NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	98		Excitement	5.3 [757]		MVP	MarShon Brooks (BKN): +21.4%
Brooklyn Nets	108		Comeback	1.2 [1015]		LVP	CJ Watson (BKN): -8.5%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lance Thomas	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.08	0.03	0.00	4	100%	0.16	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Anthony Davis	0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.04	0.03	14	61%	0.13	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.04
Roger Mason Jr.	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.05	-0.01	6	58%	0.11	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.12	-0.01	0.07	17	62%	0.08	1	-0.04	5	100%	0.03
Robin Lopez	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	-0.01	0.04	10	65%	0.06	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Brian Roberts	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lou Amundson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miller	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Greivis Vasquez	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	15	43%	0.01	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
MarShon Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.18,0.22,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.12	0.10	0.01	6	82%	0.21	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Brook Lopez	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.16	0.04	0.04	15	68%	0.16	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.01
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.07	0.01	15	60%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.03	-0.05	9	48%	0.11	0	0.00	9	78%	0.02
Deron Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.02,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.03	-0.04	19	47%	0.12	2	-0.06	7	71%	0.02
Mirza Teletovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tyshawn Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	5	33%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	1.7	26.0	16.0	26.8	1.5	33.3	130.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN +18.9%

BKN +6.3%

BKN +11.9%

BKN +9.3%

BKN +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	BKN	NBA	NOH	BKN	NBA
this game	16.6	16.9	15.4	114.0	125.6	104.1
season	16.3	16.5		103.9	106.5
opponent	15.4	15.6		104.2	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	16.7	16.3	16.0	17.6	16.6
BKN	16.0	15.0	17.6	19.2	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darius Miller	23	23	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.14	3	-13	16	17.2	16.4	0.80	15.4	17.4	-2.01
Lou Amundson	7	8	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.10	-8	-2	-6	16.9	16.6	0.25	14.2	17.1	-2.88
Al-Farouq Aminu	41	41	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.06	-7	-3	-4	16.0	17.2	-1.20	17.1	16.6	0.50
Lance Thomas	32	32	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.13	-1	-9	8	17.3	16.2	1.09	15.2	17.8	-2.61
Roger Mason Jr.	42	42	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.22	1	-11	12	17.4	15.9	1.47	17.2	16.5	0.74
Anthony Davis	67	66	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.26	0	-10	10	16.7	16.5	0.20	17.1	15.9	1.19
Brian Roberts	22	21	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.14	-4	-6	2	20.7	15.2	5.51	14.0	17.8	-3.72
Eric Gordon	58	58	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.07	-8	-2	-6	15.9	18.0	-2.09	17.5	15.6	1.86
Robin Lopez	66	66	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.12	-11	1	-12	16.2	17.9	-1.72	17.7	14.1	3.60
Greivis Vasquez	72	73	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.11	-15	5	-20	15.7	21.6	-5.99	17.3	14.5	2.83

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Deron Williams	71	71	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.02	20	-10	30	17.4	14.5	2.90	15.6	21.3	-5.70
Andray Blatche	52	51	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.24	7	3	4	16.8	17.0	-0.18	16.5	16.9	-0.39
Mirza Teletovic	23	23	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.21	7	3	4	15.2	17.5	-2.24	16.6	16.7	-0.09
Gerald Wallace	49	50	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.01	13	-3	16	17.8	15.6	2.22	17.1	16.0	1.13
CJ Watson	59	58	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.02	12	-2	14	17.4	15.7	1.69	16.6	16.8	-0.23
Keith Bogans	31	32	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.15	1	9	-8	15.4	17.7	-2.35	17.5	16.1	1.44
MarShon Brooks	42	41	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.30	-6	16	-22	15.7	18.0	-2.24	16.6	16.7	-0.13
Brook Lopez	55	56	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.03	5	5	0	17.6	15.5	2.10	17.1	15.8	1.32
Reggie Evans	42	42	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.01	1	9	-8	16.9	16.9	-0.01	16.2	17.0	-0.76
Tyshawn Taylor	6	6	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.12	-10	20	-30	13.7	17.1	-3.43	20.8	16.3	4.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.71,0.75,0.68,0.62,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.69,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.76,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.72,0.76,0.7,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.71,0.58,0.7,0.7,0.86,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.92,0.98,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOP 84, CLE 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.76,0.77,0.77,0.77,0.85,0.8,0.8,0.74,0.8,0.7,0.75,0.67,0.74,0.71,0.81,0.8,0.81,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.67,0.85,0.83,0.94,0.97,0.93,0.99,1,1,1	94.4%
DEN 90, SAS 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.69,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.78,0.72,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.74,0.82,0.8,0.76,0.7,0.77,0.8,0.72,0.74,0.77,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.87,0.92,0.89,0.93,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	94.1%
NOH 91, SAS 102	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.62,0.7,0.72,0.68,0.73,0.65,0.63,0.72,0.79,0.71,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.75,0.79,0.74,0.71,0.75,0.66,0.72,0.68,0.7,0.85,0.75,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.99,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.0%