NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	88		Excitement	3.4 [1109]		MVP	Iman Shumpert (CLE): +13.1%
Cleveland Cavaliers	114		Comeback	1.2 [1194]		LVP	Dwyane Wade (MIA): -7.4%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luol Deng	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.01	0.00	-0.08	15	53%	0.11	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Hassan Whiteside	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	11	68%	0.09	2	-0.04	3	33%	-0.01
Goran Dragic	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	10	48%	0.05	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
James Ennis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.08	-0.00	0.07	7	63%	0.01	0	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Zoran Dragic	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Henry Walker	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	9	55%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Chris Andersen	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Beasley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	5	20%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mario Chalmers	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.00	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	-0.07	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	0.01	6	44%	-0.02	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Iman Shumpert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.01	-0.04	12	71%	0.15	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.03	-0.05	17	61%	0.19	4	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.01	0.02	16	62%	0.12	3	-0.04	5	80%	0.00
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	12	46%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
James Jones	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	5	46%	0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	4	67%	0.04	2	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Timofey Mozgov	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	58%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	80%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Mike Miller	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matthew Dellavedova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.09	0.00	0.10	7	87%	0.02	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.5	3.3	35.9	17.0	27.1	3.4	30.5	145.6
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +29.0%

CLE +6.4%

CLE +11.2%

CLE +3.7%

MIA -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	CLE	NBA	MIA	CLE	NBA
this game	15.3	15.7	15.1	93.6	123.9	104.2
season	16.0	15.9		102.4	108.7
opponent	14.9	15.3		104.1	105.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	16.3	13.0	16.3	16.0	15.3
CLE	17.2	14.2	15.0	16.8	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zoran Dragic	8	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-23	20	12.2	15.6	-3.33	19.2	15.3	3.92
Henry Walker	32	32	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.10	-5	-21	16	14.8	15.6	-0.78	16.2	15.4	0.88
James Ennis	54	55	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-24	22	15.0	15.7	-0.74	15.4	16.1	-0.68
Chris Andersen	35	33	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.03	-2	-24	22	13.9	16.2	-2.30	14.2	16.5	-2.23
Dwyane Wade	25	23	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.10	-10	-16	6	16.0	15.1	0.90	16.9	15.3	1.59
Tyler Johnson	52	52	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.09	-11	-15	4	14.2	16.6	-2.43	15.4	16.0	-0.62
Michael Beasley	24	24	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.17	-14	-12	-2	15.0	15.4	-0.46	16.9	15.2	1.68
Goran Dragic	64	63	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.11	-17	-9	-8	15.9	14.1	1.76	15.3	16.6	-1.33
Hassan Whiteside	51	51	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.21	-21	-5	-16	16.8	13.6	3.21	16.0	15.2	0.82
Luol Deng	72	68	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.26	-23	-3	-20	15.8	13.6	2.23	15.8	15.2	0.57
Mario Chalmers	53	51	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.23	-22	-4	-18	15.5	15.1	0.36	15.1	16.4	-1.34

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Iman Shumpert	52	53	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.31	28	-2	30	14.4	17.3	-2.88	15.2	15.4	-0.16
J.R. Smith	64	64	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.09	18	8	10	15.5	16.1	-0.67	15.8	14.2	1.61
Kyrie Irving	68	68	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.03	15	11	4	15.8	15.2	0.63	15.7	14.2	1.58
Tristan Thompson	58	59	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.13	17	9	8	14.3	18.0	-3.69	14.7	16.4	-1.71
Timofey Mozgov	44	44	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.08	15	11	4	15.4	15.9	-0.46	16.2	14.5	1.75
LeBron James	66	69	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.14	14	12	2	16.2	14.4	1.74	16.0	13.5	2.48
Matthew Dellavedova	45	49	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.26	14	12	2	15.2	16.1	-0.97	14.3	16.4	-2.16
Kendrick Perkins	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	23	-20	19.2	15.3	3.92	12.2	15.6	-3.33
Mike Miller	6	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	23	-20	18.5	15.5	3.02	13.6	15.4	-1.87
Joe Harris	7	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.15	5	21	-16	19.1	15.4	3.75	13.6	15.4	-1.87
James Jones	42	42	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.05	-2	28	-30	17.5	14.1	3.36	15.1	15.5	-0.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.62,0.65,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.83,0.87,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.88,0.8,0.8,0.88,0.82,0.89,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.91,0.86,0.94,0.89,0.93,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 64, IND 88	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.86,0.84,0.84,0.86,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
MIA 80, OKC 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.57,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.79,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.93,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
MIN 86, DAL 100	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.77,0.81,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.89,0.92,0.86,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%