inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Cleveland Cavaliers 99 Excitement6.2 [600] MVPDeMar DeRozan (TOR): +34.9%
Toronto Raptors 105 Comeback1.9 [686] LVPKevin Love (CLE): -8.1%


Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Richard Jefferson0.200,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.080.120.004100%0.2000.0000%0.00
LeBron James0.190,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.19,0.19,0.190.200.030.041676%0.271-0.086100%0.04
Channing Frye0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.2,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.120.100.020.00875%0.1200.0000%0.00
Kyrie Irving0.110,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.110.040.06-0.012160%0.204-0.081100%0.00
Iman Shumpert-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.01-0.00-0.01125%-0.0000.00250%-0.01
J.R. Smith-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.031237%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Matthew Dellavedova-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.00425%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Tristan Thompson-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.01333%-0.012-0.0400%0.00
Kevin Love-0.080,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.06-0.010.011436%-0.061-0.0200%0.00

Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.2,0.26,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.350.350.120.21-0.012364%0.392-0.044100%0.05
Kyle Lowry0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.330.330.260.070.002080%0.432-0.10475%-0.00
Cory Joseph0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.020.07-0.00850%0.0900.0000%0.00
Terrence Ross0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.010.01-0.02350%0.0400.0000%0.00
DeMarre Carroll0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.020.02-0.011238%0.0100.00580%-0.01
Bismack Biyombo0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.02442%0.011-0.01425%-0.02
Patrick Patterson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.03-0.04-0.00575%0.082-0.092100%0.01
Luis Scola0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
James Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.00250%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.22.831.516.726.43.439.3143.3
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +15.7%
TOR +22.5%
TOR +11.0%
TOR +0.3%
TOR +0.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCLETORNBACLETORNBA
this game16.616.314.9112.5120.7105.1
season15.816.1110.3107.2
opponent14.814.9104.6103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CLE16.817.216.715.516.6
TOR16.014.116.818.816.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Iman Shumpert23230.15-0.650.800.150-6616.316.6-0.3016.316.4-0.06
Channing Frye3738-0.16-0.340.18-0.346-121815.817.1-1.2618.214.93.22
Matthew Dellavedova2931-0.23-0.270.04-0.14-3-3015.816.9-1.1015.316.9-1.69
Kevin Love5553-0.24-0.260.02-0.12-4-2-217.614.82.8016.216.6-0.35
Richard Jefferson2729-0.25-0.250.00-0.250-6615.317.1-1.8316.716.20.52
J.R. Smith5956-0.29-0.21-0.09-0.18-4-2-216.616.50.1316.615.80.84
Tristan Thompson5653-0.36-0.14-0.220.05-148-2216.916.00.8915.218.1-2.96
LeBron James8381-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.34-3-3016.713.82.9316.612.34.31
Kyrie Irving7171-0.690.19-0.87-0.45-82-1016.516.8-0.3216.117.4-1.26

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
DeMarre Carroll65670.76-0.261.010.4610-41416.017.2-1.1816.915.71.18
Bismack Biyombo72750.66-0.160.820.409-31216.814.32.5116.914.52.47
DeMar DeRozan70730.62-0.120.730.388-21016.715.01.6716.517.1-0.60
Patrick Patterson61620.490.010.490.268-21016.615.80.8215.818.4-2.63
Kyle Lowry80800.430.070.360.3142216.415.41.0017.29.97.36
Luis Scola26260.010.49-0.490.06-28-1015.816.6-0.8218.415.82.63
James Johnson1412-0.150.65-0.80-0.06-39-1214.916.6-1.7715.516.7-1.24
Terrence Ross1615-0.160.66-0.81-0.07-39-1214.316.8-2.4915.316.8-1.49
Cory Joseph3130-0.160.66-0.81-0.13-17-816.716.10.6214.517.6-3.09


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.85,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.89,0.87,0.85,0.81,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.35,0.46,0.55,0.79,0.78,0.96,1
GameSimilarity Score
WAS 84, CLE 940.5,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.81,0.93,0.93,0.89,0.9,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.87,0.66,0.58,0.42,0.59,0.54,0.52,0.61,0.79,0.95,0.99,192.4%
CHI 86, CLE 940.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.57,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.79,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.83,0.81,0.91,0.9,0.87,0.96,0.92,0.87,0.81,0.82,0.7,0.63,0.58,0.53,0.66,0.53,0.62,0.83,0.91,0.97,192.0%
ORL 95, IND 960.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.69,0.77,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.83,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.88,0.86,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.53,0.41,0.4,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.85,191.7%