NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	91		Excitement	4.6 [928]		MVP	Chauncey Billups (DET): +9.1%
Detroit Pistons	99		Comeback	1.5 [960]		LVP	Andre Iguodala (PHI): -17.4%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	-0.01	0.02	19	63%	0.07	1	-0.00	11	64%	-0.03
Kyle Korver	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.08	-0.00	0.05	6	79%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Josh Davis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	9	43%	-0.04	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.04
Corliss Williamson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	7	31%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Marc Jackson	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	8	35%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Kenny Thomas	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	9	33%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.18	-0.01	-0.07	10	35%	-0.05	5	-0.07	6	83%	0.02
Andre Iguodala	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.10	-0.03	0.04	8	36%	-0.12	2	-0.05	6	83%	-0.02

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.10	-0.01	0.01	12	69%	0.11	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.02
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.01	5	75%	0.06	1	-0.02	6	67%	0.01
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	11	50%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	3	83%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Darvin Ham	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	5	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	0.04	11	48%	-0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.14	-0.00	-0.09	20	40%	-0.01	5	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.18,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.13	-0.02	-0.07	15	44%	0.03	5	-0.11	6	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.7	2.6	32.4	19.3	30.5	2.6	26.2	141.3
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +38.2%

DET +9.7%

DET +7.8%

PHI -8.7%

DET +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	DET	NBA	PHI	DET	NBA
this game	13.6	16.4	15.5	95.8	102.1	104.0
season	13.9	16.7		101.1	103.5
opponent	15.9	15.8		98.9	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	12.1	13.8	14.2	14.6	13.6
DET	15.6	16.8	15.2	18.1	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Davis	8	9	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.23	8	-16	24	9.7	14.0	-4.23	20.6	15.9	4.64
Aaron McKie	41	42	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.08	-3	-5	2	13.6	13.6	0.02	15.0	17.4	-2.42
Kenny Thomas	52	51	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.11	-4	-4	0	14.3	12.8	1.43	16.6	16.0	0.63
Marc Jackson	30	30	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.06	-10	2	-12	13.4	13.7	-0.27	16.0	16.5	-0.56
Brian Skinner	59	62	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.32	2	-10	12	12.9	14.8	-1.91	16.2	16.7	-0.48
Kyle Korver	52	55	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.26	0	-8	8	13.6	13.7	-0.06	17.1	15.4	1.75
Corliss Williamson	41	42	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.07	-12	4	-16	14.7	12.8	1.95	15.6	16.9	-1.29
Andre Iguodala	62	62	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.23	-2	-6	4	13.9	13.2	0.72	17.1	14.9	2.20
Willie Green	52	55	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.19	-6	-2	-4	13.0	14.4	-1.41	16.7	15.9	0.87
Allen Iverson	78	77	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.03	-13	5	-18	13.9	12.5	1.33	15.6	19.0	-3.40

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Richard Hamilton	82	81	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.19	13	-5	18	17.1	12.2	4.91	13.6	13.5	0.14
Tayshaun Prince	66	63	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.16	8	0	8	15.3	18.6	-3.33	13.6	13.6	0.04
Antonio McDyess	53	52	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.06	14	-6	20	15.6	17.2	-1.60	14.2	13.0	1.22
Ben Wallace	74	73	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.21	4	4	0	15.9	17.7	-1.76	13.1	15.3	-2.21
Rasheed Wallace	64	63	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.23	3	5	-2	17.1	14.9	2.18	14.0	12.8	1.27
Chauncey Billups	74	74	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.13	6	2	4	15.9	17.7	-1.82	13.8	13.0	0.74
Carlos Delfino	46	45	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.04	6	2	4	16.9	15.9	0.99	13.9	13.4	0.47
Lindsey Hunter	20	19	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.22	-7	15	-22	16.5	16.3	0.25	12.8	13.8	-0.97
Darvin Ham	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	15	-22	22.0	16.0	6.02	7.8	13.9	-6.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.4,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.67,0.63,0.65,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.8,0.91,0.86,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 92, POR 111	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.72,0.85,0.86,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
HOU 86, UTA 101	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.53,0.62,0.62,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.64,0.75,0.74,0.77,0.78,0.81,0.9,0.89,0.83,0.82,0.93,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.88,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
CHI 80, MIA 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.58,0.69,0.75,0.81,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.84,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%