NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	87		Excitement	7.4 [331]		MVP	Jason Maxiell (CHA): +13.2%
Charlotte Hornets	94		Comeback	6.1 [227]		LVP	Lance Stephenson (CHA): -20.6%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasual Butler	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.05	-0.00	9	61%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Otto Porter	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	5	64%	0.08	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Garrett Temple	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	70%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0.03	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03	0.09	-0.03	0.03	13	63%	0.06	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Nene	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	-0.04	0.00	0.03	10	50%	0.04	3	-0.11	2	50%	-0.00
Bradley Beal	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	5	8%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kris Humphries	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	9	22%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeJuan Blair	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	5	40%	-0.02	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.05	-0.12	-0.01	13	50%	0.03	4	-0.19	4	75%	-0.00
Marcin Gortat	-0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.07	-0.11	-0.01	10	33%	-0.15	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.05	-0.00	4	79%	0.13	0	0.00	6	83%	0.00
Brian Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,0.02,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.01	0.09	-0.01	13	44%	0.12	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.11	0.11	0.16	-0.01	0.04	15	71%	0.17	2	-0.06	8	87%	0.01
Al Jefferson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,0,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03	0.03	-0.08	0.10	-0.02	12	29%	0.03	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.01	0.05	4	69%	0.05	2	-0.07	8	87%	0.02
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	7	57%	0.06	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Gary Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	7	43%	0.01	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Cody Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.11	-0.07	0.00	3	0%	-0.10	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.03	-0.17	-0.00	11	50%	-0.04	3	-0.16	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	2.4	28.3	15.7	27.2	2.4	32.3	135.0
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +11.9%

CHA +23.9%

CHA +27.5%

WAS -12.3%

WAS -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	CHA	NBA	WAS	CHA	NBA
this game	15.2	16.3	15.1	95.6	102.2	104.2
season	15.1	15.6		102.9	98.9
opponent	15.1	15.3		102.6	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	14.6	13.8	14.6	17.9	15.2
CHA	14.2	16.8	18.1	16.4	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Wall	74	74	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.26	10	-17	27	14.8	17.0	-2.23	16.2	16.7	-0.55
Otto Porter	36	35	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.14	4	-11	15	15.0	15.3	-0.36	15.7	16.6	-0.87
Bradley Beal	23	22	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.07	-7	0	-7	15.0	15.2	-0.25	14.8	16.7	-1.92
DeJuan Blair	31	29	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.07	-3	-4	1	15.6	15.0	0.65	15.6	16.6	-0.97
Marcin Gortat	54	57	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.29	2	-9	11	15.3	15.0	0.27	17.2	14.7	2.53
Kris Humphries	42	43	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.09	-7	0	-7	15.0	15.4	-0.44	16.4	16.2	0.17
Nene	53	54	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.22	-3	-4	1	15.3	15.0	0.37	15.9	16.9	-1.04
Garrett Temple	33	34	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.15	-19	12	-31	16.1	14.7	1.47	16.5	16.2	0.30
Paul Pierce	56	57	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.18	-10	3	-13	15.2	15.2	0.03	16.6	15.7	0.87
Rasual Butler	53	55	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.44	-2	-5	3	15.1	15.3	-0.27	16.6	15.8	0.79

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Roberts	73	72	0.87	-0.37	1.24	0.34	18	-11	29	16.0	17.5	-1.57	15.6	13.6	1.97
Jason Maxiell	40	39	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.02	11	-4	15	15.9	16.6	-0.63	15.2	15.2	-0.06
Marvin Williams	49	47	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.07	14	-7	21	16.0	16.6	-0.60	15.0	15.4	-0.34
Gerald Henderson	69	67	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.22	4	3	1	16.2	16.7	-0.49	15.3	14.9	0.42
Lance Stephenson	55	54	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.19	3	4	-1	16.5	15.9	0.56	15.1	15.3	-0.19
Cody Zeller	45	46	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.34	-6	13	-19	16.2	16.4	-0.16	15.0	15.4	-0.42
Al Jefferson	50	50	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.29	-5	12	-17	16.9	15.5	1.40	15.6	14.7	0.83
Gary Neal	36	37	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.07	5	2	3	16.2	16.3	-0.05	15.2	15.2	0.05
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	43	43	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.20	-9	16	-25	16.8	15.9	0.91	14.4	15.9	-1.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.47,0.55,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.55,0.47,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.35,0.37,0.29,0.23,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.32,0.28,0.21,0.14,0.2,0.3,0.22,0.29,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.62,0.72,0.94,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 87, LAC 91	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.54,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.25,0.25,0.34,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.25,0.24,0.3,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.29,0.39,0.47,0.54,0.77,0.9,1	91.7%
BOS 99, PHI 105	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.59,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.11,0.17,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.18,0.38,0.34,0.43,0.63,0.53,0.64,0.54,0.67,0.55,0.78,0.68,0.91,1	91.0%
ORL 93, NOH 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.63,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.3,0.22,0.29,0.28,0.17,0.15,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.16,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.25,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.6,0.61,0.4,0.64,0.84,1,1	90.8%