NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	99		Excitement	6.2 [600]		MVP	DeMar DeRozan (TOR): +34.9%
Toronto Raptors	105		Comeback	1.9 [686]		LVP	Kevin Love (CLE): -8.1%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Jefferson	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.08	0.12	0.00	4	100%	0.20	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.20	0.03	0.04	16	76%	0.27	1	-0.08	6	100%	0.04
Channing Frye	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.2,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.02	0.00	8	75%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.11	0.04	0.06	-0.01	21	60%	0.20	4	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	1	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
J.R. Smith	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.03	12	37%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Love	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	14	36%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.2,0.26,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.35	0.35	0.12	0.21	-0.01	23	64%	0.39	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.05
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.33	0.33	0.26	0.07	0.00	20	80%	0.43	2	-0.10	4	75%	-0.00
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.07	-0.00	8	50%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	3	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	12	38%	0.01	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.01
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	4	42%	0.01	1	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.04	-0.00	5	75%	0.08	2	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.8	31.5	16.7	26.4	3.4	39.3	143.3
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +15.7%

TOR +22.5%

TOR +11.0%

TOR +0.3%

TOR +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	TOR	NBA	CLE	TOR	NBA
this game	16.6	16.3	14.9	112.5	120.7	105.1
season	15.8	16.1		110.3	107.2
opponent	14.8	14.9		104.6	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	16.8	17.2	16.7	15.5	16.6
TOR	16.0	14.1	16.8	18.8	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Iman Shumpert	23	23	0.15	-0.65	0.80	0.15	0	-6	6	16.3	16.6	-0.30	16.3	16.4	-0.06
Channing Frye	37	38	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.34	6	-12	18	15.8	17.1	-1.26	18.2	14.9	3.22
Matthew Dellavedova	29	31	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.14	-3	-3	0	15.8	16.9	-1.10	15.3	16.9	-1.69
Kevin Love	55	53	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.12	-4	-2	-2	17.6	14.8	2.80	16.2	16.6	-0.35
Richard Jefferson	27	29	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.25	0	-6	6	15.3	17.1	-1.83	16.7	16.2	0.52
J.R. Smith	59	56	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.18	-4	-2	-2	16.6	16.5	0.13	16.6	15.8	0.84
Tristan Thompson	56	53	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.05	-14	8	-22	16.9	16.0	0.89	15.2	18.1	-2.96
LeBron James	83	81	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.34	-3	-3	0	16.7	13.8	2.93	16.6	12.3	4.31
Kyrie Irving	71	71	-0.69	0.19	-0.87	-0.45	-8	2	-10	16.5	16.8	-0.32	16.1	17.4	-1.26

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMarre Carroll	65	67	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.46	10	-4	14	16.0	17.2	-1.18	16.9	15.7	1.18
Bismack Biyombo	72	75	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.40	9	-3	12	16.8	14.3	2.51	16.9	14.5	2.47
DeMar DeRozan	70	73	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.38	8	-2	10	16.7	15.0	1.67	16.5	17.1	-0.60
Patrick Patterson	61	62	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.26	8	-2	10	16.6	15.8	0.82	15.8	18.4	-2.63
Kyle Lowry	80	80	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.31	4	2	2	16.4	15.4	1.00	17.2	9.9	7.36
Luis Scola	26	26	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.06	-2	8	-10	15.8	16.6	-0.82	18.4	15.8	2.63
James Johnson	14	12	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	-0.06	-3	9	-12	14.9	16.6	-1.77	15.5	16.7	-1.24
Terrence Ross	16	15	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	-0.07	-3	9	-12	14.3	16.8	-2.49	15.3	16.8	-1.49
Cory Joseph	31	30	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	-0.13	-1	7	-8	16.7	16.1	0.62	14.5	17.6	-3.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.63,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.72,0.74,0.75,0.85,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.87,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.89,0.87,0.85,0.81,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.35,0.46,0.55,0.79,0.78,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 84, CLE 94	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.73,0.65,0.67,0.72,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.86,0.81,0.93,0.93,0.89,0.9,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.87,0.66,0.58,0.42,0.59,0.54,0.52,0.61,0.79,0.95,0.99,1	92.4%
CHI 86, CLE 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.57,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.79,0.73,0.73,0.8,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.83,0.81,0.91,0.9,0.87,0.96,0.92,0.87,0.81,0.82,0.7,0.63,0.58,0.53,0.66,0.53,0.62,0.83,0.91,0.97,1	92.0%
ORL 95, IND 96	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.59,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.69,0.77,0.86,0.88,0.86,0.83,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.88,0.86,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.53,0.41,0.4,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.85,1	91.7%