NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	97		Excitement	4.1 [1003]		MVP	CJ Miles (UTA): +6.3%
Utah Jazz	107		Comeback	1.3 [696]		LVP	Rafer Alston (HOU): -7.8%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Yao Ming	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	-0.00	0.01	12	71%	0.12	4	-0.06	7	86%	0.01
Shane Battier	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.09	0.00	0.06	6	79%	0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Tracy McGrady	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.02	-0.03	24	41%	0.03	1	-0.02	13	62%	-0.03
Kirk Snyder	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.03	6	65%	0.01	1	-0.01	8	50%	-0.03
Charles Hayes	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	3	50%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	3	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Luther Head	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.01	-0.05	0.04	13	54%	-0.00	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	-0.00	0.01	5	100%	0.11	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	7	76%	0.07	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Deron Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.02	14	56%	0.07	2	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	3	71%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	5	64%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	18	57%	0.09	3	-0.06	6	67%	-0.01
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.09	0.02	-0.06	15	41%	0.04	3	-0.05	11	82%	0.02
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.08	0.00	-0.06	4	62%	0.03	5	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.9	1.8	29.5	15.3	25.3	1.8	31.0	134.6
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +32.3%

UTA +5.0%

UTA +8.4%

UTA +0.3%

UTA +4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	UTA	NBA	HOU	UTA	NBA
this game	14.7	16.0	15.4	103.2	113.8	104.5
season	15.6	15.9		103.6	107.4
opponent	15.0	15.7		104.9	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.4	15.0	15.7	13.6	14.7
UTA	15.0	14.4	17.8	17.0	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles Hayes	17	17	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.11	4	-14	18	14.5	14.7	-0.24	14.1	16.4	-2.33
Scott Padgett	42	39	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.14	1	-11	12	14.7	14.6	0.08	16.2	15.8	0.32
Dikembe Mutombo	18	17	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.09	-9	-1	-8	16.2	14.3	1.92	16.4	15.9	0.54
Shane Battier	59	61	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.34	5	-15	20	14.5	14.9	-0.43	17.0	14.0	3.03
Tracy McGrady	82	81	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.30	2	-12	14	14.3	17.2	-2.96	16.3	14.1	2.19
Steve Novak	16	18	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.04	-10	0	-10	16.2	14.3	1.90	15.4	16.1	-0.65
Luther Head	27	26	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.16	-14	4	-18	14.6	14.7	-0.06	13.0	17.1	-4.05
Yao Ming	65	66	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.19	-6	-4	-2	14.4	15.3	-0.88	16.0	15.8	0.21
Rafer Alston	81	81	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.31	-4	-6	2	14.9	13.2	1.67	16.6	12.1	4.52
Kirk Snyder	63	64	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.06	-19	9	-28	14.5	15.0	-0.54	15.3	17.3	-2.01

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mehmet Okur	59	60	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.02	12	-2	14	15.9	16.1	-0.14	15.0	14.1	0.96
Carlos Boozer	73	74	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.23	3	7	-4	16.4	14.6	1.74	14.6	15.0	-0.42
Deron Williams	77	76	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.20	4	6	-2	15.8	16.8	-0.97	14.5	15.5	-1.03
Ronnie Brewer	33	34	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.02	9	1	8	15.2	16.4	-1.26	15.0	14.5	0.52
Jarron Collins	36	34	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.13	5	5	0	15.6	16.2	-0.67	14.8	14.6	0.15
Matt Harpring	41	40	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.12	5	5	0	15.4	16.4	-0.98	15.1	14.3	0.84
Derek Fisher	44	44	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.16	2	8	-6	16.0	16.0	0.02	14.0	15.3	-1.30
Andrei Kirilenko	46	47	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.14	2	8	-6	16.2	15.7	0.45	14.8	14.6	0.23
CJ Miles	43	43	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.02	6	4	2	16.9	15.2	1.73	14.6	14.7	-0.08
Paul Millsap	18	18	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.03	2	8	-6	16.1	15.9	0.11	14.3	14.7	-0.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.81,0.86,0.87,0.81,0.84,0.79,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.97,0.9,0.85,0.98,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 98, MIA 104	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.76,0.72,0.68,0.73,0.77,0.81,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.79,0.84,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.87,0.85,0.83,0.74,0.74,0.79,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.97,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,1	95.9%
NOK 96, PHI 102	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.63,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.77,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.86,0.87,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.83,0.81,0.88,0.86,0.95,0.9,0.95,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1	95.5%
MIA 89, GSW 104	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.78,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.87,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%