NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	96		Excitement	5.2 [790]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +21.4%
Phoenix Suns	107		Comeback	1.0 [1167]		LVP	Kwame Brown (LAL): -10.5%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.21	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.18,0.24,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.26	0.00	0.05	33	67%	0.28	2	-0.06	10	80%	-0.00
Smush Parker	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.03	-0.00	13	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Luke Walton	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cook	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.01	-0.05	4	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.07	12	65%	0.03	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Devean George	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.01	-0.04	5	17%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Jim Jackson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	7	25%	-0.04	2	-0.07	2	0%	-0.05

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Nash	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.02	-0.05	17	69%	0.21	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
James Jones	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.01	10	55%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.14	-0.01	0.06	15	74%	0.11	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Raja Bell	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.01	10	55%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.05	0.02	11	55%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	11	45%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	11	55%	0.06	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	6	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	3.4	30.3	18.6	25.4	3.5	26.3	130.5
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +28.4%

PHX +2.0%

PHX +1.9%

PHX +11.9%

PHX +5.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	PHX	NBA	LAL	PHX	NBA
this game	16.0	14.5	15.6	101.1	113.8	104.4
season	15.6	13.8		106.2	110.2
opponent	16.1	15.5		105.8	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	16.4	16.0	14.9	16.6	16.0
PHX	12.0	12.1	15.7	19.4	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Cook	26	26	0.12	-0.62	0.73	-0.00	4	-15	19	16.5	15.8	0.68	12.7	15.2	-2.45
Kwame Brown	35	34	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.01	-3	-8	5	16.5	15.6	0.86	13.5	15.0	-1.52
Smush Parker	83	83	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.21	1	-12	13	15.4	19.6	-4.14	14.5	14.8	-0.36
Jim Jackson	18	17	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.00	-9	-2	-7	17.3	15.6	1.68	11.4	15.2	-3.84
Kobe Bryant	83	82	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.10	-6	-5	-1	15.7	17.5	-1.75	14.5	14.5	0.00
Luke Walton	51	50	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.08	-10	-1	-9	15.8	16.2	-0.36	16.0	12.7	3.29
Sasha Vujacic	44	44	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.13	-9	-2	-7	16.3	15.7	0.61	14.6	14.4	0.13
Lamar Odom	88	88	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.26	-5	-6	1	16.0	16.0	-0.03	14.8	10.2	4.63
Devean George	47	46	-0.66	0.16	-0.81	-0.13	-18	7	-25	16.0	16.0	-0.02	15.2	13.9	1.28

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Leandro Barbosa	70	71	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.18	14	-3	17	15.1	12.9	2.18	15.8	16.5	-0.71
Shawn Marion	80	80	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.26	10	1	9	14.8	12.9	1.93	16.0	15.9	0.04
Boris Diaw	81	83	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.16	9	2	7	14.2	16.4	-2.19	16.3	13.7	2.63
Raja Bell	77	78	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.05	10	1	9	14.7	13.6	1.11	15.9	16.4	-0.47
Steve Nash	69	69	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.08	8	3	5	14.5	14.6	-0.08	15.5	17.3	-1.84
James Jones	41	41	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.05	8	3	5	13.1	15.6	-2.49	16.9	15.3	1.56
Eddie House	25	26	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.09	3	8	-5	14.6	14.5	0.08	17.3	15.5	1.84
Tim Thomas	27	27	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.01	-7	18	-25	14.7	14.4	0.23	14.3	16.6	-2.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.7,0.79,0.74,0.8,0.8,0.8,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.8,0.73,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.64,0.54,0.62,0.72,0.83,0.85,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 95, MIL 108	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.65,0.73,0.7,0.54,0.56,0.45,0.49,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.78,0.81,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.71,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.71,0.55,0.66,0.77,0.63,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.87,0.84,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.93,0.99,1,1,1	93.9%
NOH 98, BKN 108	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.75,0.68,0.62,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.69,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.76,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.72,0.76,0.7,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.71,0.58,0.7,0.7,0.86,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.92,0.98,1,1,1,1	93.9%
DEN 90, SAS 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.69,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.78,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.74,0.82,0.8,0.76,0.7,0.77,0.8,0.72,0.74,0.77,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.87,0.92,0.89,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	93.6%