NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	91		Excitement	9.0 [134]		MVP	Khris Middleton (MIL): +32.3%
Milwaukee Bucks	97		Comeback	4.0 [524]		LVP	Michael Carter-Williams (MIL): -28.4%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Channing Frye	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.14	0.04	0.00	5	108%	0.19	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Aaron Gordon	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.01	5	58%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Luke Ridnour	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Maurice Harkless	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,-0.02,-0.04	0.02	-0.05	0.01	16	53%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Dewayne Dedmon	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Elfrid Payton	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.07	-0.00	12	54%	0.03	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Victor Oladipo	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.19,-0.19	-0.06	-0.13	-0.00	17	37%	-0.17	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.04
Nikola Vucevic	-0.26	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.12,-0.18,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26	-0.08	-0.17	0.01	20	46%	-0.13	5	-0.13	1	100%	0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Khris Middleton	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.26,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.32	0.32	0.24	0.11	0.02	17	83%	0.40	1	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07	0.07	-0.02	0.08	-0.01	9	50%	0.12	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Chris Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Henson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.04	0.00	4	50%	0.06	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Miles Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	0.00	11	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Tyler Ennis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	6	67%	0.16	4	-0.19	0	0%	0.00
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.07	-0.13	0.00	4	25%	-0.09	2	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.03	-0.21	0.01	8	56%	-0.15	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Michael Carter-Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.24,-0.31,-0.31,-0.28,-0.28	-0.28	-0.15	-0.13	0.00	13	37%	-0.13	5	-0.16	4	75%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.9	2.3	26.4	16.8	27.3	2.3	29.6	128.6
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +52.3%

ORL -4.2%

MIL +41.7%

ORL -46.6%

MIL +6.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	MIL	NBA	ORL	MIL	NBA
this game	16.1	13.3	15.1	93.8	98.0	104.2
season	14.9	14.5		100.4	100.5
opponent	15.7	15.3		101.0	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	14.4	14.5	18.6	17.3	16.1
MIL	13.3	12.7	11.4	16.2	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dewayne Dedmon	41	41	0.22	-0.72	0.95	0.08	5	-11	16	16.0	16.2	-0.14	12.8	13.7	-0.87
Maurice Harkless	12	13	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.01	1	-7	8	15.4	16.2	-0.78	15.2	13.0	2.12
Luke Ridnour	28	28	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.08	-1	-5	4	17.6	15.5	2.06	15.9	12.3	3.55
Aaron Gordon	36	37	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.18	-4	-2	-2	16.5	15.9	0.59	13.6	13.2	0.41
Tobias Harris	80	82	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.25	-2	-4	2	15.8	17.6	-1.87	12.9	15.4	-2.46
Victor Oladipo	80	82	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.25	-2	-4	2	15.8	17.6	-1.87	12.9	15.4	-2.46
Nikola Vucevic	78	79	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.22	-6	0	-6	16.3	15.4	0.85	13.6	12.0	1.58
Elfrid Payton	74	75	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.31	-10	4	-14	16.0	16.4	-0.38	12.5	15.8	-3.33
Channing Frye	56	58	-0.72	0.22	-0.95	-0.40	-11	5	-16	16.2	16.0	0.14	13.7	12.8	0.87

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Carter-Williams	73	70	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.38	10	-4	14	12.8	14.6	-1.77	16.0	16.4	-0.37
Giannis Antetokounmpo	63	60	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.42	7	-1	8	12.8	14.3	-1.52	16.3	15.8	0.43
Jared Dudley	44	41	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.39	6	0	6	14.5	12.4	2.10	16.6	15.8	0.79
Zaza Pachulia	49	48	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.30	5	1	4	13.5	13.2	0.31	16.2	16.0	0.21
Khris Middleton	84	83	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.24	4	2	2	13.6	11.7	1.86	16.4	14.1	2.29
John Henson	37	37	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.03	6	0	6	12.8	13.6	-0.76	16.9	15.6	1.28
Chris Johnson	29	28	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.02	1	5	-4	14.0	13.0	1.02	16.9	15.8	1.06
O.J. Mayo	22	23	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.00	0	6	-6	12.9	13.4	-0.58	13.6	16.9	-3.33
Ersan Ilyasova	55	56	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	-0.06	0	6	-6	12.4	14.5	-2.10	15.8	16.6	-0.79
Miles Plumlee	13	12	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.06	-5	11	-16	14.1	13.2	0.88	13.2	16.5	-3.26
Tyler Ennis	26	27	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.05	-4	10	-14	14.6	12.8	1.77	16.4	16.0	0.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.57,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.24,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.37,0.42,0.5,0.48,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.63,0.57,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 79, CHI 84	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.33,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.29,0.24,0.21,0.26,0.29,0.34,0.43,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.33,0.53,0.55,0.43,0.92,1	92.3%
POR 107, LAL 111	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.4,0.3,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.35,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.63,0.59,0.41,0.4,0.47,0.71,0.57,0.73,1	92.2%
MIA 96, DAL 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.6,0.52,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.21,0.24,0.26,0.36,0.42,0.3,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.29,0.45,0.61,0.46,0.76,0.91,1	91.8%