NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	100		Excitement	6.8 [457]		MVP	Trevor Ariza (LAL): +37.4%
Los Angeles Lakers	107		Comeback	4.2 [492]		LVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): -20.8%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.24,0.24,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.15	0.04	-0.00	19	72%	0.30	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.02
James Singleton	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14	0.08	0.08	0.02	11	59%	0.14	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Brandon Bass	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	3	67%	0.07	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Jose Juan Barea	0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	5	60%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Wright	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	12	43%	-0.02	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.04
Jason Kidd	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	11	37%	-0.02	3	-0.14	2	50%	-0.02
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21	-0.09	-0.10	0.02	20	39%	-0.17	2	-0.04	11	73%	-0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trevor Ariza	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.37	0.37	0.24	0.13	-0.01	13	84%	0.37	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.16	0.09	-0.01	20	65%	0.30	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.24,0.23	0.23	0.16	0.08	0.01	13	86%	0.28	3	-0.05	3	33%	-0.02
Josh Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
DJ Mbenga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	55%	0.02	2	-0.04	3	33%	-0.03
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.05	0.01	5	50%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	6	17%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.04	-0.02	12	38%	-0.05	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.15	-0.05	-0.01	3	0%	-0.10	4	-0.09	2	0%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	3.7	32.3	18.5	28.2	3.5	33.4	146.0
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +47.1%

DAL -7.4%

LAL +7.3%

LAL +5.1%

DAL -2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	LAL	NBA	DAL	LAL	NBA
this game	15.6	15.3	15.5	107.5	115.1	106.4
season	15.6	14.9		108.9	110.6
opponent	15.4	15.4		102.6	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	13.8	15.7	18.1	14.9	15.6
LAL	15.0	13.6	13.2	20.1	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Bass	47	46	0.32	-0.82	1.14	0.12	7	-14	21	14.9	16.3	-1.43	14.4	16.3	-1.93
Jose Juan Barea	28	28	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.07	-8	1	-9	17.1	15.0	2.12	16.0	15.1	0.89
Erick Dampier	16	16	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.09	-9	2	-11	18.5	15.0	3.47	17.3	14.9	2.38
James Singleton	63	64	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.40	5	-12	17	15.7	15.6	0.08	15.3	15.4	-0.10
Jason Terry	77	77	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.39	2	-9	11	15.0	18.5	-3.47	14.9	17.3	-2.38
Jason Kidd	88	88	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.26	-9	2	-11	15.5	18.0	-2.51	15.5	13.4	2.05
Dirk Nowitzki	72	72	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.33	-9	2	-11	15.8	15.1	0.62	15.8	13.8	2.04
Antoine Wright	74	74	-0.79	0.29	-1.08	-0.38	-14	7	-21	15.5	16.1	-0.54	15.2	16.1	-0.89

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trevor Ariza	55	56	1.08	-0.58	1.65	0.46	21	-14	35	16.0	14.4	1.52	17.3	13.1	4.22
Kobe Bryant	79	78	0.99	-0.49	1.47	0.34	22	-15	37	14.8	18.1	-3.29	16.1	13.0	3.13
Lamar Odom	66	64	0.94	-0.44	1.38	0.56	13	-6	19	15.1	15.9	-0.77	16.2	14.4	1.81
Derek Fisher	57	56	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.40	12	-5	17	16.5	13.5	3.01	16.1	14.8	1.31
Pau Gasol	78	78	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.30	5	2	3	16.0	11.7	4.31	15.7	15.3	0.43
DJ Mbenga	9	10	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.05	6	1	5	13.3	15.6	-2.23	14.6	15.7	-1.15
Jordan Farmar	36	37	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.10	-5	12	-17	13.5	16.5	-3.01	14.8	16.1	-1.31
Luke Walton	34	33	-0.42	0.92	-1.33	-0.09	-11	18	-29	14.1	16.1	-1.98	13.7	16.7	-2.94
Josh Powell	33	33	-0.52	1.02	-1.53	-0.16	-12	19	-31	14.7	15.7	-1.00	14.9	16.0	-1.06
Sasha Vujacic	18	20	-0.64	1.14	-1.79	-0.18	-16	23	-39	18.0	14.7	3.29	11.6	16.7	-5.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.63,0.61,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.63,0.68,0.8,0.76,0.82,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.89,0.83,0.86,0.86,0.91,0.81,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.78,0.66,0.57,0.49,0.37,0.21,0.29,0.4,0.68,0.84,0.97,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 99, TOR 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.85,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.89,0.87,0.85,0.81,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.35,0.46,0.55,0.79,0.78,0.96,1	91.4%
PHI 114, HOU 116	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.54,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.87,0.81,0.84,0.83,0.91,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.78,0.62,0.57,0.48,0.25,0.19,0.67,0.68,0.63,0.85,0.9,1	91.0%
WAS 84, CLE 94	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.81,0.93,0.93,0.89,0.9,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.87,0.66,0.58,0.42,0.59,0.54,0.52,0.61,0.79,0.95,0.99,1	90.8%