NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	108		Excitement	4.3 [957]		MVP	Klay Thompson (GSW): +11.5%
Milwaukee Bucks	95		Comeback	1.2 [903]		LVP	Ersan Ilyasova (MIL): -9.2%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Klay Thompson	0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.03	-0.03	17	58%	0.13	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
David Lee	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	0.00	8	75%	0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Curry	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.12	-0.01	0.09	13	86%	0.17	6	-0.15	3	100%	0.01
Leandro Barbosa	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Holiday	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	5	40%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	11	50%	0.05	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Andrew Bogut	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
James Michael McAdoo	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.04	8	67%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	-0.02	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.04	0.01	0.06	8	62%	0.02	2	-0.04	5	60%	-0.00
Festus Ezeli	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Rush	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	4	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.04	0.01	6	67%	0.11	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.01	0.01	6	53%	0.03	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Miles Plumlee	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	0.02	11	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.05	10	65%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Ennis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	4	50%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Khris Middleton	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	14	44%	-0.02	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
John Henson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	9	36%	-0.04	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	8	37%	-0.03	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Michael Carter-Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.00	9	40%	-0.01	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	10	31%	-0.09	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.4	2.3	30.6	17.4	26.4	2.4	25.6	134.1
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +72.1%

MIL -12.2%

GSW +0.4%

MIL -13.6%

GSW +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	MIL	NBA	GSW	MIL	NBA
this game	13.9	14.7	15.1	104.9	96.0	104.2
season	13.6	14.5		109.2	100.5
opponent	15.7	15.5		101.0	99.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	13.4	12.3	14.9	15.0	13.9
MIL	14.4	15.3	16.4	12.6	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Klay Thompson	69	68	0.61	-0.11	0.71	-0.27	30	-17	47	13.8	14.1	-0.28	15.7	12.3	3.49
Shaun Livingston	53	50	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.06	19	-6	25	14.1	13.6	0.45	14.6	14.7	-0.15
Marreese Speights	44	40	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.03	13	0	13	13.9	13.9	0.02	14.1	15.0	-0.93
James Michael McAdoo	51	48	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.19	3	10	-7	14.4	13.4	0.99	13.4	15.9	-2.49
Leandro Barbosa	32	30	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.02	8	5	3	13.1	14.2	-1.13	13.1	15.3	-2.23
David Lee	43	43	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.07	10	3	7	13.8	13.9	-0.10	15.3	14.1	1.18
Andrew Bogut	39	40	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.01	5	8	-3	13.6	14.0	-0.37	15.4	14.2	1.25
Harrison Barnes	55	54	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.17	-3	16	-19	13.8	14.0	-0.24	14.9	14.4	0.47
Justin Holiday	19	17	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.15	-3	16	-19	13.4	14.0	-0.56	13.9	14.8	-0.93
Stephen Curry	64	62	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.06	-1	14	-15	13.9	13.8	0.09	15.1	13.9	1.26
Festus Ezeli	6	6	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.05	-2	15	-17	13.3	13.9	-0.57	16.5	14.5	1.96
Brandon Rush	40	37	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.38	-14	27	-41	14.4	13.5	0.86	13.6	15.3	-1.61

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Henson	38	42	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.13	1	-14	15	14.1	15.0	-0.98	15.3	12.9	2.42
Ersan Ilyasova	49	50	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.12	0	-13	13	15.0	14.3	0.72	13.5	14.3	-0.80
Tyler Ennis	38	40	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.18	2	-15	17	13.5	15.4	-1.92	13.8	13.9	-0.04
Miles Plumlee	12	12	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.04	-7	-6	-1	13.4	14.8	-1.41	12.0	14.1	-2.12
Zaza Pachulia	49	49	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.02	-7	-6	-1	15.4	13.9	1.53	13.1	14.6	-1.47
O.J. Mayo	40	45	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.03	-7	-6	-1	13.9	15.2	-1.27	14.8	13.1	1.68
Jerryd Bayless	54	58	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.13	-4	-9	5	14.0	15.4	-1.44	14.3	13.4	0.88
Giannis Antetokounmpo	60	63	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.01	-10	-3	-7	15.4	13.4	2.01	13.7	14.1	-0.41
Khris Middleton	59	58	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.02	-9	-4	-5	15.2	13.9	1.27	13.1	14.8	-1.68
Michael Carter-Williams	46	45	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.00	-11	-2	-9	15.4	14.0	1.33	13.6	14.1	-0.45
Jared Dudley	50	53	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.00	-13	0	-13	14.3	15.0	-0.72	14.3	13.5	0.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.29,0.3,0.27,0.22,0.23,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.16,0.18,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 102, CLE 82	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.18,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%
MIN 100, DAL 79	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.26,0.31,0.23,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%
LAC 112, DET 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.49,0.38,0.33,0.27,0.28,0.23,0.24,0.19,0.31,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	95.5%