NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	94		Excitement	9.8 [55]		MVP	Johnny Newman (DAL): +4.8%
Los Angeles Lakers	98		Comeback	4.2 [534]		LVP	Steve Nash (DAL): -36.0%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Johnny Newman	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.03	-0.03	3	50%	0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.09,0.09,0.04	0.15	-0.07	0.04	20	69%	0.17	1	-0.13	8	75%	0.05
Adrian Griffin	0.00	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	0.05	-0.03	0.01	19	59%	0.07	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Evan Eschmeyer	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Bradley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Manning	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.06	0.00	4	58%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Tim Hardaway	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	7	29%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Finley	-0.26	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.16,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.14	-0.10	0.01	10	42%	-0.07	5	-0.18	6	83%	0.01
Steve Nash	-0.36	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.36,-0.36	-0.06	-0.30	0.00	10	54%	-0.07	4	-0.30	4	100%	0.03

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mark Madsen	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Slava Medvedenko	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samaki Walker	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	56%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.05	0.00	5	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mitch Richmond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Devean George	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	2	33%	-0.06	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.06
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	6	36%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.21,0.12,-0.02,-0.06,-0.14	-0.14	0.09	-0.20	0.02	23	68%	0.01	3	-0.14	22	45%	-0.31
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.25,-0.25,-0.24	-0.24	-0.13	-0.11	-0.01	23	40%	-0.13	4	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01
Rick Fox	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.24,-0.24,-0.27	-0.27	-0.10	-0.17	-0.00	8	36%	-0.18	2	-0.09	6	83%	0.09
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.3	-0.30	-0.09	-0.20	-0.00	11	25%	-0.30	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.7	32.0	16.5	26.5	2.5	36.4	140.8
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL -38.9%

DAL -9.0%

LAL +66.2%

LAL +29.4%

LAL +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	LAL	NBA	DAL	LAL	NBA
this game	14.5	15.0	15.6	95.9	101.0	102.3
season	14.8	15.3		109.6	106.9
opponent	15.4	15.5		99.8	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.5	13.3	15.2	15.0	14.5
LAL	13.7	16.0	14.8	15.6	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Juwan Howard	31	30	0.07	-0.57	0.63	-0.02	3	-7	10	14.2	14.7	-0.43	13.1	15.9	-2.73
Michael Finley	65	63	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.03	0	-4	4	14.2	15.1	-0.81	14.7	15.6	-0.92
Evan Eschmeyer	3	2	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.01	-2	-2	0	24.7	14.2	10.47	12.0	15.1	-3.08
Danny Manning	49	48	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.33	8	-12	20	14.0	15.0	-1.00	16.2	13.9	2.27
Shawn Bradley	20	23	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.04	-11	7	-18	16.3	14.1	2.30	15.2	15.0	0.26
Johnny Newman	31	32	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.11	-7	3	-10	15.2	14.2	1.03	14.9	15.1	-0.17
Tim Hardaway	37	38	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.29	-1	-3	2	14.3	14.7	-0.40	15.2	14.9	0.31
Steve Nash	83	81	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.38	-2	-2	0	14.1	16.6	-2.46	15.3	13.8	1.45
Dirk Nowitzki	86	84	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.39	-3	-1	-2	14.3	15.7	-1.40	15.3	13.0	2.33
Adrian Griffin	85	84	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.40	-5	1	-6	14.7	13.2	1.58	14.7	17.0	-2.29

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rick Fox	70	71	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.41	12	-8	20	14.7	15.9	-1.25	15.1	12.9	2.25
Robert Horry	61	63	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.42	6	-2	8	14.6	15.8	-1.20	14.0	15.4	-1.32
Kobe Bryant	85	87	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.37	6	-2	8	15.0	15.0	0.02	14.4	15.7	-1.36
Derek Fisher	49	49	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.44	2	2	0	15.5	14.5	1.03	13.9	15.1	-1.24
Shaquille O'Neal	78	76	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.20	8	-4	12	16.0	10.9	5.07	15.2	12.2	2.96
Brian Shaw	16	19	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.14	0	4	-4	13.1	15.4	-2.34	12.1	15.1	-3.00
Mark Madsen	0	1	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.01	0	4	-4	0.0	15.0	-15.02	1.0	14.7	-13.66
Mitch Richmond	15	13	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	6	-8	15.0	15.0	-0.02	13.9	14.6	-0.69
Lindsey Hunter	46	46	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.06	0	4	-4	14.6	15.4	-0.78	14.5	14.5	0.00
Samaki Walker	44	45	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.01	-3	7	-10	14.7	15.3	-0.62	15.8	13.5	2.32
Devean George	14	13	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.00	-4	8	-12	14.9	15.0	-0.11	15.5	14.4	1.09
Slava Medvedenko	7	7	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	-0.02	-5	9	-14	17.3	14.8	2.44	11.3	14.8	-3.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.3,0.29,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.22,0.29,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.24,0.27,0.53,0.64,0.55,0.83,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 106, OKC 112	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.39,0.38,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.27,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.38,0.2,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.53,0.37,0.37,0.26,0.15,0.27,0.55,0.55,0.43,0.83,1	91.8%
UTA 82, CHI 84	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.33,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.33,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.34,0.38,0.46,0.45,0.72,1	91.5%
MIA 99, CLE 106	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.6,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.25,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.23,0.27,0.29,0.2,0.28,0.34,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.21,0.43,0.42,0.26,0.33,0.28,0.46,0.46,0.68,0.72,1	91.2%