inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 106 Excitement8.7 [173] MVPKawhi Leonard (SAS): +20.0%
Oklahoma City Thunder 112 Comeback7.7 [236] LVPDanny Green (SAS): -19.1%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kawhi Leonard0.200,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.16,0.21,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.12,0.20.150.050.012265%0.343-0.145100%0.06
Boris Diaw0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.060.030.00590%0.121-0.0300%0.00
Patty Mills0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.040.06-0.00756%0.0900.00250%-0.03
David West0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.010.03-0.00757%0.081-0.0300%0.00
Manu Ginobili0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.01-0.00869%0.093-0.0900%0.00
Tony Parker-0.010,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.040.02-0.011145%0.042-0.0500%0.00
Tim Duncan-0.010,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.02-0.00-0.01844%0.021-0.032100%0.01
Kyle Anderson-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.01-0.030.00450%-0.0300.0000%0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge-0.080,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.07,-0.08-0.03-0.050.011239%-0.0800.00475%0.00
Danny Green-0.190,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.19-0.11-0.09-0.01922%-0.142-0.0600%0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Enes Kanter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.100.09-0.001165%0.1800.001100%0.01
Anthony Morrow0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.050.04-0.00667%0.1000.0000%0.00
Russell Westbrook0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.07,0,0,0,0.060.060.080.010.032362%0.235-0.17786%0.02
Dion Waiters0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.08,0.05,0.050.05-0.050.090.00850%0.153-0.1000%0.00
Andre Roberson0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.010.001100%0.0300.0000%0.00
Kevin Durant0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.04,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.020.020.020.010.011948%0.041-0.038100%0.09
Steven Adams0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03-0.030.00-0.030.00475%0.032-0.0500%0.00
D.J. Augustin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.01-0.040.00557%0.021-0.054100%0.03
Serge Ibaka0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.060.00-0.00950%0.044-0.092100%0.01
Nick Collison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.06-0.030.0000%0.003-0.0900%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.53.327.316.027.13.538.2138.9
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +10.0%
OKC +16.9%
OKC +41.6%
SAS -16.8%
SAS -1.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASOKCNBASASOKCNBA
this game14.613.614.9103.9109.8105.1
season15.714.4109.0111.5
opponent15.114.7104.497.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS14.114.016.813.514.6
OKC13.614.812.014.213.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
David West38400.13-0.630.770.053-91213.415.3-1.8314.013.40.56
Patty Mills47480.10-0.600.700.22-4-2-214.314.9-0.6013.913.40.57
Boris Diaw43430.08-0.580.660.080-6614.214.9-0.6714.013.40.67
Manu Ginobili4040-0.08-0.420.350.04-4-2-214.314.8-0.4913.913.50.43
Kawhi Leonard7475-0.20-0.300.10-0.324-101414.614.50.0913.813.10.67
Kyle Anderson2827-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.01-104-1414.514.6-0.0913.113.8-0.67
Danny Green6262-0.46-0.04-0.42-0.34-4-2-214.814.30.4913.513.9-0.43
LaMarcus Aldridge6766-0.550.05-0.60-0.34-71-815.213.41.7813.713.50.21
Tony Parker5554-0.600.10-0.70-0.54-2-4214.914.30.6013.413.9-0.57
Tim Duncan5655-0.630.13-0.76-0.45-60-614.914.20.7713.014.4-1.38

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dion Waiters45470.77-0.271.050.3315-92413.513.7-0.1914.214.9-0.68
Serge Ibaka71710.67-0.170.840.3810-41413.813.20.6415.113.41.79
Russell Westbrook78770.57-0.070.640.377-1813.514.0-0.4715.013.41.53
Steven Adams63630.490.010.480.3742213.713.60.0414.315.0-0.69
Kevin Durant72720.300.200.110.3006-613.813.20.5714.913.90.99
Andre Roberson36340.030.47-0.430.15-410-1412.914.0-1.1115.414.21.18
Anthony Morrow47480.010.49-0.48-0.1451413.613.60.0014.015.1-1.09
Enes Kanter5250-0.040.55-0.59-0.0406-614.213.11.1313.915.2-1.29
Nick Collison1820-0.150.65-0.80-0.03-410-1411.214.2-2.9315.114.50.69
D.J. Augustin2828-0.150.65-0.81-0.07-39-1214.613.31.3413.515.0-1.56


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.39,0.38,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.27,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.38,0.2,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.53,0.37,0.37,0.26,0.15,0.27,0.55,0.55,0.43,0.83,1
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 82, CHI 840.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.33,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.34,0.38,0.46,0.45,0.72,192.3%
DAL 94, LAL 980.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.3,0.29,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.22,0.29,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.24,0.27,0.53,0.64,0.55,0.83,191.8%
DET 101, ORL 1030.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.29,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.44,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.33,0.27,0.1,0.19,0.33,0.53,0.46,0.32,0.84,191.0%