NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	100		Excitement	8.9 [148]		MVP	Jordan Hill (LAL): +27.1%
Utah Jazz	97		Comeback	18.3 [22]		LVP	Gordon Hayward (UTA): -43.3%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Hill	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.27	0.08	0.18	-0.01	12	62%	0.27	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Jordan Clarkson	0.18	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.24,0.18	0.10	0.09	0.01	16	67%	0.24	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Ed Davis	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.01	8	75%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Sacre	-0.00	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	0.04	0.01	0.06	2	75%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Wesley Johnson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	9	39%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	13	42%	-0.01	2	-0.06	7	57%	-0.03
Jeremy Lin	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	12	31%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Wayne Ellington	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.09,-0.19,-0.19,-0.15	-0.01	-0.14	-0.01	12	52%	0.02	3	-0.17	5	100%	0.04
Ryan Kelly	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.12	-0.05	0.00	5	0%	-0.11	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elijah Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.11,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.09	0.12	-0.01	8	74%	0.26	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.03
Rodney Hood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.01	0.00	8	69%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.03	0.03	10	64%	0.15	3	-0.10	8	50%	-0.09
Jeremy Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Exum	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	2	75%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	6	19%	-0.08	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.06
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.17	-0.17	0.04	-0.20	0.01	11	55%	-0.15	1	-0.02	7	57%	-0.21
Trey Burke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.07	-0.14	-0.00	8	39%	-0.13	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Gordon Hayward	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.25,-0.43	-0.43	-0.10	-0.32	0.01	18	48%	-0.24	6	-0.19	6	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.5	24.2	15.7	26.9	4.8	40.2	140.4
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +34.4%

LAL +11.6%

UTA -16.4%

LAL +21.6%

UTA -1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	UTA	NBA	LAL	UTA	NBA
this game	15.5	15.1	15.1	106.4	103.2	104.2
season	15.5	16.2		101.9	103.8
opponent	15.3	14.7		103.7	108.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	16.9	15.6	16.1	13.5	15.5
UTA	15.2	16.5	13.2	15.8	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wayne Ellington	75	76	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.50	10	-7	17	15.2	16.8	-1.62	15.5	13.8	1.68
Wesley Johnson	51	51	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.54	5	-2	7	16.2	14.6	1.61	15.8	14.3	1.46
Jordan Hill	51	51	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.47	-2	5	-7	16.3	14.5	1.78	15.0	15.3	-0.39
Jordan Clarkson	68	68	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.40	0	3	-3	14.7	17.7	-3.03	15.1	15.2	-0.07
Ed Davis	49	48	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.42	-1	4	-5	16.9	14.0	2.88	15.5	14.7	0.78
Robert Sacre	44	44	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.10	7	-4	11	14.2	16.6	-2.39	15.0	15.2	-0.22
Carlos Boozer	43	44	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.04	3	0	3	14.5	16.3	-1.78	15.2	15.1	0.17
Jeremy Lin	46	45	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.01	-5	8	-13	17.0	14.0	2.98	14.4	15.8	-1.33
Ryan Kelly	43	43	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.13	-2	5	-7	14.6	16.2	-1.61	14.3	15.8	-1.46

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trevor Booker	38	41	0.25	-0.75	0.99	0.16	3	-6	9	14.4	15.7	-1.29	16.6	14.6	2.01
Rodney Hood	37	36	0.24	-0.74	0.98	0.09	5	-8	13	15.1	15.2	-0.09	17.4	14.3	3.06
Dante Exum	37	39	0.16	-0.66	0.81	0.19	-1	-2	1	14.6	15.5	-0.85	15.1	15.8	-0.72
Jeremy Evans	7	7	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.02	1	-4	5	16.4	15.0	1.39	23.3	14.9	8.41
Joe Ingles	33	32	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.08	0	-3	3	14.1	15.7	-1.61	15.0	15.8	-0.81
Elijah Millsap	58	57	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.44	3	-6	9	15.1	15.2	-0.09	15.5	15.4	0.11
Rudy Gobert	72	72	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.26	-6	3	-9	14.9	15.8	-0.83	14.4	19.1	-4.69
Trey Burke	56	54	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.64	0	-3	3	15.7	14.3	1.47	16.1	14.7	1.35
Derrick Favors	70	69	-0.80	0.30	-1.11	-0.54	-9	6	-15	15.7	13.4	2.37	15.0	17.0	-1.99
Gordon Hayward	62	63	-0.84	0.34	-1.17	-0.51	-11	8	-19	15.4	14.6	0.78	14.7	17.2	-2.58

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.65,0.71,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.6,0.66,0.73,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.7,0.67,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.6,0.85,0.95,0.9,0.89,0.77,0.86,0.8,0.73,0.39,0.28,0.45,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 86, TOR 82	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.68,0.74,0.85,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.9,0.81,0.67,0.47,0.36,0.45,0.26,0	91.5%
NOH 94, PHI 89	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.76,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.82,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.61,0.59,0.62,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.83,0.66,0.73,0.69,0.37,0.24,0.16,0	90.7%
ATL 112, BOS 106	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.73,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.7,0.71,0.79,0.77,0.82,0.64,0.56,0.64,0.74,0.85,0.94,0.86,0.73,0.83,0.76,0.67,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.26,0	90.6%