NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	106		Excitement	4.1 [1010]		MVP	Brian Cook (LAL): +9.3%
Golden State Warriors	94		Comeback	1.4 [462]		LVP	Derek Fisher (GSW): -16.9%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Cook	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.11	0.01	0.02	5	80%	0.09	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Devean George	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.01	3	133%	0.08	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08	0.02	0.04	-0.01	29	55%	0.17	6	-0.10	18	89%	0.05
Chris Mihm	0.06	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	8	57%	0.06	0	0.00	12	67%	-0.02
Kwame Brown	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	58%	0.03	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Andrew Bynum	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Walton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	5	38%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Smush Parker	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	3	83%	0.04	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	5	58%	0.01	5	-0.09	2	50%	-0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Monta Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andris Biedrins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.01	0.01	8	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.01	0.04	14	55%	0.04	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.04
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.02	0.02	26	48%	0.00	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.00
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	60%	0.03	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ike Diogu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	6	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	5	43%	-0.00	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Baron Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	12	42%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.21	-0.01	-0.05	12	15%	-0.13	3	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.9	3.3	32.3	16.4	28.8	1.7	35.6	146.0
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +49.7%

LAL +9.3%

GSW -0.8%

GSW -13.8%

LAL +5.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	GSW	NBA	LAL	GSW	NBA
this game	15.1	14.9	15.6	108.2	100.0	104.4
season	15.6	14.8		106.2	102.9
opponent	15.5	15.5		104.0	104.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.7	12.5	15.6	18.0	15.1
GSW	12.4	17.0	15.7	14.6	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Bryant	83	80	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.03	20	-8	28	15.6	12.6	3.00	15.3	12.1	3.18
Brian Cook	49	46	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.03	16	-4	20	14.3	16.0	-1.76	15.2	14.5	0.63
Sasha Vujacic	61	58	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.12	8	4	4	16.1	13.6	2.49	14.7	15.1	-0.38
Kwame Brown	48	46	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.10	6	6	0	16.0	14.3	1.68	15.0	14.7	0.38
Lamar Odom	76	74	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.09	5	7	-2	15.8	12.8	3.00	14.8	14.9	-0.06
Luke Walton	43	40	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.24	-1	13	-14	15.0	15.3	-0.25	15.5	14.4	1.17
Chris Mihm	49	48	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.03	6	6	0	14.6	15.7	-1.06	14.7	15.0	-0.38
Smush Parker	35	34	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.00	5	7	-2	12.7	16.5	-3.78	14.9	14.8	0.10
Andrew Bynum	1	0	0.01	0.49	-0.47	0.01	0	12	-12	0.0	15.3	-15.30	0.0	14.9	-14.85
Devean George	45	44	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.14	-5	17	-22	14.9	15.4	-0.51	13.2	16.3	-3.10

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andris Biedrins	31	33	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.04	3	-15	18	13.0	15.8	-2.76	16.8	14.3	2.48
Ike Diogu	15	14	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.00	-5	-7	2	18.5	14.2	4.38	12.8	15.5	-2.75
Baron Davis	50	52	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.25	0	-12	12	14.8	14.9	-0.07	15.7	14.5	1.21
Adonal Foyle	41	43	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.08	-6	-6	0	14.5	15.1	-0.64	15.1	15.2	-0.09
Derek Fisher	69	72	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.00	-9	-3	-6	14.8	15.1	-0.31	15.2	14.8	0.40
Monta Ellis	28	30	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.09	-6	-6	0	14.6	14.9	-0.30	15.5	15.0	0.56
Mike Dunleavy	43	46	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.16	-4	-8	4	15.3	14.5	0.83	14.9	15.3	-0.39
Jason Richardson	78	81	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.06	-8	-4	-4	14.7	15.6	-0.93	15.2	14.9	0.24
Mickael Pietrus	46	47	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.06	-13	1	-14	15.0	14.7	0.29	14.0	16.2	-2.20
Troy Murphy	69	72	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.12	-12	0	-12	15.1	14.2	0.89	15.0	15.5	-0.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.47,0.43,0.53,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.46,0.36,0.31,0.35,0.25,0.29,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.15,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 93, IND 79	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.38,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.54,0.44,0.4,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.25,0.15,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	96.4%
SAC 118, VAN 90	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.31,0.26,0.33,0.31,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%
ORL 95, TOR 68	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.52,0.49,0.36,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.32,0.27,0.31,0.33,0.31,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.12,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%