NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	95		Excitement	6.3 [519]		MVP	Jamal Crawford (ATL): +23.0%
Atlanta Hawks	84		Comeback	2.0 [412]		LVP	Joe Johnson (ATL): -31.6%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1	0.13	0.01	0.04	8	83%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Parker	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.04	0.01	7	59%	0.09	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Delonte West	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.06	0.05	11	61%	0.10	2	-0.04	6	67%	-0.01
JJ Hickson	0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	3	100%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	75%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Shaquille O'Neal	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.05	-0.06	0.01	7	71%	0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	15	61%	0.08	7	-0.19	3	100%	0.02
Jamario Moon	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	5	0%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15	-0.17	-0.00	-0.02	20	33%	-0.03	4	-0.11	3	67%	-0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.28,0.28,0.35,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.13	0.07	-0.03	17	68%	0.28	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.01
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.02	-0.00	6	67%	0.10	1	-0.06	6	100%	0.04
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.05	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Maurice Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	0.04	13	47%	-0.05	1	-0.02	6	17%	-0.08
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	7	14%	-0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.07	-0.09	0.00	7	50%	-0.03	4	-0.13	4	75%	0.01
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.25,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32	-0.32	-0.08	-0.18	0.06	14	47%	-0.14	4	-0.18	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.0	2.8	29.1	15.7	30.0	2.8	31.3	140.6
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +12.9%

CLE +11.5%

CLE +20.6%

CLE +3.4%

CLE +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	ATL	NBA	CLE	ATL	NBA
this game	16.8	14.7	15.3	104.4	91.3	106.0
season	16.1	16.0		109.5	109.4
opponent	15.8	15.0		106.0	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.0	14.5	20.5	18.0	16.8
ATL	16.3	14.9	16.5	11.3	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Delonte West	57	57	0.77	-0.27	1.05	0.07	24	-13	37	16.5	17.3	-0.75	13.9	16.0	-2.11
Anderson Varejao	63	63	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.07	19	-8	27	17.0	16.5	0.42	14.4	15.1	-0.69
LeBron James	72	74	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.16	6	5	1	17.3	15.2	2.11	14.8	14.0	0.82
Mo Williams	73	73	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.23	3	8	-5	16.5	18.2	-1.74	14.0	17.1	-3.01
Shaquille O'Neal	51	52	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.18	4	7	-3	16.0	17.8	-1.83	14.7	14.6	0.16
Jamario Moon	36	36	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.09	13	-2	15	15.3	17.8	-2.51	13.9	15.1	-1.18
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	34	35	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.11	4	7	-3	18.9	15.6	3.38	14.6	14.7	-0.06
JJ Hickson	29	30	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.09	-9	20	-29	16.6	17.0	-0.40	16.4	13.8	2.58
Anthony Parker	40	40	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.06	-9	20	-29	17.6	16.2	1.47	16.3	13.4	2.85

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marvin Williams	57	56	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.18	3	-14	17	15.1	14.0	1.12	17.3	16.1	1.15
Joe Smith	12	11	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.03	-5	-6	1	17.2	14.3	2.97	12.5	17.4	-4.87
Al Horford	76	76	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.09	-1	-10	9	14.4	15.9	-1.47	17.5	13.6	3.86
Mike Bibby	53	52	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.10	-1	-10	9	15.2	14.0	1.15	15.9	18.0	-2.06
Maurice Evans	27	26	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.01	-6	-5	-1	13.1	15.3	-2.25	14.3	17.8	-3.52
Josh Smith	55	56	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.26	-2	-9	7	15.0	14.1	0.88	17.3	16.1	1.20
Joe Johnson	81	80	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.19	-6	-5	-1	14.3	17.1	-2.76	17.4	12.5	4.87
Zaza Pachulia	35	34	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.03	-15	4	-19	14.9	14.5	0.45	16.9	16.8	0.09
Jamal Crawford	64	64	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.06	-22	11	-33	14.3	15.4	-1.10	17.0	16.4	0.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.57,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.48,0.33,0.36,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.17,0.15,0.09,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 102, GSW 94	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.48,0.49,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.31,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.4,0.29,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.28,0.27,0.13,0.09,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0,0	93.7%
NJN 86, MIA 74	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.59,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.27,0.3,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.41,0.48,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.24,0.1,0.1,0.01,0,0,0	93.1%
BOS 105, MIL 100	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.57,0.46,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.39,0.26,0.35,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.33,0.32,0.26,0.19,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.07,0,0	93.0%