NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	95		Excitement	3.1 [1149]		MVP	Shane Battier (MEM): +13.6%
Memphis Grizzlies	124		Comeback	1.4 [906]		LVP	Jamal Crawford (CHI): -6.7%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donyell Marshall	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.00	-0.00	10	73%	0.08	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Eddy Curry	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	14	64%	0.06	2	-0.03	5	60%	-0.01
Tyson Chandler	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.01	8	68%	0.05	2	-0.04	3	33%	-0.02
Fred Hoiberg	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dalibor Bagaric	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.11	0.00	-0.11	4	10%	-0.00	2	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Roger Mason Jr.	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lonny Baxter	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	5	56%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Corie Blount	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Trenton Hassell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jay Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.11	-0.00	-0.06	11	50%	-0.01	6	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Jalen Rose	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	-0.00	-0.04	14	40%	-0.02	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	-0.04	7	29%	-0.03	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.00	-0.04	12	71%	0.14	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.15	-0.00	0.04	15	73%	0.11	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.00
Wesley Person	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.01	13	57%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.12	0.00	0.06	8	92%	0.10	2	-0.04	8	75%	0.01
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	7	47%	0.01	1	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Brevin Knight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	5	58%	0.03	3	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Jason Williams	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	6	79%	0.04	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Robert Archibald	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Mike Batiste	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	7	60%	0.02	3	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Ryan Humphrey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	4	36%	-0.01	1	-0.00	3	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.6	28.2	16.5	28.4	2.4	28.6	132.4
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +30.6%

MEM +8.1%

CHI -1.9%

MEM +12.1%

MEM +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	MEM	NBA	CHI	MEM	NBA
this game	14.9	13.7	15.5	95.0	122.8	101.6
season	15.0	15.3		98.3	101.8
opponent	15.2	15.1		105.1	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.4	15.7	14.8	14.8	14.9
MEM	13.3	13.1	15.8	12.8	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Roger Mason Jr.	18	18	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.13	-5	-24	19	14.2	15.1	-0.96	13.6	13.7	-0.12
Trenton Hassell	43	43	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.30	-13	-16	3	14.9	15.0	-0.12	13.7	13.7	-0.07
Corie Blount	20	21	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.02	-4	-25	21	14.2	15.1	-0.88	12.1	14.1	-1.98
Tyson Chandler	47	46	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.12	-9	-20	11	15.3	14.7	0.58	13.6	13.8	-0.19
Dalibor Bagaric	21	22	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.19	-12	-17	5	15.5	14.8	0.67	13.5	13.8	-0.27
Jamal Crawford	58	58	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.08	-9	-20	11	15.0	14.8	0.20	14.3	12.9	1.48
Lonny Baxter	32	35	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.00	-7	-22	15	14.7	15.1	-0.34	13.7	13.7	0.00
Fred Hoiberg	15	15	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.07	-10	-19	9	13.4	15.2	-1.82	12.5	13.9	-1.39
Eddy Curry	63	64	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.10	-13	-16	3	15.5	14.1	1.42	14.7	11.9	2.79
Donyell Marshall	66	64	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.28	-20	-9	-11	14.7	15.4	-0.70	13.9	13.5	0.40
Jay Williams	52	53	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	0.42	-25	-4	-21	14.9	15.0	-0.02	12.5	15.0	-2.53
Jalen Rose	65	66	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.08	-18	-11	-7	15.2	14.5	0.63	14.0	13.3	0.70

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shane Battier	73	72	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.13	22	7	15	14.0	13.0	1.04	14.9	15.1	-0.22
Pau Gasol	58	59	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.09	17	12	5	13.9	13.5	0.35	14.8	15.2	-0.37
Wesley Person	55	56	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.05	14	15	-1	14.4	12.8	1.59	15.0	14.9	0.07
Stromile Swift	63	65	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.27	19	10	9	13.4	14.2	-0.76	15.9	13.2	2.65
Brevin Knight	51	48	0.27	0.23	0.05	-0.34	21	8	13	12.9	14.5	-1.56	15.0	14.9	0.10
Mike Batiste	51	48	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.35	21	8	13	13.1	14.3	-1.20	14.6	15.3	-0.71
Jason Williams	50	52	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.01	8	21	-13	14.5	12.9	1.56	14.9	15.0	-0.10
Earl Watson	54	52	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.26	15	14	1	13.2	14.3	-1.05	14.8	15.1	-0.34
Robert Archibald	12	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	28	-27	16.7	13.3	3.45	14.3	15.0	-0.76
Ryan Humphrey	38	37	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.22	7	22	-15	12.9	14.2	-1.31	14.5	15.2	-0.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.55,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.68,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.73,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.87,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 90, MIN 122	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.77,0.77,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.76,0.74,0.82,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
NOK 84, SAS 111	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.5,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.74,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.89,0.95,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
ATL 98, IND 112	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.66,0.79,0.83,0.78,0.8,0.73,0.78,0.8,0.82,0.82,0.88,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%