inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 102 Excitement4.2 [1012] MVPUdonis Haslem (MIA): +11.9%
Cleveland Cavaliers 82 Comeback1.5 [435] LVPDwyane Wade (MIA): -21.4%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Udonis Haslem0.120,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.110.030.031369%0.1200.0000%0.00
Eddie Jones0.050,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.060.000.011458%0.0500.00580%0.00
Keyon Dooling0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.05-0.000.02667%0.0300.0000%0.00
Shandon Anderson0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.00-0.01560%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Rasual Butler0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Alonzo Mourning0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.060.00-0.06217%0.0010.00250%0.00
Wang Zhi-zhi0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Christian Laettner-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.000.02470%0.021-0.03250%-0.01
Michael Doleac-0.040,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.02-0.000.01743%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Shaquille O'Neal-0.050,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.02-0.011245%-0.0510.00560%-0.01
Damon Jones-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.070.01-0.010.08560%-0.051-0.0300%0.00
Dwyane Wade-0.210,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.23,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21-0.24-0.03-0.052236%-0.086-0.13667%-0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ira Newble0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.01-0.01540%0.0100.0000%0.00
Sasha Pavlovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.010.000.01450%0.0000.0000%0.00
DeSagana Diop0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Eric Snow0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.030.00-0.0320%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Lucious Harris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.000.00140%-0.0300.00367%-0.01
LeBron James0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.00-0.010.021951%-0.011-0.02771%-0.00
Robert Traylor0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.06-0.01-0.02643%-0.012-0.032100%0.01
Jiri Welsch0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.06-0.010.01933%-0.041-0.0300%0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0,0.01,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.04-0.020.021558%0.014-0.08875%0.00
Jeff McInnis0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.12-0.10-0.02-0.01920%-0.1100.0020%-0.02
Drew Gooden0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.09-0.030.01950%-0.014-0.11475%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.72.833.216.727.02.826.1132.1
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +27.1%
MIA +1.9%
MIA +15.5%
MIA +6.1%
CLE -0.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIACLENBAMIACLENBA
this game16.015.315.5110.989.1104.0
season15.716.2107.9104.6
opponent15.315.5103.9101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA17.315.212.619.016.0
CLE14.012.520.115.315.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Eddie Jones67690.430.070.37-0.152002015.417.6-2.2315.016.3-1.25
Shaquille O'Neal51530.340.160.17-0.101551015.716.3-0.5714.915.8-0.90
Shandon Anderson31310.280.220.07-0.161551017.415.32.1215.115.4-0.35
Dwyane Wade79760.280.220.060.13515-1015.916.4-0.4715.813.12.74
Christian Laettner32330.270.230.04-0.11137615.716.1-0.3512.716.8-4.05
Damon Jones62620.250.250.01-0.01911-214.918.3-3.4015.814.41.32
Keyon Dooling30300.250.25-0.01-0.08119218.314.93.4014.415.8-1.32
Udonis Haslem55540.230.27-0.040.06614-816.115.80.2317.112.74.41
Michael Doleac36340.160.34-0.170.05416-1216.315.80.4916.314.81.54
Rasual Butler780.000.50-0.500.00020-2016.316.00.3314.415.4-1.04
Alonzo Mourning550.000.50-0.50-0.03119-1816.416.00.4512.815.5-2.67
Wang Zhi-zhi550.000.50-0.50-0.03119-1816.416.00.4512.815.5-2.67

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Sasha Pavlovic1090.00-0.500.500.000-202015.415.30.0816.715.90.76
Lucious Harris1010-0.09-0.410.32-0.00-3-171411.815.8-3.9616.016.00.02
Eric Snow3434-0.14-0.360.230.04-6-14814.216.0-1.7818.314.63.72
Robert Traylor5152-0.16-0.340.170.07-8-12414.516.3-1.7916.215.60.63
Ira Newble4646-0.17-0.330.16-0.08-3-171414.815.9-1.0915.216.7-1.52
DeSagana Diop1614-0.18-0.320.130.08-9-11214.115.6-1.5315.316.1-0.82
Zydrunas Ilgauskas6769-0.23-0.270.030.03-9-11216.412.34.1316.614.22.41
Jiri Welsch4241-0.34-0.16-0.180.16-17-3-1416.414.51.9016.515.60.88
Jeff McInnis5858-0.36-0.14-0.230.05-14-6-816.014.21.7814.618.3-3.72
LeBron James7678-0.40-0.10-0.300.10-17-3-1415.514.31.2316.115.40.73
Drew Gooden5049-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.01-14-6-815.015.7-0.6315.017.0-2.01


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.18,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
GSW 108, MIL 950.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.29,0.3,0.27,0.22,0.23,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.16,0.18,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.3%
WAS 112, DEN 1000.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.32,0.19,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,095.9%
PHI 103, WAS 900.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.53,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.31,0.34,0.32,0.26,0.2,0.18,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.23,0.22,0.15,0.17,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.8%