NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	119		Excitement	2.1 [1276]		MVP	JJ Redick (LAC): +14.4%
Boston Celtics	106		Comeback	1.0 [1077]		LVP	Tyler Zeller (BOS): -4.6%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JJ Redick	0.14	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.21	0.00	0.07	15	90%	0.14	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	18	50%	0.04	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.09	0.00	0.07	9	81%	0.08	4	-0.05	8	100%	0.02
Glen Davis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	6	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.06	5	30%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.09	0.00	0.08	14	57%	0.01	0	0.00	9	78%	-0.01
Dahntay Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lester Hudson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Wilcox	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Rivers	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	4	58%	-0.01	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
DeAndre Jordan	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	8	48%	0.01	1	-0.02	15	20%	-0.05
Spencer Hawes	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	37%	0.00	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.00	0.03	12	56%	0.03	0	0.00	10	90%	0.01
Avery Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	7	36%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.04	6	72%	0.03	2	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	9	50%	0.01	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Phil Pressey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	33%	-0.00	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	12	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	0.00	0.06	11	58%	-0.02	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Gigi Datome	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.08	0.00	0.10	9	67%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	6	43%	-0.03	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Marcus Smart	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.11	0.00	-0.07	6	0%	-0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.08	0.00	0.13	12	62%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.3	31.4	16.5	25.5	2.3	43.7	147.0
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +39.0%

LAC +0.1%

LAC +13.4%

BOS -3.3%

LAC +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	BOS	NBA	LAC	BOS	NBA
this game	15.4	13.1	15.1	116.7	106.0	104.2
season	14.6	14.3		110.5	103.1
opponent	15.4	15.3		103.3	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.0	14.1	17.2	15.2	15.4
BOS	15.0	13.0	12.8	11.9	13.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JJ Redick	72	68	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.21	20	-7	27	15.0	16.3	-1.34	13.8	11.8	1.95
Chris Paul	73	72	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.19	19	-6	25	15.5	14.9	0.69	12.8	13.9	-1.05
DeAndre Jordan	62	61	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.34	23	-10	33	15.1	15.7	-0.57	13.4	12.7	0.65
Matt Barnes	69	69	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.20	16	-3	19	15.9	14.3	1.60	12.7	14.2	-1.53
Blake Griffin	70	69	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.14	14	-1	15	15.6	14.7	0.92	12.7	14.2	-1.53
Austin Rivers	49	49	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.26	0	13	-13	15.6	15.1	0.50	13.3	13.0	0.33
Hedo Turkoglu	32	31	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.26	-1	14	-15	14.7	15.6	-0.92	14.2	12.7	1.53
Spencer Hawes	40	39	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.37	-5	18	-23	15.5	15.3	0.24	13.3	13.1	0.19
Glen Davis	30	30	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.29	-4	17	-21	15.1	15.5	-0.36	13.9	12.8	1.04
CJ Wilcox	8	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	21	-29	16.1	15.3	0.84	11.3	13.3	-1.99
Lester Hudson	2	1	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	16	-19	13.0	15.4	-2.40	6.0	13.2	-7.21
Dahntay Jones	3	2	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.16	-6	19	-25	8.7	15.6	-6.89	5.5	13.3	-7.80

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Phil Pressey	27	28	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.35	9	-22	31	12.1	13.5	-1.36	16.5	14.9	1.63
Jae Crowder	46	45	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.09	-9	-4	-5	12.8	13.4	-0.66	15.6	15.2	0.36
Kelly Olynyk	47	47	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.44	9	-22	31	12.1	14.1	-1.95	15.5	15.2	0.33
Gigi Datome	38	39	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.34	5	-18	23	13.7	12.8	0.84	14.5	15.9	-1.44
Tyler Zeller	43	46	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.03	-6	-7	1	12.6	13.5	-0.90	15.6	15.2	0.43
Jonas Jerebko	47	46	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.07	-5	-8	3	13.7	12.6	1.14	15.1	15.5	-0.41
Marcus Smart	38	41	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.09	-6	-7	1	14.0	12.6	1.34	14.5	15.9	-1.37
Isaiah Thomas	54	55	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.18	-3	-10	7	12.8	13.6	-0.79	15.3	15.5	-0.21
Brandon Bass	50	52	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.28	-19	6	-25	13.6	12.7	0.84	14.7	16.1	-1.43
Evan Turner	62	63	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.22	-18	5	-23	12.8	13.7	-0.84	15.9	14.5	1.44
Avery Bradley	48	48	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.31	-22	9	-31	14.2	12.1	2.09	15.9	14.9	0.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.23,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.17,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 113, MIL 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.27,0.23,0.18,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.7%
HOU 92, CHA 62	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.4,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.3,0.23,0.17,0.14,0.16,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.6%
SAC 124, NYK 86	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.41,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.2,0.19,0.22,0.16,0.11,0.12,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.6%