NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	79		Excitement	4.4 [942]		MVP	Luis Scola (IND): +13.5%
Indiana Pacers	91		Comeback	1.5 [954]		LVP	Carlos Boozer (CHI): -12.4%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jimmy Butler	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	0.01	0.05	11	65%	0.06	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Nazr Mohammed	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	14	49%	0.02	1	-0.03	7	71%	-0.01
Tony Snell	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.01	0.04	6	58%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	6	39%	-0.03	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Joakim Noah	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	15	37%	-0.05	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Mike Dunleavy	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	9	43%	-0.02	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Carlos Boozer	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.03	-0.01	14	33%	-0.07	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.03

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.03	0.00	12	73%	0.16	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
David West	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.01	-0.02	9	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Copeland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	83%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	-0.01	-0.02	11	65%	0.10	4	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	10	46%	0.01	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Donald Sloan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.10	-0.01	-0.06	8	33%	-0.01	3	-0.05	2	0%	-0.01
George Hill	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	10	42%	-0.04	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Paul George	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.12	-0.00	-0.04	13	33%	-0.03	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.5	28.3	16.5	29.3	2.4	29.5	132.9
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +36.6%

IND +6.2%

IND +9.0%

IND +1.5%

CHI -3.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	IND	NBA	CHI	IND	NBA
this game	15.6	17.0	15.1	89.8	102.2	105.2
season	16.3	15.8		101.1	102.7
opponent	15.2	15.3		99.0	99.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	16.7	13.7	17.5	14.8	15.6
IND	16.8	15.7	16.8	18.6	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Taj Gibson	43	45	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.14	1	-13	14	14.0	17.1	-3.13	16.4	17.5	-1.08
D.J. Augustin	55	56	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.10	-1	-11	10	14.4	17.5	-3.15	17.2	16.5	0.65
Nazr Mohammed	11	9	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.06	-7	-5	-2	12.9	16.0	-3.05	12.7	17.4	-4.77
Tony Snell	6	5	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.06	-8	-4	-4	15.0	15.6	-0.62	15.8	17.0	-1.22
Kirk Hinrich	49	49	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.07	-5	-7	2	16.4	14.5	1.96	18.2	15.5	2.69
Jimmy Butler	82	84	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.21	-4	-8	4	15.6	15.0	0.62	17.0	15.8	1.22
Joakim Noah	69	70	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.12	-8	-4	-4	15.8	14.8	1.01	17.4	15.3	2.15
Carlos Boozer	53	54	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.10	-10	-2	-8	17.2	13.2	3.95	17.5	16.1	1.43
Mike Dunleavy	72	73	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.13	-18	6	-24	15.9	14.2	1.70	16.0	21.5	-5.54

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Roy Hibbert	55	56	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.01	13	-1	14	17.6	16.0	1.59	16.6	13.8	2.73
David West	48	46	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.01	12	0	12	17.5	16.3	1.27	17.3	13.7	3.52
Donald Sloan	26	25	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.14	5	7	-2	15.6	17.5	-1.89	14.0	16.2	-2.21
Paul George	65	63	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.03	8	4	4	17.8	14.7	3.13	16.5	13.4	3.10
Evan Turner	41	41	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.11	5	7	-2	15.6	18.1	-2.58	14.5	16.5	-1.95
Chris Copeland	20	21	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.02	8	4	4	14.4	17.7	-3.30	13.8	16.1	-2.39
George Hill	63	63	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.01	7	5	2	17.5	15.6	1.89	16.2	14.0	2.21
Luis Scola	41	41	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.19	0	12	-12	16.3	17.5	-1.27	14.1	16.9	-2.82
Lance Stephenson	50	50	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.01	6	6	0	17.9	15.7	2.25	15.9	15.1	0.83
Ian Mahinmi	34	32	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.14	-1	13	-14	16.0	17.6	-1.59	13.8	16.6	-2.73
Rasual Butler	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	15	-18	19.0	16.9	2.09	11.5	15.7	-4.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.55,0.63,0.73,0.88,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.9,0.94,0.92,0.91,0.94,0.93,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 99, CLE 110	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.62,0.61,0.52,0.66,0.66,0.58,0.56,0.67,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.73,0.83,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.87,0.92,0.96,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.1%
CHI 80, MIA 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.58,0.69,0.75,0.81,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.84,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%
POR 87, ORL 102	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.52,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.5,0.62,0.63,0.72,0.81,0.79,0.79,0.86,0.86,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%