NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	98		Excitement	6.8 [464]		MVP	Al Horford (ATL): +21.8%
Atlanta Hawks	106		Comeback	3.8 [795]		LVP	Luke Babbitt (NOP): -11.5%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Gordon	0.15	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.21,0.21,0.16,0.19,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.10	0.06	0.01	20	60%	0.23	2	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01
Dante Cunningham	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.02	0.00	3	87%	0.09	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Ryan Anderson	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	16	52%	0.08	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Alonzo Gee	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.02	0.02	4	87%	0.05	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	17	53%	0.04	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Alexis Ajinca	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	1	50%	0.02	3	-0.08	6	67%	-0.01
Toney Douglas	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.03	11	52%	-0.01	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Luke Babbitt	-0.11	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.07	0.01	8	39%	-0.08	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Horford	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.19	0.03	0.01	15	87%	0.24	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tiago Splitter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.04	0.00	5	80%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.02	0.08	-0.01	11	55%	0.13	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Mike Muscala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	2	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	7	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	3	70%	0.08	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.02	0.03	14	53%	0.07	2	-0.06	8	87%	0.01
Mike Scott	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	16	41%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	50%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.00	0.00	11	42%	0.01	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.4	23.4	15.4	30.8	0.8	29.0	126.0
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +34.5%

ATL +2.2%

NOP -2.6%

ATL +20.5%

NOP -4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	ATL	NBA	NOP	ATL	NBA
this game	14.5	14.7	14.9	99.0	108.2	105.1
season	14.3	14.2		104.3	104.1
opponent	15.1	15.0		100.3	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	15.5	14.3	13.9	14.4	14.5
ATL	12.8	15.7	13.2	17.5	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Omer Asik	45	43	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.01	0	-8	8	15.1	14.1	1.01	13.1	15.9	-2.79
Alexis Ajinca	17	18	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.10	2	-10	12	14.1	14.6	-0.50	15.9	14.4	1.45
Toney Douglas	47	48	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.18	1	-9	10	14.1	14.9	-0.78	16.5	13.0	3.52
Ish Smith	82	80	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.17	-1	-7	6	14.6	14.4	0.22	14.3	16.6	-2.27
Luke Babbitt	64	63	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.15	-6	-2	-4	14.3	15.0	-0.76	13.9	16.1	-2.19
Ryan Anderson	72	71	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.16	-7	-1	-6	14.9	13.6	1.25	14.5	15.1	-0.56
Eric Gordon	66	64	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.14	-9	1	-10	14.8	14.1	0.67	14.0	16.1	-2.16
Alonzo Gee	57	59	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.29	-5	-3	-2	14.1	15.2	-1.10	16.3	12.3	4.07
Dante Cunningham	45	44	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.14	-15	7	-22	14.6	14.5	0.12	14.8	14.6	0.25

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kent Bazemore	66	67	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.25	8	0	8	14.0	16.2	-2.25	15.1	13.3	1.85
Dennis Schroder	45	45	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.36	3	5	-2	16.1	13.5	2.64	14.2	14.9	-0.70
Al Horford	62	63	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.02	14	-6	20	14.4	15.2	-0.73	14.9	14.0	0.88
Kyle Korver	68	69	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.01	13	-5	18	14.5	15.2	-0.76	14.7	14.2	0.43
Paul Millsap	67	68	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.03	11	-3	14	14.0	16.3	-2.32	14.7	14.1	0.59
Mike Muscala	15	16	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.23	2	6	-4	14.1	14.8	-0.75	14.7	14.5	0.26
Jeff Teague	60	61	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.15	2	6	-4	14.2	15.5	-1.30	14.8	14.2	0.61
Thabo Sefolosha	50	50	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.20	-7	15	-22	15.8	13.6	2.24	13.2	15.9	-2.62
Tiago Splitter	37	36	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.05	-2	10	-12	15.9	14.0	2.00	14.4	14.6	-0.14
Justin Holiday	8	8	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.00	-1	9	-10	14.7	14.7	0.05	15.2	14.5	0.78
Mike Scott	12	12	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.02	-3	11	-14	15.1	14.7	0.43	12.8	14.8	-1.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.28,0.21,0.24,0.28,0.39,0.33,0.25,0.35,0.34,0.28,0.33,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.5,0.62,0.53,0.57,0.77,0.64,0.81,0.9,0.9,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 109, MIN 111	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.43,0.37,0.44,0.52,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.68,0.64,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.92,1	93.5%
MIN 79, SAC 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.54,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.35,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.28,0.3,0.32,0.23,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.77,0.89,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.98,1,1	93.3%
DEN 96, POR 107	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.31,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.52,0.53,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.88,0.91,0.97,0.99,1,1,1	92.9%