NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	102		Excitement	6.2 [550]		MVP	Glen Davis (ORL): +27.8%
Golden State Warriors	94		Comeback	1.6 [174]		LVP	Jameer Nelson (ORL): -15.7%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Glen Davis	0.28	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.28	0.10	0.15	-0.03	20	55%	0.28	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
JJ Redick	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.15	0.12	0.00	13	73%	0.29	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Arron Afflalo	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.13	0.02	0.07	16	67%	0.10	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Gustavo Ayon	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	12	52%	0.05	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
E'Twaun Moore	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.05	-0.00	6	25%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeQuan Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Nicholson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	5	20%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jameer Nelson	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.14	-0.02	-0.00	12	28%	-0.12	3	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.05	-0.02	8	53%	0.10	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Charles Jenkins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kent Bazemore	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.11,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0	-0.00	0.05	-0.02	0.03	10	71%	0.12	3	-0.12	4	100%	0.01
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.07	21	53%	0.02	1	-0.03	5	80%	-0.01
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	8	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
David Lee	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.02	16	58%	0.06	3	-0.09	6	67%	-0.03
Andris Biedrins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Festus Ezeli	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	12	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	1.0	27.6	15.0	24.0	2.4	31.7	126.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +17.0%

ORL +11.2%

GSW -4.6%

ORL +26.8%

GSW -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	GSW	NBA	ORL	GSW	NBA
this game	16.7	14.4	15.4	109.7	102.2	104.1
season	15.5	14.6		100.3	104.6
opponent	15.3	15.3		103.7	107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	14.3	17.2	16.9	18.5	16.7
GSW	13.9	14.7	16.6	12.8	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Arron Afflalo	75	73	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.27	14	-6	20	16.3	18.3	-2.05	14.1	15.9	-1.83
JJ Redick	68	67	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.15	17	-9	26	16.4	17.5	-1.15	14.4	14.4	0.01
Glen Davis	70	68	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.33	10	-2	12	16.7	16.6	0.15	13.7	16.5	-2.78
Nikola Vucevic	75	71	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.32	10	-2	12	16.9	15.6	1.32	13.7	17.0	-3.25
E'Twaun Moore	28	29	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.14	6	2	4	15.6	17.2	-1.58	15.5	14.0	1.51
Jameer Nelson	65	63	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.13	2	6	-4	17.2	15.6	1.58	14.0	15.5	-1.51
DeQuan Jones	4	4	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.00	-1	9	-10	15.2	16.7	-1.49	12.7	14.5	-1.77
Gustavo Ayon	26	28	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	-0.06	-2	10	-12	16.3	16.8	-0.51	16.2	13.7	2.54
Andrew Nicholson	15	17	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	-0.06	-2	10	-12	15.9	16.8	-0.97	17.5	13.7	3.78
Maurice Harkless	39	40	-0.30	0.80	-1.11	0.11	-14	22	-36	18.1	15.6	2.50	15.3	13.8	1.51

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Festus Ezeli	32	32	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.02	6	-14	20	14.4	14.4	-0.01	15.9	17.1	-1.18
Kent Bazemore	1	2	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.05	-3	-5	2	7.0	14.5	-7.53	10.5	16.8	-6.31
Klay Thompson	57	58	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.28	7	-15	22	14.3	14.7	-0.39	17.8	14.9	2.87
Charles Jenkins	9	10	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.11	-8	0	-8	13.8	14.5	-0.74	12.0	17.2	-5.24
Andris Biedrins	12	13	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.06	-7	-1	-6	15.2	14.3	0.92	12.9	17.3	-4.36
David Lee	73	72	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.27	1	-9	10	14.4	14.5	-0.10	17.5	13.8	3.77
Draymond Green	21	21	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.03	-8	0	-8	15.3	14.2	1.09	14.2	17.4	-3.21
Harrison Barnes	67	67	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.27	0	-8	8	13.9	15.8	-1.91	16.9	16.0	0.94
Stephen Curry	84	85	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.33	-3	-5	2	14.4	14.6	-0.20	17.1	12.4	4.71
Jarrett Jack	54	55	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.21	-11	3	-14	14.7	14.1	0.58	17.2	15.9	1.32
Carl Landry	50	50	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.14	-14	6	-20	14.8	14.0	0.86	16.3	17.2	-0.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.48,0.49,0.4,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.31,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.39,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.56,0.4,0.29,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.28,0.27,0.13,0.09,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 95, ATL 84	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.57,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.38,0.48,0.33,0.36,0.46,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.17,0.15,0.09,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0	93.7%
ORL 110, CLE 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.61,0.6,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.31,0.31,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.56,0.48,0.3,0.36,0.46,0.22,0.34,0.2,0.23,0.14,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	93.0%
DET 100, SEA 90	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.56,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.5,0.38,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.36,0.42,0.3,0.29,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.09,0.07,0.02,0,0,0	92.6%