NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	107		Excitement	4.7 [913]		MVP	Nick Van Exel (POR): +15.5%
Portland Trail Blazers	101		Comeback	1.6 [390]		LVP	Ruben Patterson (POR): -19.0%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.11	0.01	0.03	16	71%	0.12	2	-0.02	6	67%	-0.02
Eric Snow	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	-0.00	-0.02	8	65%	0.06	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Lucious Harris	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	70%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.00	12	68%	0.09	2	-0.04	7	71%	-0.01
Drew Gooden	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.02	0.00	13	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Robert Traylor	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ira Newble	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	14	35%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	4	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.18	0.02	0.05	16	78%	0.18	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Richie Frahm	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.05	-0.02	0.06	21	61%	0.04	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Ha Seung-Jin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.02	-0.02	0.06	9	59%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	2	25%	-0.04	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.01
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	0.06	6	53%	-0.07	2	-0.05	5	60%	-0.02
James Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.13	-0.01	-0.00	6	37%	-0.05	4	-0.08	4	50%	-0.02
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.20	-0.03	-0.04	13	39%	-0.10	5	-0.09	10	40%	-0.09

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	1.0	28.0	15.5	26.5	2.4	32.5	133.8
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +23.3%

CLE +2.5%

POR -0.1%

CLE +20.9%

CLE +3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	POR	NBA	CLE	POR	NBA
this game	14.9	15.4	15.5	111.5	107.4	104.0
season	16.2	15.8		104.6	101.2
opponent	15.6	15.3		105.4	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	13.3	14.9	14.6	16.8	14.9
POR	14.9	16.4	17.5	13.2	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff McInnis	81	80	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.17	8	-2	10	15.3	12.7	2.54	15.6	14.6	0.94
LeBron James	88	86	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.36	0	6	-6	14.8	15.4	-0.55	15.2	17.9	-2.65
Ira Newble	56	55	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.31	0	6	-6	14.6	15.2	-0.60	15.5	15.3	0.19
Robert Traylor	19	19	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.00	10	-4	14	16.1	14.6	1.53	18.1	14.8	3.27
Eric Snow	42	39	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.29	-1	7	-8	15.1	14.7	0.43	15.1	15.7	-0.63
Drew Gooden	43	43	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.03	7	-1	8	14.0	15.6	-1.58	16.4	14.6	1.79
Anderson Varejao	37	36	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.04	6	0	6	15.1	14.8	0.29	15.2	15.6	-0.41
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	77	75	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.33	-4	10	-14	14.6	16.1	-1.53	14.8	18.1	-3.27
Sasha Pavlovic	17	17	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.02	3	3	0	16.6	14.5	2.08	16.6	15.2	1.47
Lucious Harris	20	20	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.08	1	5	-4	13.7	15.2	-1.42	13.7	15.9	-2.22

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sebastian Telfair	21	19	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.02	2	-8	10	14.7	15.7	-1.00	18.3	14.0	4.22
Richie Frahm	4	5	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.18	6	-12	18	8.2	15.8	-7.52	7.6	15.3	-7.67
Theo Ratliff	2	2	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.02	-1	-5	4	17.0	15.4	1.59	22.5	14.7	7.79
Ha Seung-Jin	17	17	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.01	-2	-4	2	16.1	15.3	0.75	12.2	15.5	-3.28
Derek Anderson	48	51	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.33	9	-15	24	14.1	16.8	-2.70	16.3	13.2	3.07
Ruben Patterson	73	73	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.22	-1	-5	4	15.6	15.0	0.58	14.9	14.9	-0.05
Nick Van Exel	75	77	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.44	6	-12	18	15.7	14.6	1.02	14.8	15.3	-0.55
Travis Outlaw	25	26	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.06	-14	8	-22	17.5	14.7	2.77	15.2	14.8	0.44
Joel Przybilla	70	71	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.31	-2	-4	2	14.9	17.0	-2.09	15.9	11.9	4.05
James Thomas	56	59	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	0.03	-19	13	-32	16.6	13.8	2.78	12.9	18.1	-5.22
Damon Stoudamire	79	80	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.25	-14	8	-22	15.4	15.9	-0.50	14.5	16.5	-1.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.24,0.25,0.21,0.23,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 109, MEM 95	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.33,0.34,0.31,0.2,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0	96.4%
LAL 112, MIN 95	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.42,0.38,0.3,0.3,0.16,0.18,0.28,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.2,0.22,0.15,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%
LAC 112, DET 103	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.49,0.38,0.33,0.27,0.28,0.23,0.24,0.19,0.31,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	95.8%