NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	114		Excitement	7.7 [320]		MVP	James Harden (HOU): +35.4%
Houston Rockets	116		Comeback	5.1 [533]		LVP	Phil Pressey (PHI): -10.4%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerami Grant	0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.06,0.17,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.07	0.11	-0.00	13	60%	0.23	1	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
TJ McConnell	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11	0.02	0.08	-0.00	4	75%	0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Hollis Thompson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.00	8	53%	0.08	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Richaun Holmes	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nik Stauskas	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	4	40%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Isaiah Canaan	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	-0.04	0.01	17	62%	0.10	3	-0.07	3	33%	-0.02
Robert Covington	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.05,0.03	0.18	-0.10	0.06	12	85%	0.16	4	-0.13	9	89%	0.04
Jahlil Okafor	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.05	-0.00	12	39%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
JaKarr Sampson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Phil Pressey	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	6	31%	-0.09	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Harden	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.16,0.19,0.22,0.26,0.28,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.14,0.29,0.25,0.19,0.39,0.33,0.35	0.35	0.16	0.19	-0.00	28	66%	0.63	9	-0.28	20	80%	0.06
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.04	0.14	-0.01	1	100%	0.23	2	-0.03	5	80%	0.02
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.02	0.01	7	64%	0.09	1	-0.05	8	75%	-0.02
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	5	60%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	5	50%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.02	0.01	7	75%	0.06	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Patrick Beverley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	62%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jason Terry	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	13	46%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Ty Lawson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	3	67%	0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	1.8	28.3	15.0	26.2	2.5	44.7	144.0
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +9.7%

HOU +39.9%

HOU +29.3%

PHI -23.0%

PHI -5.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	HOU	NBA	PHI	HOU	NBA
this game	14.4	13.8	14.9	110.7	114.9	105.1
season	14.8	14.0		97.7	105.9
opponent	15.1	14.2		106.9	108.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.2	13.5	15.2	14.8	14.4
HOU	14.6	14.2	13.6	12.9	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nik Stauskas	35	33	0.42	-0.92	1.34	-0.08	17	-19	36	13.1	15.1	-2.05	13.7	13.9	-0.23
TJ McConnell	55	52	0.22	-0.72	0.94	-0.10	11	-13	24	13.6	15.3	-1.69	14.5	13.1	1.40
Richaun Holmes	19	21	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.01	-4	2	-6	13.3	14.7	-1.34	16.1	13.2	2.93
Hollis Thompson	58	57	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.44	7	-9	16	13.8	15.2	-1.33	13.9	13.7	0.21
Jerami Grant	69	67	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.09	-6	4	-10	14.4	14.5	-0.14	13.1	15.2	-2.09
JaKarr Sampson	39	39	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.09	-13	11	-24	13.6	14.9	-1.28	14.5	13.4	1.04
Robert Covington	82	81	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.46	1	-3	4	14.1	15.4	-1.28	13.8	14.0	-0.22
Jahlil Okafor	56	55	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.26	-8	6	-14	15.9	12.6	3.29	13.0	14.8	-1.76
Phil Pressey	34	36	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.37	-6	4	-10	16.0	13.6	2.42	13.2	14.2	-0.97
Isaiah Canaan	68	64	-0.74	0.24	-0.99	-0.48	-9	7	-16	15.3	12.7	2.65	14.0	13.6	0.36

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
James Harden	82	85	0.78	-0.28	1.07	0.40	13	-11	24	13.7	14.2	-0.48	14.5	14.1	0.43
Trevor Ariza	74	75	0.75	-0.25	0.99	0.42	11	-9	20	13.8	13.9	-0.14	14.8	13.2	1.59
Clint Capela	54	52	0.69	-0.19	0.87	0.25	15	-13	28	13.8	13.9	-0.05	14.7	14.1	0.61
Patrick Beverley	69	69	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.42	-5	7	-12	13.3	14.9	-1.59	15.0	13.3	1.66
Ty Lawson	32	34	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.02	7	-5	12	14.9	13.3	1.59	13.3	15.0	-1.66
Dwight Howard	74	77	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.16	0	2	-2	13.6	14.3	-0.65	15.1	12.2	2.91
Corey Brewer	47	49	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.36	-9	11	-20	13.9	13.8	0.05	14.1	14.7	-0.66
Jason Terry	1	1	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	2	-2	2.0	13.9	-11.94	3.0	14.5	-11.52
Marcus Thornton	20	20	-0.24	0.74	-0.99	0.02	-9	11	-20	14.4	13.7	0.72	12.7	14.8	-2.12
Terrence Jones	52	53	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	0.13	-13	15	-28	14.3	13.3	0.92	13.5	15.4	-1.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.87,0.81,0.84,0.83,0.91,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.78,0.62,0.57,0.48,0.25,0.19,0.67,0.68,0.63,0.85,0.9,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 100, LAL 107	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.63,0.68,0.8,0.76,0.82,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.89,0.83,0.86,0.86,0.91,0.81,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.78,0.66,0.57,0.49,0.37,0.21,0.29,0.4,0.68,0.84,0.97,0.98,1	91.0%
SAS 98, HOU 104	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.62,0.68,0.78,0.73,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.73,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.74,0.83,0.89,0.77,0.88,0.91,0.81,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.42,0.41,0.24,0.46,0.45,0.84,0.91,0.95,1	90.6%
HOU 93, BOS 97	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.56,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.82,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.75,0.7,0.8,0.81,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.84,0.87,0.78,0.76,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.81,0.78,0.79,0.58,0.42,0.41,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.78,0.92,1	90.3%