inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 94 Excitement8.0 [239] MVPMike James (BOS): +50.9%
Milwaukee Bucks 100 Comeback6.2 [346] LVPEric Williams (BOS): -20.9%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mike James0.510,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.36,0.510.200.29-0.021388%0.541-0.0300%0.00
Mark Blount0.030,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.04-0.01-0.00868%0.111-0.07333%-0.03
Raef LaFrentz0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.020.03-0.00440%0.0200.002100%0.04
Kedrick Brown0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.020.000.01367%0.0100.0000%0.00
Jiri Welsch-0.020,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.000.00939%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Tony Battie-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.01-0.00450%0.021-0.04250%-0.01
Marcus Banks-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.01729%-0.051-0.0100%0.00
Vin Baker-0.080,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08-0.07-0.010.00940%-0.042-0.042100%0.01
Paul Pierce-0.200,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.08,0.05,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.2-0.08-0.15-0.031458%-0.036-0.17837%-0.21
Eric Williams-0.210,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21-0.11-0.10-0.00731%-0.073-0.14250%-0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Michael Redd0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.190.190.080.120.011761%0.221-0.034100%0.01
Toni Kukoc0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.17,0.170.170.040.12-0.011062%0.241-0.071100%0.02
Joe Smith0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.11,0.11,0.130.130.020.11-0.001057%0.1300.008100%0.08
Damon Jones0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.040.07-0.00757%0.1100.0000%0.00
Dan Gadzuric0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.010.03-0.01555%0.051-0.0210%-0.02
Marcus Haislip00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Daniel Santiago0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.01220%-0.0200.001100%0.00
Erick Strickland0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03-0.03-0.040.010.001242%-0.011-0.022100%0.05
Desmond Mason0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.03-0.011461%0.044-0.08875%-0.01
T.J. Ford0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.10-0.02-0.0110%-0.024-0.0900%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game545.12.428.515.623.52.536.1653.6
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS -7.7%
MIL +38.1%
BOS -0.8%
MIL +17.1%
MIL +3.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSMILNBABOSMILNBA
this game16.015.115.7101.1108.7100.5
season14.415.399.5103.6
opponent15.515.9103.3102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS15.217.515.715.816.0
MIL13.015.217.814.915.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Marcus Banks32320.07-0.570.63-0.023-91217.515.32.1913.915.7-1.83
Eric Williams4544-0.00-0.500.50-0.3512-183016.116.00.1514.116.0-1.84
Tony Battie3230-0.06-0.440.390.03-3-3016.915.61.3315.215.10.10
Kedrick Brown2323-0.07-0.430.360.04-4-2-217.115.71.4612.016.1-4.07
Mark Blount4446-0.08-0.420.35-0.142-81016.115.90.2015.414.80.54
Raef LaFrentz4037-0.25-0.250.01-0.281-7815.616.4-0.7615.814.61.15
Jiri Welsch6970-0.38-0.12-0.26-0.32-2-4216.215.60.5516.012.33.71
Vin Baker4646-0.46-0.04-0.420.04-1711-2815.816.2-0.3614.415.8-1.41
Mike James6160-0.570.07-0.63-0.30-93-1215.317.5-2.1915.713.91.83
Paul Pierce7372-0.710.21-0.91-0.32-137-2015.418.3-2.8915.712.92.74

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Damon Jones47500.72-0.220.950.527-1814.715.5-0.8116.415.60.75
Erick Strickland47490.69-0.190.870.429-31215.215.00.2316.315.70.62
Toni Kukoc49510.420.080.330.4206-614.316.0-1.6916.415.60.75
Joe Smith65660.380.120.270.187-1815.913.22.7115.417.6-2.20
Desmond Mason63620.260.240.010.057-1814.815.8-1.0716.515.11.35
Daniel Santiago28270.180.32-0.15-0.1812-61814.715.3-0.5516.815.71.10
Dan Gadzuric40410.160.34-0.180.25-39-1215.414.80.6216.016.1-0.10
Michael Redd74750.060.44-0.380.18-410-1415.314.21.0915.518.4-2.92
Marcus Haislip21-0.130.63-0.77-0.02-410-147.015.3-8.2822.016.06.03
T.J. Ford4543-0.220.72-0.95-0.20-17-815.514.70.8115.616.4-0.75


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.78,0.75,0.64,0.54,0.42,0.44,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.22,0.14,0.18,0.28,0.22,0.3,0.22,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.21,0.33,0.37,0.51,0.54,0.67,0.62,0.72,0.84,0.95,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIL 93, LAL 1010.5,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.59,0.52,0.46,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.42,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.29,0.27,0.23,0.14,0.18,0.22,0.13,0.21,0.48,0.37,0.31,0.59,0.6,0.74,0.9,0.86,0.99,191.0%
DET 84, DAL 880.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.65,0.67,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.53,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.26,0.26,0.16,0.18,0.2,0.25,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.24,0.28,0.53,0.65,0.73,0.75,0.84,0.84,0.85,190.8%
DEN 105, GSW 1060.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.63,0.63,0.54,0.48,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.13,0.19,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.14,0.12,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.33,0.32,0.31,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.75,0.92,190.2%