NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	112		Excitement	4.1 [989]		MVP	JJ Redick (LAC): +23.3%
Detroit Pistons	103		Comeback	1.5 [804]		LVP	Brandon Jennings (DET): -11.7%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JJ Redick	0.23	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.14	0.05	-0.05	9	74%	0.26	2	-0.02	9	78%	0.04
Jamal Crawford	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.15	-0.00	0.05	13	81%	0.14	3	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Jared Dudley	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.00	3	117%	0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	11	57%	0.05	0	0.00	6	0%	-0.09
Blake Griffin	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.02	16	57%	0.11	4	-0.08	12	58%	-0.04
Ryan Hollins	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.02	8	62%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Darius Morris	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.08	0.00	-0.07	4	0%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.14	-0.00	-0.04	6	25%	-0.05	4	-0.05	4	100%	0.02

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.10	0.01	0.04	20	62%	0.09	2	-0.03	7	86%	-0.00
Josh Smith	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	22	51%	0.06	1	-0.02	3	0%	-0.06
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	6	75%	0.06	2	-0.02	8	62%	-0.00
Josh Harrellson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.01	0.01	4	60%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Will Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	-0.02	0.04	6	85%	0.04	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.00	3	60%	0.04	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.02
Kyle Singler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	10	36%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	-0.00
Brandon Jennings	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.13	-0.01	-0.02	7	0%	-0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.0	35.2	17.5	26.3	1.7	38.0	146.2
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +32.7%

LAC +4.9%

LAC +9.7%

LAC +0.7%

LAC +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	DET	NBA	LAC	DET	NBA
this game	14.9	15.1	15.1	115.5	108.4	105.2
season	14.3	15.0		111.0	104.7
opponent	15.0	15.4		108.4	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.2	13.8	13.3	17.4	14.9
DET	16.9	15.0	15.5	13.2	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JJ Redick	74	73	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.18	11	-2	13	15.2	13.9	1.32	14.8	16.3	-1.49
DeAndre Jordan	79	79	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.17	8	1	7	15.2	13.3	1.89	15.4	14.0	1.35
Jared Dudley	37	35	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.01	12	-3	15	14.1	15.4	-1.29	15.9	14.7	1.16
Hedo Turkoglu	31	30	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.01	10	-1	11	14.7	15.0	-0.24	15.6	14.9	0.64
Jamal Crawford	54	53	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.18	4	5	-1	15.1	14.6	0.49	15.0	15.3	-0.29
Blake Griffin	65	64	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.16	1	8	-7	14.8	15.0	-0.18	15.2	15.1	0.09
Darren Collison	63	62	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.06	4	5	-1	15.0	14.7	0.26	14.8	15.7	-0.83
Ryan Hollins	18	16	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.06	1	8	-7	13.3	15.2	-1.89	14.0	15.4	-1.35
Darius Morris	12	11	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.09	0	9	-9	10.8	15.4	-4.61	15.6	15.1	0.58
Matt Barnes	52	52	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.26	-6	15	-21	15.8	13.8	1.92	15.2	15.0	0.15

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Harrellson	12	12	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.00	-2	-7	5	14.8	15.2	-0.34	11.2	15.4	-4.23
Brandon Jennings	55	58	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.14	2	-11	13	14.9	15.4	-0.56	15.2	14.3	0.91
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	41	42	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.28	5	-14	19	13.5	16.3	-2.80	15.9	14.1	1.81
Josh Smith	82	84	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.32	3	-12	15	14.9	16.8	-1.90	15.6	10.1	5.54
Andre Drummond	67	69	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.16	-4	-5	1	15.3	14.7	0.63	14.8	15.2	-0.42
Will Bynum	34	34	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.04	-14	5	-19	16.0	14.7	1.31	14.1	15.3	-1.17
Greg Monroe	59	59	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.01	-13	4	-17	16.0	13.6	2.40	14.8	15.0	-0.16
Rodney Stuckey	68	69	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.22	-7	-2	-5	15.3	14.7	0.54	14.9	14.9	-0.02
Kyle Singler	57	58	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.12	-14	5	-19	15.1	15.2	-0.10	14.1	16.0	-1.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.49,0.38,0.33,0.27,0.28,0.23,0.24,0.19,0.31,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 112, MIN 95	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.42,0.38,0.3,0.3,0.16,0.18,0.28,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.2,0.22,0.15,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
CLE 107, POR 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.24,0.25,0.21,0.23,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	95.8%
SAS 110, POR 90	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.5,0.53,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.26,0.2,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.16,0.23,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.08,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%