NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	105		Excitement	7.3 [356]		MVP	Gigi Datome (BOS): +29.8%
Milwaukee Bucks	100		Comeback	2.2 [296]		LVP	Tyler Ennis (MIL): -17.6%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gigi Datome	0.30	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.13	0.16	-0.01	15	71%	0.31	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Kelly Olynyk	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.13	0.13	-0.01	8	89%	0.29	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Jonas Jerebko	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.02	0.10	-0.04	13	62%	0.24	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
James Young	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	7	50%	0.06	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Tyler Zeller	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	7	57%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.02	5	58%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Jared Sullinger	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.03	-0.00	14	37%	0.03	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.04
Phil Pressey	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	7	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Evan Turner	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	5	58%	0.03	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Gerald Wallace	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.16	0.10	0.00	13	75%	0.26	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Miles Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.05	0.00	4	90%	0.13	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.03	0.03	14	55%	0.08	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Khris Middleton	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.08	-0.02	0.02	10	90%	0.15	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Jorge Gutierrez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	0.00	6	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
John Henson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	4	30%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Michael Carter-Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	8	37%	-0.05	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.04
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	6	21%	-0.05	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Johnny O'Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.12	-0.06	-0.03	7	14%	-0.08	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Ennis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.09	-0.08	0.00	13	42%	-0.04	4	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	1.7	26.3	15.6	28.0	2.4	24.5	120.6
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +65.9%

MIL -8.2%

MIL -14.8%

BOS +6.1%

BOS +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	MIL	NBA	BOS	MIL	NBA
this game	14.7	14.6	15.1	108.2	101.0	104.2
season	14.3	14.5		103.1	100.5
opponent	15.7	15.4		101.0	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	13.8	14.0	16.0	15.2	14.7
MIL	13.9	14.8	14.0	16.1	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Sullinger	56	59	0.61	-0.11	0.71	0.14	16	-11	27	14.1	15.7	-1.59	14.6	14.8	-0.22
James Young	48	48	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.32	5	0	5	15.4	14.1	1.34	15.5	13.8	1.66
Phil Pressey	54	54	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.20	6	-1	7	15.4	13.9	1.50	13.7	15.8	-2.03
Kelly Olynyk	45	47	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.11	8	-3	11	14.4	15.0	-0.60	14.1	15.1	-0.99
Jonas Jerebko	46	44	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.22	3	2	1	16.2	13.5	2.68	14.0	15.2	-1.16
Gigi Datome	53	52	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.37	-4	9	-13	15.7	13.6	2.11	15.5	13.7	1.80
Marcus Smart	50	52	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.13	3	2	1	13.5	16.0	-2.48	15.4	13.8	1.64
Gerald Wallace	39	42	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.05	0	5	-5	14.0	15.3	-1.28	13.1	15.8	-2.61
Evan Turner	37	40	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.06	-2	7	-9	13.8	15.3	-1.59	14.3	14.8	-0.50
Brandon Bass	29	29	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.05	-3	8	-11	14.4	14.9	-0.52	15.2	14.4	0.79
Tyler Zeller	28	28	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.12	-7	12	-19	14.9	14.7	0.26	16.1	14.1	2.04

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ersan Ilyasova	55	53	0.22	-0.72	0.93	-0.11	11	-16	27	14.0	15.4	-1.41	15.0	14.5	0.48
Giannis Antetokounmpo	61	58	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.05	5	-10	15	14.0	15.6	-1.56	14.5	15.1	-0.56
Zaza Pachulia	33	32	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.13	6	-11	17	14.4	14.8	-0.33	14.3	15.0	-0.64
John Henson	24	24	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.07	-3	-2	-1	13.1	15.1	-2.06	16.2	14.2	2.00
Khris Middleton	46	43	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-4	3	14.5	14.8	-0.23	14.1	15.2	-1.08
Michael Carter-Williams	48	45	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.01	-1	-4	3	14.4	14.9	-0.49	14.0	15.3	-1.30
O.J. Mayo	51	52	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.34	-4	-1	-3	14.9	14.4	0.49	15.3	14.0	1.30
Tyler Ennis	53	54	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.34	-4	-1	-3	14.8	14.5	0.23	15.2	14.1	1.08
Miles Plumlee	42	41	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.30	-8	3	-11	15.7	13.9	1.85	14.2	15.1	-0.95
Jorge Gutierrez	38	39	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.30	-10	5	-15	15.6	14.0	1.56	15.1	14.5	0.56
Johnny O'Bryant	44	44	-0.72	0.22	-0.93	-0.25	-16	11	-27	15.4	14.0	1.41	14.5	15.0	-0.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.46,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.39,0.26,0.35,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.19,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.07,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 86, NJN 76	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.57,0.6,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.52,0.42,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.58,0.43,0.38,0.43,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.13,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,0	93.1%
CLE 95, ATL 84	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.57,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.48,0.33,0.36,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.17,0.15,0.09,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0	93.0%
LAC 99, HOU 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.24,0.32,0.45,0.48,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.57,0.57,0.52,0.47,0.26,0.19,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.06,0,0	93.0%