inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 99 Excitement2.9 [1184] MVPDamian Lillard (POR): +16.6%
Portland Trail Blazers 118 Comeback1.3 [1100] LVPAnthony Tolliver (DET): -3.0%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Caron Butler0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.140.000.074137%0.0700.0000%0.00
Jodie Meeks0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.100.000.03867%0.0700.005100%0.01
Greg Monroe0.030,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.06-0.010.021361%0.082-0.055100%0.02
Cartier Martin0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01450%0.0000.0000%0.00
John Lucas III0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Joel Anthony0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Shawne Williams0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope-0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.010.000.011443%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Spencer Dinwiddie-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.00-0.00642%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Reggie Jackson-0.020,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.011342%-0.011-0.0100%0.00
Tayshaun Prince-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.01-0.000.03550%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Andre Drummond-0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.000.000.021744%-0.0200.0020%-0.03
Anthony Tolliver-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.080.00-0.05617%-0.011-0.0200%0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Damian Lillard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.170.250.010.101293%0.1710.00683%0.00
Meyers Leonard0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.140.010.047100%0.1110.001100%0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.09-0.00-0.021663%0.132-0.033100%0.01
Chris Kaman0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.070.01-0.011067%0.091-0.0110%-0.01
Robin Lopez0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.050.00-0.01865%0.071-0.011100%0.00
Arron Afflalo0,0,0,0,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.10-0.000.04971%0.081-0.023100%0.01
Steve Blake00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Allen Crabbe0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Joel Freeland0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dorell Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.020.000.03367%-0.0100.0000%0.00
CJ McCollum0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.090.00-0.08928%-0.002-0.0100%0.00
Nicolas Batum0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.03-0.00-0.01440%-0.001-0.012100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.52.325.315.422.11.728.5116.8
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
POR +40.2%
POR +10.3%
DET -1.0%
POR +0.7%
DET -0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETPORNBADETPORNBA
this game16.115.915.1110.0131.1104.2
season15.715.3104.0106.5
opponent15.015.3102.7105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET15.515.516.317.116.1
POR18.015.815.714.215.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Cartier Martin9100.00-0.500.50-0.031-202115.216.2-0.9813.816.2-2.36
John Lucas III890.00-0.500.50-0.031-202114.016.3-2.3014.416.1-1.62
Joel Anthony890.00-0.500.50-0.031-202114.016.3-2.3014.416.1-1.62
Shawne Williams780.00-0.500.500.03-1-181716.416.10.3613.916.1-2.22
Caron Butler3636-0.07-0.430.37-0.101-202115.816.3-0.4416.415.50.91
Anthony Tolliver3939-0.19-0.310.12-0.01-6-13716.815.51.3216.015.80.18
Spencer Dinwiddie2928-0.20-0.300.100.18-13-6-717.615.42.1915.516.1-0.53
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope5050-0.21-0.290.09-0.06-5-14915.217.2-2.0715.915.9-0.04
Reggie Jackson5353-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.09-7-12515.616.8-1.2116.315.31.07
Jodie Meeks4747-0.36-0.14-0.220.08-15-4-1116.415.70.6815.816.0-0.15
Tayshaun Prince3837-0.37-0.13-0.240.22-201-2117.415.22.2016.115.80.26
Greg Monroe6260-0.40-0.10-0.300.19-201-2116.016.4-0.4315.816.0-0.20
Andre Drummond6464-0.41-0.09-0.32-0.06-12-7-516.016.3-0.3516.414.81.59

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
LaMarcus Aldridge53540.350.150.19-0.00127516.515.01.4815.417.1-1.73
Nicolas Batum55570.320.180.13-0.06136715.516.5-1.0116.116.10.01
Chris Kaman32320.310.190.120.02109117.215.21.9517.215.51.74
Arron Afflalo52520.310.190.11-0.05127515.716.1-0.3615.916.4-0.51
Damian Lillard55560.290.210.09-0.09136716.115.60.4415.716.7-0.93
Steve Blake28280.210.29-0.090.06514-915.915.9-0.0617.015.71.36
CJ McCollum41400.190.31-0.11-0.04811-316.315.60.6816.615.70.99
Robin Lopez49500.190.31-0.12-0.11109115.316.6-1.2115.716.6-0.85
Dorell Wright32310.180.32-0.130.04514-916.315.70.6915.716.3-0.55
Meyers Leonard37360.150.35-0.19-0.05712-515.016.5-1.4817.115.41.73
Allen Crabbe980.000.50-0.500.03-120-2114.416.1-1.6214.016.3-2.30
Joel Freeland760.000.50-0.50-0.03118-1714.716.0-1.2915.016.2-1.18


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.54,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.53,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.76,0.77,0.79,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.88,0.93,0.92,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.97,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
VAN 91, HOU 1180.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.82,0.82,0.86,0.9,0.86,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.88,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.7%
CHI 95, MEM 1240.5,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.55,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.68,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.73,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.87,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.4%
NJN 92, ATL 1040.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.8,0.82,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.91,0.89,0.86,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.92,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,196.3%