NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	93		Excitement	7.4 [339]		MVP	Wayne Ellington (LAL): +31.1%
Los Angeles Lakers	101		Comeback	10.2 [65]		LVP	Michael Carter-Williams (MIL): -16.1%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ersan Ilyasova	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.06	0.09	0.01	10	61%	0.17	1	-0.03	8	75%	-0.04
Zaza Pachulia	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04	0.02	0.04	0.01	6	50%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
John Henson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	7	56%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Tyler Ennis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.02	6	42%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Miles Plumlee	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerryd Bayless	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	14	40%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.03
Jared Dudley	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	7	36%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Khris Middleton	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12	-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	13	34%	-0.08	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Giannis Antetokounmpo	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.05	-0.02	12	41%	-0.06	3	-0.06	8	62%	-0.00
Michael Carter-Williams	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.05	-0.11	-0.00	6	57%	0.01	4	-0.17	2	100%	0.03

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.07,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.03	0.25	-0.03	13	54%	0.31	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.13	0.00	0.01	9	89%	0.16	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.02	0.00	10	54%	0.02	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Robert Sacre	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.04	7	60%	0.01	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	8	59%	0.05	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	6	57%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.07
Jordan Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	18	37%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	0.02	-0.01	6	42%	0.06	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Kelly	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	8	38%	-0.06	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	1.7	24.3	15.6	25.0	2.4	35.3	130.5
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +53.0%

MIL -10.0%

LAL +3.7%

LAL +4.2%

MIL -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	LAL	NBA	MIL	LAL	NBA
this game	13.9	15.4	15.1	93.9	103.1	104.2
season	14.5	15.5		100.5	101.9
opponent	14.7	15.7		108.9	101.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	15.2	13.5	13.0	13.8	13.9
LAL	14.8	16.5	16.3	13.9	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Miles Plumlee	17	16	0.20	-0.70	0.89	-0.10	10	-18	28	12.6	14.1	-1.50	16.1	15.2	0.92
Jared Dudley	45	46	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.09	7	-15	22	14.6	13.3	1.30	16.2	14.6	1.62
Tyler Ennis	27	26	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.05	1	-9	10	13.4	14.1	-0.61	15.0	15.5	-0.43
Giannis Antetokounmpo	75	75	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-7	6	13.4	15.3	-1.85	15.6	14.7	0.92
John Henson	29	29	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.02	-9	1	-10	15.5	13.2	2.30	15.8	15.2	0.67
Ersan Ilyasova	61	58	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.11	-11	3	-14	14.1	13.6	0.50	14.8	16.2	-1.38
Michael Carter-Williams	57	56	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.22	-8	0	-8	13.1	14.9	-1.76	15.3	15.4	-0.08
Zaza Pachulia	53	53	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.19	-9	1	-10	13.4	14.5	-1.06	14.9	15.9	-1.07
Khris Middleton	68	67	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.19	-13	5	-18	13.7	14.4	-0.73	15.2	15.7	-0.56
Jerryd Bayless	63	64	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.39	-7	-1	-6	14.8	12.2	2.62	15.3	15.4	-0.04

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeremy Lin	58	58	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.26	19	-11	30	15.1	15.8	-0.71	14.9	12.4	2.56
Wesley Johnson	58	57	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.38	5	3	2	15.3	15.5	-0.24	13.9	13.8	0.14
Ed Davis	51	51	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.34	6	2	4	15.5	15.2	0.36	15.4	12.3	3.06
Wayne Ellington	77	78	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.34	3	5	-2	15.4	15.2	0.21	13.1	16.7	-3.59
Jordan Hill	49	47	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.24	6	2	4	15.8	14.9	0.88	14.0	13.8	0.25
Ryan Kelly	52	53	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.08	10	-2	12	15.3	15.5	-0.19	13.3	14.6	-1.34
Carlos Boozer	43	46	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	-0.15	0	8	-8	15.2	15.5	-0.26	13.4	14.3	-0.85
Robert Sacre	41	43	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.08	-3	11	-14	15.0	15.6	-0.57	13.2	14.4	-1.28
Jordan Clarkson	61	62	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	-0.06	-6	14	-20	15.6	15.0	0.57	13.9	13.9	-0.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.59,0.52,0.46,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.42,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.29,0.27,0.23,0.14,0.18,0.22,0.13,0.21,0.48,0.37,0.31,0.59,0.6,0.74,0.9,0.86,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 91, MIA 94	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.73,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.41,0.42,0.44,0.33,0.33,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.34,0.3,0.17,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.67,0.75,0.93,0.94,0.92,1	92.2%
DET 84, DAL 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.65,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.53,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.26,0.26,0.16,0.18,0.2,0.25,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.24,0.28,0.53,0.65,0.73,0.75,0.84,0.84,0.85,1	91.5%
DEN 105, GSW 106	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.54,0.48,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.13,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.14,0.12,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.33,0.32,0.31,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.75,0.92,1	91.0%