NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	95		Excitement	4.7 [840]		MVP	Travis Best (IND): +8.5%
Orlando Magic	92		Comeback	1.3 [622]		LVP	Horace Grant (ORL): -15.6%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Travis Best	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	-0.01	6	83%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05	0.00	0.03	-0.02	5	65%	0.06	1	-0.01	10	70%	0.02
Mark Jackson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03	0.08	-0.03	0.02	9	75%	0.09	1	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Reggie Miller	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	8	57%	0.03	0	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Chris Mullin	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	13	60%	0.05	3	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Dale Davis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	7	71%	0.06	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rik Smits	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	13	46%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Mark Pope	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Rose	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.14	-0.03	-0.04	7	14%	-0.06	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dan Schayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Harper	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.03	0.03	10	60%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mark Price	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	12	42%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brian Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rony Seikaly	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.02	0.01	27	51%	-0.00	3	-0.06	18	72%	-0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	0.03	6	50%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	-0.01
Gerald Wilkins	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	9	30%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.02	-0.01	8	25%	-0.06	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Horace Grant	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16	-0.16	-0.06	-0.07	0.02	17	41%	-0.13	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.4	20.8	15.0	24.1	1.7	37.3	126.6
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +61.1%

IND +6.0%

ORL -17.1%

ORL -2.4%

IND +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	ORL	NBA	IND	ORL	NBA
this game	14.7	16.9	15.6	104.4	101.1	102.5
season	16.0	16.7		105.3	100.3
opponent	15.6	16.1		101.4	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	15.8	14.0	16.6	13.0	14.7
ORL	18.5	18.1	16.9	14.7	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Miller	65	65	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.27	4	-1	5	14.8	14.6	0.14	17.2	16.2	1.09
Rik Smits	55	58	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.21	6	-3	9	15.3	13.7	1.60	16.7	17.3	-0.58
Dale Davis	59	58	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.17	6	-3	9	15.1	14.0	1.10	16.7	17.4	-0.67
Antonio Davis	65	63	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.43	-5	8	-13	13.9	16.8	-2.88	17.0	16.8	0.16
Mark Jackson	57	58	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.34	-2	5	-7	15.1	14.0	1.09	17.0	16.8	0.23
Chris Mullin	47	49	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.01	9	-6	15	16.0	13.3	2.70	16.8	17.1	-0.26
Jalen Rose	44	42	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.40	-6	9	-15	13.3	16.0	-2.70	17.1	16.8	0.26
Travis Best	34	33	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.07	5	-2	7	14.0	15.1	-1.09	16.8	17.0	-0.23
Fred Hoiberg	26	26	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.14	-1	4	-5	14.6	14.8	-0.14	16.2	17.2	-1.09
Mark Pope	3	3	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	4	-5	13.3	14.8	-1.43	24.7	16.7	8.00

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Evans	23	23	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	0	-3	18.4	16.4	1.95	14.7	14.7	0.03
Derek Harper	50	50	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.41	10	-13	23	17.1	16.7	0.37	14.3	15.2	-0.88
Dan Schayes	6	6	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.03	-6	3	-9	23.8	16.4	7.39	12.7	14.9	-2.19
Darrell Armstrong	42	43	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.35	6	-9	15	16.1	17.6	-1.47	13.7	15.6	-1.84
Mark Price	49	48	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.15	-7	4	-11	17.6	16.1	1.47	15.6	13.7	1.84
Rony Seikaly	85	85	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.44	3	-6	9	16.4	23.8	-7.39	14.9	12.7	2.19
Horace Grant	83	83	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.47	3	-6	9	16.9	17.4	-0.48	14.7	15.2	-0.59
Gerald Wilkins	41	41	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.01	-13	10	-23	16.7	17.1	-0.37	15.2	14.3	0.88
Bo Outlaw	76	76	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.28	-8	5	-13	16.5	18.9	-2.39	14.8	14.5	0.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.25,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.11,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 93, IND 79	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.38,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.44,0.4,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.25,0.15,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	96.0%
LAL 106, GSW 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.47,0.43,0.53,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.46,0.36,0.31,0.35,0.25,0.29,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.15,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	95.9%
MEM 103, PHI 77	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.3,0.23,0.31,0.42,0.33,0.36,0.25,0.21,0.18,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%