NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	105		Excitement	8.8 [145]		MVP	David Lee (GSW): +34.0%
Golden State Warriors	106		Comeback	14.8 [57]		LVP	Corey Brewer (DEN): -11.1%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kosta Koufos	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenneth Faried	0.07	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.02	-0.01	6	62%	0.12	1	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
JaVale McGee	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.03	8	55%	0.09	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Jordan Hamilton	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.01	4	62%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	17	56%	0.13	3	-0.09	5	80%	-0.10
Anthony Randolph	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danilo Gallinari	-0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03	0.08	-0.11	-0.00	12	67%	0.03	3	-0.06	6	83%	-0.03
Ty Lawson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	18	46%	0.08	3	-0.12	1	100%	0.01
Andre Miller	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.08	-0.01	12	43%	-0.07	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.07

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.34	0.18	0.16	0.01	15	84%	0.44	4	-0.10	7	71%	-0.05
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.05,0.05,0,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.03	0.00	17	56%	0.15	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	14	62%	0.19	3	-0.15	1	100%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Jenkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Festus Ezeli	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.04	0.01	19	55%	0.04	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Carl Landry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	7	35%	-0.05	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.03
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	7	14%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.7	2.5	26.0	17.7	25.7	3.3	45.8	149.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +49.1%

DEN -20.1%

GSW +8.8%

DEN -3.5%

GSW +15.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	GSW	NBA	DEN	GSW	NBA
this game	14.8	14.6	15.4	107.1	108.2	104.1
season	14.4	14.6		108.4	104.6
opponent	15.3	15.4		103.7	104.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	15.2	15.3	13.5	15.2	14.8
GSW	14.2	16.0	14.2	14.2	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Hamilton	19	20	0.42	-0.92	1.33	-0.05	16	-17	33	14.7	14.8	-0.13	15.5	14.4	1.19
Kosta Koufos	29	30	0.03	-0.53	0.55	0.05	-1	0	-1	14.0	15.1	-1.16	14.7	14.6	0.09
Anthony Randolph	13	12	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	1	-3	16.3	14.6	1.75	15.8	14.4	1.40
Kenneth Faried	68	68	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.30	3	-4	7	14.4	15.7	-1.32	14.7	14.3	0.44
Danilo Gallinari	73	73	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.54	7	-8	15	14.3	16.3	-2.06	14.9	13.8	1.08
Andre Miller	37	37	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.17	-6	5	-11	16.8	13.6	3.17	14.5	14.6	-0.10
Andre Iguodala	81	81	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.43	2	-3	5	14.4	16.4	-1.97	14.7	14.1	0.66
JaVale McGee	35	35	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.02	-14	13	-27	16.3	13.9	2.38	13.9	15.0	-1.11
Ty Lawson	80	80	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.48	3	-4	7	14.0	18.4	-4.41	14.3	16.1	-1.85
Corey Brewer	55	54	-0.84	0.34	-1.18	-0.46	-13	12	-25	15.5	13.9	1.57	14.2	15.0	-0.80

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarrett Jack	57	56	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.43	11	-10	21	15.1	13.9	1.16	15.6	13.7	1.92
Stephen Curry	92	93	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.43	2	-1	3	14.6	14.8	-0.25	14.8	13.6	1.25
Klay Thompson	87	89	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.45	1	0	1	14.7	13.6	1.09	14.7	15.4	-0.73
Carl Landry	60	61	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.33	4	-3	7	14.8	14.2	0.60	15.3	13.9	1.44
Draymond Green	34	31	0.34	0.15	0.19	0.20	5	-4	9	13.8	15.0	-1.19	15.6	14.4	1.16
David Lee	71	72	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.36	-6	7	-13	15.0	13.6	1.39	14.6	15.4	-0.87
Andris Biedrins	13	12	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.28	-5	6	-11	15.2	14.5	0.64	14.3	14.8	-0.52
Charles Jenkins	7	5	0.01	0.48	-0.47	0.04	-1	2	-3	12.7	14.7	-2.03	13.6	14.8	-1.25
Festus Ezeli	31	32	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	-0.02	-1	2	-3	14.1	14.8	-0.69	13.5	15.4	-1.91
Harrison Barnes	38	39	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	-0.14	-5	6	-11	13.8	15.1	-1.33	13.9	15.4	-1.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.54,0.48,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.13,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.14,0.12,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.33,0.32,0.31,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.75,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 93, NOH 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.63,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.3,0.22,0.29,0.28,0.17,0.15,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.16,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.25,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.6,0.61,0.4,0.64,0.84,1,1	91.4%
MIL 93, LAL 101	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.59,0.52,0.46,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.42,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.29,0.27,0.23,0.14,0.18,0.22,0.13,0.21,0.48,0.37,0.31,0.59,0.6,0.74,0.9,0.86,0.99,1	91.0%
BOS 94, MIL 100	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.78,0.75,0.64,0.54,0.42,0.44,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.22,0.14,0.18,0.28,0.22,0.3,0.22,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.33,0.37,0.51,0.54,0.67,0.62,0.72,0.84,0.95,1	90.2%