NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	98		Excitement	3.0 [1174]		MVP	Mike Dunleavy (IND): +8.0%
Indiana Pacers	112		Comeback	1.6 [754]		LVP	Mike Bibby (ATL): -10.6%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Childress	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	14	50%	0.05	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.00
Salim Stoudamire	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	4	67%	0.01	1	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Al Horford	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	7	29%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.09	-0.00	0.09	24	59%	0.01	2	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Zaza Pachulia	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	4	29%	0.00	1	-0.02	6	67%	0.01
Solomon Jones	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	-0.02	0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.02	18	52%	0.02	3	-0.04	12	92%	0.01
Marvin Williams	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	14	38%	-0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Mike Bibby	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.13	-0.00	-0.02	8	11%	-0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.18	0.00	0.10	16	68%	0.09	1	-0.01	9	89%	0.01
Danny Granger	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.00	-0.02	11	62%	0.09	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	-0.00	0.02	4	100%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	-0.00	13	58%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.00	0.01	11	67%	0.08	3	-0.03	8	62%	0.00
Troy Murphy	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	6	54%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Shawne Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.00	-0.04	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	10	45%	0.02	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Kareem Rush	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Diener	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.09	0.00	-0.04	5	20%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	1.8	27.4	15.3	26.0	1.8	28.2	127.2
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +50.4%

IND +2.8%

ATL -0.5%

ATL -1.2%

ATL -1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	IND	NBA	ATL	IND	NBA
this game	15.3	14.5	15.4	102.1	115.5	105.7
season	15.4	13.8		104.2	104.5
opponent	15.2	15.7		105.6	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.0	15.1	16.5	15.8	15.3
IND	13.1	15.5	13.0	17.0	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Salim Stoudamire	27	26	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.53	18	-32	50	15.7	15.2	0.51	15.9	14.1	1.83
Solomon Jones	5	5	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.01	-2	-12	10	19.0	15.1	3.90	9.8	14.8	-5.00
Al Horford	39	41	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.27	-12	-2	-10	14.2	16.1	-1.85	14.5	14.6	-0.06
Marvin Williams	65	67	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.27	-17	3	-20	14.3	17.4	-3.03	15.4	12.7	2.72
Josh Smith	78	79	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.35	0	-14	14	15.0	16.5	-1.47	14.8	13.5	1.28
Joe Johnson	88	89	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.02	-13	-1	-12	15.7	10.9	4.83	14.2	18.1	-3.90
Zaza Pachulia	46	45	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.18	-9	-5	-4	16.3	14.4	1.97	14.1	15.0	-0.89
Josh Childress	76	76	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.15	-10	-4	-6	15.9	13.1	2.78	14.5	14.7	-0.21
Mike Bibby	56	57	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.25	-25	11	-36	14.8	16.0	-1.15	14.0	15.3	-1.32

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marquis Daniels	72	70	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.29	28	-14	42	14.8	13.7	1.11	15.4	15.0	0.41
Ronald Murray	62	61	0.46	0.04	0.41	-0.37	28	-14	42	13.8	15.9	-2.10	15.2	15.5	-0.33
Mike Dunleavy	81	81	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.14	19	-5	24	14.7	13.7	0.95	15.1	16.6	-1.54
Danny Granger	76	74	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.03	9	5	4	14.2	15.7	-1.43	15.2	15.6	-0.37
Jermaine O'Neal	37	38	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.26	1	13	-12	13.9	14.9	-1.01	16.4	14.6	1.81
Troy Murphy	42	41	0.26	0.24	0.03	-0.21	16	-2	18	14.0	14.9	-0.88	15.1	15.4	-0.31
Shawne Williams	26	26	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.33	-6	20	-26	13.9	14.8	-0.90	17.0	14.7	2.33
Jeff Foster	44	43	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.01	3	11	-8	15.7	13.6	2.12	13.6	16.7	-3.12
Travis Diener	35	35	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.45	-14	28	-42	15.9	13.8	2.10	15.5	15.2	0.33
Kareem Rush	10	11	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.39	-14	28	-42	14.6	14.5	0.06	16.5	15.1	1.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.41,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.66,0.79,0.83,0.78,0.8,0.73,0.78,0.8,0.82,0.82,0.88,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 95, MEM 124	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.55,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.68,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.73,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.87,0.86,0.92,0.94,0.89,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
IND 89, WAS 107	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.49,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.83,0.89,0.81,0.78,0.8,0.82,0.8,0.86,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
CHI 64, UTA 109	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.81,0.8,0.83,0.86,0.89,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%