NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	98		Excitement	4.6 [894]		MVP	Chris Andersen (MIA): +10.9%
Miami Heat	104		Comeback	1.1 [846]		LVP	Joe Johnson (BKN): -12.8%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brook Lopez	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	11	58%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Deron Williams	0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	10	78%	0.14	6	-0.12	3	100%	0.02
Thaddeus Young	0.01	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	0.00	0.05	11	58%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Mason Plumlee	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.01	7	40%	0.01	2	-0.03	6	33%	-0.04
Markel Brown	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Bojan Bogdanovic	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	6	50%	-0.00	3	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Cory Jefferson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	6	14%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Jarrett Jack	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06	0.05	-0.01	0.10	8	75%	0.01	4	-0.07	8	87%	0.01
Joe Johnson	-0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13	-0.11	-0.02	0.00	11	43%	-0.03	5	-0.10	6	100%	0.03

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.14	0.01	0.04	9	82%	0.12	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.01
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.01	9	63%	0.11	1	-0.03	9	67%	0.01
Luol Deng	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.02	-0.03	9	45%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Henry Walker	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.02	6	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	25	46%	0.06	2	-0.04	11	73%	-0.00
Michael Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Mario Chalmers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	7	47%	0.00	2	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01
Udonis Haslem	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.01	-0.03	9	30%	-0.03	1	-0.01	5	60%	-0.01
Tyler Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	5	40%	-0.01	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	2.4	34.6	15.7	29.3	2.7	42.0	154.8
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +27.3%

MIA +0.3%

BKN -2.6%

MIA +21.4%

MIA +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	MIA	NBA	BKN	MIA	NBA
this game	14.4	15.7	15.1	104.3	107.2	104.2
season	15.3	16.0		102.9	102.4
opponent	15.3	15.3		105.4	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	18.0	12.9	14.6	12.8	14.4
MIA	14.7	13.3	18.8	16.6	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cory Jefferson	32	34	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.12	0	-6	6	12.7	15.3	-2.59	14.1	16.6	-2.50
Mason Plumlee	31	33	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.12	-2	-4	2	13.1	15.1	-1.98	15.5	15.8	-0.39
Bojan Bogdanovic	54	57	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.15	-2	-4	2	13.3	15.9	-2.61	14.4	17.6	-3.21
Jarrett Jack	44	46	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.27	1	-7	8	13.5	15.2	-1.70	15.6	15.8	-0.24
Deron Williams	62	63	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.23	-2	-4	2	14.8	13.8	0.98	15.7	15.6	0.10
Brook Lopez	63	64	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.20	-4	-2	-2	15.1	13.1	1.98	15.8	15.5	0.39
Markel Brown	53	55	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.09	-9	3	-12	15.3	13.3	2.01	17.0	14.0	3.06
Thaddeus Young	62	63	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.20	-6	0	-6	15.3	12.7	2.59	16.6	14.1	2.50
Joe Johnson	69	70	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.23	-6	0	-6	14.9	13.1	1.78	15.8	15.5	0.32

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Goran Dragic	68	66	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.23	7	-1	8	16.9	12.9	3.97	15.1	12.8	2.34
Chris Andersen	57	56	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.14	8	-2	10	16.4	14.7	1.72	15.5	12.9	2.57
Luol Deng	78	74	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.25	4	2	2	15.3	17.4	-2.06	14.3	14.8	-0.48
Dwyane Wade	65	65	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.19	6	0	6	16.5	14.2	2.27	14.4	14.5	-0.08
Henry Walker	57	57	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.09	9	-3	12	16.6	14.5	2.10	15.7	12.5	3.20
Mario Chalmers	52	49	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.35	-5	11	-16	15.6	15.8	-0.21	13.9	15.0	-1.19
Tyler Johnson	37	36	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.07	4	2	2	13.0	17.4	-4.34	13.2	15.2	-2.04
Udonis Haslem	40	38	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.18	-2	8	-10	14.7	16.4	-1.72	12.9	15.5	-2.57
Michael Beasley	31	29	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.13	-1	7	-8	14.3	16.4	-2.04	13.2	15.0	-1.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.76,0.72,0.68,0.73,0.77,0.81,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.79,0.84,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.85,0.83,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.97,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 97, UTA 107	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.87,0.81,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.9,0.85,0.98,1,1	95.9%
PHI 77, BOS 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.57,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.75,0.81,0.85,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.91,0.9,0.85,0.73,0.79,0.79,0.71,0.78,0.9,0.91,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
SEA 81, UTA 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.72,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.81,0.88,0.89,0.87,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%