NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	114		Excitement	6.9 [428]		MVP	Anthony Davis (NOP): +54.9%
Milwaukee Bucks	103		Comeback	1.6 [497]		LVP	Eric Gordon (NOP): -13.8%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Davis	0.55	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.15,0.18,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.39,0.5,0.55	0.24	0.32	0.01	23	75%	0.65	4	-0.10	11	82%	0.05
Elliot Williams	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.07	0.08	-0.00	5	80%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Pondexter	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luke Babbitt	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	0.04	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	10	65%	0.11	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Norris Cole	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.03	0.02	8	55%	0.06	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.00
Alexis Ajinca	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.03	8	37%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	37%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Omer Asik	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	3	75%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Eric Gordon	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14	0.02	-0.14	0.02	11	67%	0.01	4	-0.15	2	50%	-0.02

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.18	0.11	0.01	16	74%	0.35	2	-0.08	7	100%	0.05
Chris Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.00	5	70%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Henson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.00	0.06	-0.02	5	44%	0.08	0	0.00	8	50%	-0.05
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	7	43%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	2	83%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Khris Middleton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0	0.00	0.02	-0.02	-0.01	11	65%	0.11	4	-0.10	4	75%	-0.01
Tyler Ennis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Michael Carter-Williams	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.12,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.03	-0.08	0.01	17	57%	0.09	3	-0.14	10	90%	0.05
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	2.4	26.4	15.4	30.4	2.3	35.1	133.3
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +59.7%

MIL -16.3%

NOP +7.9%

MIL -5.3%

NOP +4.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	MIL	NBA	NOP	MIL	NBA
this game	17.1	14.2	15.1	123.9	112.0	104.2
season	15.8	14.5		106.3	100.5
opponent	15.7	15.2		101.0	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	15.3	18.2	18.0	17.2	17.1
MIL	14.7	15.4	12.5	14.1	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Norris Cole	45	45	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.22	9	2	7	17.5	16.8	0.77	14.3	14.0	0.29
Anthony Davis	77	78	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.12	9	2	7	16.9	18.2	-1.26	14.1	14.8	-0.73
Quincy Pondexter	56	57	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.08	10	1	9	16.5	18.1	-1.64	14.3	13.9	0.36
Omer Asik	54	54	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.10	8	3	5	16.4	18.2	-1.78	14.1	14.3	-0.26
Dante Cunningham	44	43	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.10	7	4	3	17.6	16.7	0.82	13.3	14.9	-1.66
Alexis Ajinca	33	33	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.07	4	7	-3	18.1	16.6	1.53	14.6	13.9	0.69
Luke Babbitt	18	17	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.06	4	7	-3	18.2	16.9	1.27	14.7	14.0	0.67
Eric Gordon	57	57	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.01	5	6	-1	17.1	17.3	-0.23	14.5	13.7	0.77
Elliot Williams	24	23	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.08	1	10	-9	18.4	16.7	1.73	15.0	13.9	1.06
Tyreke Evans	52	53	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.02	-2	13	-15	16.7	17.7	-0.94	13.8	14.7	-0.92

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ersan Ilyasova	38	39	0.19	-0.69	0.87	-0.05	8	-19	27	13.8	14.4	-0.68	17.2	17.1	0.16
Tyler Ennis	10	10	0.03	-0.53	0.57	-0.03	2	-13	15	14.6	14.1	0.49	17.3	17.1	0.18
Zaza Pachulia	39	38	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.05	1	-12	13	14.3	14.1	0.25	16.7	17.4	-0.69
Giannis Antetokounmpo	72	71	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.19	-1	-10	9	14.1	14.3	-0.24	16.9	18.1	-1.24
Michael Carter-Williams	63	63	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.16	-6	-5	-1	14.2	14.0	0.24	16.6	18.4	-1.81
Chris Johnson	34	34	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.00	-12	1	-13	14.6	13.9	0.67	18.1	16.6	1.50
Jared Dudley	29	30	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.02	-14	3	-17	14.0	14.3	-0.29	16.9	17.3	-0.36
Jerryd Bayless	44	44	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.20	-9	-2	-7	14.2	14.1	0.12	17.5	16.8	0.77
Khris Middleton	78	77	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.12	-12	1	-13	14.1	14.3	-0.14	17.2	16.6	0.65
John Henson	53	54	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.13	-12	1	-13	14.1	14.3	-0.25	17.4	16.7	0.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.51,0.47,0.39,0.36,0.43,0.42,0.34,0.27,0.21,0.31,0.34,0.42,0.36,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.29,0.2,0.27,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.43,0.29,0.25,0.23,0.17,0.29,0.4,0.47,0.46,0.32,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 91, OKC 89	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.3,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.24,0.35,0.35,0.28,0.31,0.26,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.21,0.14,0.19,0.17,0.23,0.33,0.45,0.45,0.25,0.31,0	91.5%
DET 95, CHI 87	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.2,0.21,0.28,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.37,0.41,0.42,0.43,0.3,0.24,0.23,0.26,0.29,0.22,0.15,0.21,0.16,0.04,0	91.4%
DAL 95, MEM 94	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.3,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.3,0.28,0.3,0.23,0.12,0.15,0.24,0.27,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.37,0.4,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.29,0.29,0.23,0.21,0.29,0.39,0.32,0.21,0.06,0.01,0	91.4%