NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	109		Excitement	4.4 [918]		MVP	Jason Richardson (PHX): +21.3%
Memphis Grizzlies	95		Comeback	1.5 [671]		LVP	Mike Conley (MEM): -7.8%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Richardson	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.20	0.04	0.03	17	75%	0.24	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.02	-0.05	8	62%	0.10	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.01	-0.02	7	69%	0.09	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Robin Lopez	0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	11	58%	0.07	2	-0.02	9	67%	-0.01
Grant Hill	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.03	3	83%	0.05	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Lou Amundson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Steve Nash	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	4	40%	-0.01	2	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Earl Clark	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.02	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	21	44%	-0.01	2	-0.01	6	83%	-0.00
Channing Frye	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.00	0.01	6	75%	0.08	2	-0.02	8	62%	-0.01
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	11	62%	0.06	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Zach Randolph	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	17	46%	0.04	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.02
Marcus Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	62%	0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.00	19	47%	0.01	1	-0.01	7	86%	0.00
Hasheem Thabeet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMarre Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.01	12	31%	-0.07	0	0.00	11	27%	-0.09
Darrell Arthur	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	5	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	0.03	12	36%	-0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.8	33.4	17.5	29.4	2.4	30.2	141.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +38.2%

PHX +10.4%

MEM -7.8%

PHX +10.0%

MEM -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	MEM	NBA	PHX	MEM	NBA
this game	14.5	15.0	15.3	112.4	96.9	106.0
season	14.4	15.4		113.5	106.8
opponent	15.0	15.5		108.4	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	11.6	16.2	11.8	19.2	14.5
MEM	15.6	15.8	16.3	12.1	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Grant Hill	66	68	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.02	18	-4	22	14.6	14.4	0.17	14.5	16.3	-1.88
Jared Dudley	54	54	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.12	6	8	-2	15.4	13.4	1.99	16.2	13.6	2.53
Robin Lopez	62	62	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.02	9	5	4	14.4	14.7	-0.28	13.6	17.4	-3.77
Goran Dragic	30	32	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.08	6	8	-2	16.0	13.8	2.21	15.0	15.0	0.00
Steve Nash	67	66	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.01	8	6	2	13.8	16.0	-2.21	15.0	15.0	-0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	75	75	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.11	4	10	-6	14.2	15.5	-1.23	14.7	16.0	-1.32
Channing Frye	35	36	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.07	5	9	-4	14.7	14.4	0.28	17.4	13.6	3.77
Jason Richardson	74	74	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.08	4	10	-6	13.8	16.7	-2.93	14.7	16.0	-1.23
Earl Clark	5	5	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.05	8	6	2	14.0	14.5	-0.53	13.4	15.1	-1.72
Lou Amundson	17	18	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.04	2	12	-10	15.9	14.2	1.67	16.8	14.6	2.14

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMarre Carroll	14	13	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.16	5	-19	24	15.6	14.9	0.71	14.9	14.4	0.48
Marcus Williams	21	20	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.10	2	-16	18	17.7	14.3	3.42	13.1	14.9	-1.77
Hasheem Thabeet	4	5	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.04	-5	-9	4	20.5	14.8	5.70	17.4	14.3	3.05
Zach Randolph	82	80	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.19	0	-14	14	14.9	15.5	-0.56	14.5	14.7	-0.24
Darrell Arthur	37	35	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.06	-5	-9	4	15.6	14.7	0.86	14.1	14.7	-0.61
Sam Young	42	41	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.05	-10	-4	-6	17.6	13.1	4.57	13.7	15.1	-1.47
O.J. Mayo	67	67	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.03	-14	0	-14	14.3	16.6	-2.27	14.6	14.2	0.44
Mike Conley	71	71	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.09	-11	-3	-8	14.1	17.4	-3.23	15.1	12.9	2.21
Marc Gasol	66	67	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.01	-15	1	-16	14.6	15.9	-1.30	14.7	14.1	0.54
Rudy Gay	86	86	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.04	-17	3	-20	14.2	20.8	-6.61	14.5	14.7	-0.25

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.47,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.33,0.34,0.31,0.2,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.1,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 107, POR 101	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.24,0.25,0.21,0.23,0.31,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	96.4%
LAL 112, MIN 95	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.42,0.38,0.3,0.3,0.16,0.18,0.28,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.2,0.22,0.15,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%
IND 95, ORL 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.25,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.11,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0	95.5%