.78
Ian Clark	3	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-13	13	12.7	13.5	-0.87	12.0	14.8	-2.78
Brandon Rush	43	41	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.05	-3	-10	7	13.0	13.9	-0.88	13.6	15.5	-1.95
Stephen Curry	75	77	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.06	0	-13	13	12.8	15.6	-2.78	14.8	14.6	0.11
Marreese Speights	11	11	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.02	-3	-10	7	15.6	13.3	2.38	14.4	14.8	-0.41
Draymond Green	79	80	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.07	-1	-12	11	12.6	16.6	-4.00	14.6	15.1	-0.52
Andrew Bogut	49	50	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.04	-5	-8	3	13.1	13.8	-0.71	13.6	15.8	-2.17
Klay Thompson	64	66	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.04	-5	-8	3	12.7	14.8	-2.04	15.4	13.5	1.89
Shaun Livingston	48	49	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.17	-5	-8	3	13.7	13.3	0.45	15.9	13.7	2.22
Jason Thompson	9	9	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.07	-9	-4	-5	19.1	13.0	6.14	16.8	14.5	2.25
Festus Ezeli	42	41	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.17	-7	-6	-1	14.9	12.5	2.41	14.8	14.7	0.17
Leandro Barbosa	27	25	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.06	-13	0	-13	15.6	12.8	2.78	14.6	14.8	-0.11
Andre Iguodala	57	57	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.07	-14	1	-15	13.9	13.1	0.79	14.8	14.6	0.15

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Carter-Williams	60	62	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.03	22	-9	31	14.8	14.6	0.26	14.5	12.0	2.40
Greg Monroe	75	75	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.07	17	-4	21	14.7	14.7	-0.02	13.5	13.5	0.04
Khris Middleton	82	81	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.07	13	0	13	15.0	13.4	1.65	13.3	14.2	-0.92
Giannis Antetokounmpo	91	91	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.21	3	10	-7	15.1	11.5	3.56	13.3	15.0	-1.67
Johnny O'Bryant	29	28	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.20	2	11	-9	14.8	14.7	0.05	15.5	12.8	2.74
Jabari Parker	63	63	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.06	10	3	7	14.0	15.9	-1.94	13.2	14.0	-0.79
O.J. Mayo	64	63	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.05	6	7	-1	14.9	14.5	0.36	12.3	15.4	-3.08
Rashad Vaughn	19	20	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.09	-4	17	-21	13.1	15.1	-1.99	14.0	13.4	0.67
John Henson	27	27	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.05	-4	17	-21	14.7	14.7	0.02	13.5	13.5	-0.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.73,0.7,0.54,0.56,0.45,0.49,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.78,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.71,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.71,0.55,0.66,0.77,0.63,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.87,0.84,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.93,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 96, PHX 107	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.7,0.79,0.74,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.8,0.73,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.64,0.54,0.62,0.72,0.83,0.85,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	93.9%
MEM 89, SAS 103	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.65,0.56,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.75,0.78,0.75,0.81,0.77,0.85,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.68,0.67,0.73,0.77,0.68,0.66,0.82,0.79,0.86,0.85,0.97,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	92.9%
LAC 102, HOU 106	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.85,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.74,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.66,0.7,0.79,0.72,0.81,0.83,0.85,0.87,0.89,0.96,0.99,0.99,1	92.7%