inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 99 Excitement5.1 [783] MVPLeBron James (CLE): +21.2%
Cleveland Cavaliers 110 Comeback1.5 [784] LVPShaun Livingston (GSW): -9.5%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
David Lee0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.090.01-0.041170%0.152-0.02560%-0.01
Justin Holiday0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Leandro Barbosa-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.00-0.00550%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Harrison Barnes-0.010,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.021050%0.032-0.0420%-0.03
Marreese Speights-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Klay Thompson-0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.01-0.011350%0.043-0.0600%0.00
Stephen Curry-0.030,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.05-0.02-0.051746%0.064-0.085100%0.02
Andre Iguodala-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.030.02-0.000.05950%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Draymond Green-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.03-0.030.041352%-0.001-0.03540%-0.01
Andrew Bogut-0.060,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.010.01837%-0.041-0.0200%0.00
Shaun Livingston-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.08-0.01-0.0040%-0.0900.0020%-0.04

Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
LeBron James0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.210.210.150.02-0.042569%0.336-0.121173%0.02
Kyrie Irving0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.040.00-0.031755%0.122-0.0510100%0.04
Kevin Love0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.060.010.011067%0.082-0.02475%0.00
Tristan Thompson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.030.02-0.01667%0.092-0.04667%0.00
Timofey Mozgov0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.010.00-0.02856%0.042-0.022100%0.01
Matthew Dellavedova0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00-0.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
James Jones00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Brendan Haywood00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mike Miller00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Joe Harris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kendrick Perkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.0000%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Iman Shumpert0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.010.0030%-0.0500.0000%0.00
J.R. Smith0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.010.01533%-0.031-0.032100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game29.33.630.117.728.03.833.5146.0
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CLE +26.9%
CLE +20.5%
CLE +1.6%
GSW -3.6%
CLE +4.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWCLENBAGSWCLENBA
this game12.615.915.199.0107.8104.2
season13.615.9109.2108.7
opponent14.915.5104.199.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW12.513.711.512.812.6
CLE13.716.315.219.015.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Justin Holiday120.00-0.500.50-0.093-14175.012.7-7.6613.016.0-2.96
Marreese Speights1515-0.03-0.470.450.03-2-9712.712.60.1016.315.80.43
Andre Iguodala5960-0.11-0.390.28-0.172-131512.812.30.5316.714.71.98
Shaun Livingston2526-0.14-0.360.22-0.02-4-7313.412.31.0418.814.93.90
David Lee3941-0.21-0.290.08-0.07-5-6113.611.91.7416.915.21.63
Leandro Barbosa2629-0.24-0.260.01-0.04-7-4-314.911.83.1116.815.51.29
Klay Thompson7574-0.27-0.23-0.05-0.16-4-7311.715.1-3.3915.317.4-2.10
Andrew Bogut4746-0.31-0.19-0.110.02-110-1112.612.60.0314.816.8-2.08
Stephen Curry7474-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.06-10-1-912.413.0-0.6215.018.4-3.43
Harrison Barnes6163-0.38-0.12-0.25-0.17-7-4-311.813.8-1.9515.416.7-1.36
Draymond Green7880-0.45-0.05-0.40-0.16-10-1-912.512.9-0.3616.015.60.40

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Timofey Mozgov53540.480.020.46-0.0217-62315.816.1-0.3112.313.0-0.70
J.R. Smith78780.420.080.340.0712-11315.317.9-2.5812.114.1-2.00
Kevin Love79800.410.090.310.081101115.716.6-0.8612.811.80.91
Kyrie Irving81820.380.120.260.061101115.716.8-1.1412.214.4-2.21
LeBron James76740.370.130.240.1192716.713.72.9712.712.10.63
Iman Shumpert64640.200.30-0.100.0556-116.415.01.4012.712.40.34
Tristan Thompson45410.170.33-0.150.0647-316.415.50.8113.412.01.41
Matthew Dellavedova21180.120.38-0.260.12011-1116.815.71.1414.412.22.21
James Jones210.000.50-0.500.09-314-1713.016.0-2.965.012.7-7.66
Brendan Haywood210.000.50-0.500.09-314-1713.016.0-2.965.012.7-7.66
Mike Miller210.000.50-0.500.09-314-1713.016.0-2.965.012.7-7.66
Joe Harris210.000.50-0.500.09-314-1713.016.0-2.965.012.7-7.66
Kendrick Perkins55-0.050.55-0.600.01-213-1512.416.1-3.6815.212.42.76


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.62,0.61,0.52,0.66,0.66,0.58,0.56,0.67,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.73,0.83,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 80, MIA 1020.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.58,0.69,0.75,0.81,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.84,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.2%
CHI 79, IND 910.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.63,0.73,0.88,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,195.1%
PHI 91, DET 990.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.4,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.67,0.63,0.65,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.8,0.91,0.86,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,195.0%