NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	87		Excitement	7.3 [370]		MVP	Elton Brand (LAC): +39.4%
Los Angeles Clippers	91		Comeback	4.6 [469]		LVP	Sam Cassell (LAC): -33.1%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antonio Burks	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hakim Warrick	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Cardinal	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.03
Eddie Jones	-0.02	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	16	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Dahntay Jones	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jake Tsakalidis	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.05	0.00	-0.04	0.01	11	50%	-0.00	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Pau Gasol	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,-0.07,-0.05	0.06	-0.09	0.02	12	57%	-0.03	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.03
Lorenzen Wright	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chucky Atkins	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	9	33%	0.01	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1	0.01	-0.09	0.02	18	44%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13	-0.04	-0.12	-0.03	14	37%	-0.13	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Elton Brand	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.17,0.21,0.26,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.35,0.32,0.39	0.39	0.21	0.20	0.02	26	71%	0.54	4	-0.14	10	100%	0.07
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.08	0.06	0.00	3	89%	0.14	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.03
James Singleton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	60%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	0.00	12	53%	0.11	3	-0.09	6	100%	0.04
Daniel Ewing	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	4	50%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	7	50%	0.01	5	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.3,-0.35,-0.35,-0.33	-0.33	-0.12	-0.21	0.01	12	23%	-0.30	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.9	1.8	28.0	15.8	28.4	3.3	37.3	137.5
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +55.9%

LAC +22.4%

LAC +4.4%

MEM -25.7%

MEM -7.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	LAC	NBA	MEM	LAC	NBA
this game	18.0	14.5	15.6	96.7	104.6	104.4
season	17.1	15.2		103.5	103.9
opponent	15.5	15.7		102.1	100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	17.7	16.3	19.0	19.0	18.0
LAC	12.8	18.0	12.3	15.2	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Cardinal	24	23	0.11	-0.61	0.71	-0.13	8	-12	20	17.2	18.3	-1.09	17.2	13.5	3.67
Jake Tsakalidis	47	44	0.04	-0.54	0.59	-0.28	11	-15	26	17.8	18.2	-0.38	14.3	14.6	-0.31
Lorenzen Wright	17	17	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.09	-7	3	-10	20.3	17.5	2.81	12.5	14.9	-2.41
Antonio Burks	13	14	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.04	-6	2	-8	20.4	17.6	2.77	15.6	14.3	1.31
Eddie Jones	67	64	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.35	7	-11	18	17.3	20.1	-2.79	14.2	15.1	-0.84
Hakim Warrick	5	5	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.07	-8	4	-12	22.4	17.8	4.65	16.6	14.3	2.26
Dahntay Jones	5	6	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.06	-8	4	-12	22.4	17.8	4.65	17.3	14.3	3.07
Shane Battier	81	79	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.47	8	-12	20	17.1	25.9	-8.75	14.4	15.1	-0.72
Bobby Jackson	49	46	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.28	-2	-2	0	17.9	18.2	-0.29	16.3	12.5	3.80
Chucky Atkins	62	59	-0.64	0.14	-0.79	-0.38	-9	5	-14	18.2	17.6	0.53	13.1	17.3	-4.20
Pau Gasol	80	78	-0.70	0.20	-0.89	-0.28	-14	10	-24	18.4	15.1	3.28	13.8	19.9	-6.04

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cuttino Mobley	79	81	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.31	6	-2	8	14.0	18.7	-4.71	18.1	17.6	0.51
Sam Cassell	69	74	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.34	4	0	4	14.1	15.8	-1.65	17.5	20.5	-3.03
Chris Kaman	67	70	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.31	3	1	2	14.6	14.0	0.55	17.8	18.6	-0.76
Quinton Ross	41	40	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.39	0	4	-4	13.9	15.0	-1.12	18.5	17.6	0.92
Elton Brand	82	85	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.42	-2	6	-8	14.3	16.6	-2.26	17.8	22.4	-4.65
Chris Wilcox	23	24	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.05	12	-8	20	15.0	14.3	0.72	20.0	17.3	2.71
Shaun Livingston	27	28	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.11	-1	5	-6	16.4	13.6	2.75	18.4	17.9	0.50
Daniel Ewing	1	1	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.08	-2	6	-8	1.0	14.6	-13.63	4.0	18.2	-14.17
James Singleton	46	47	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	4	-4	15.2	13.6	1.58	18.1	17.9	0.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.6,0.54,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.25,0.25,0.34,0.26,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.25,0.24,0.3,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.29,0.39,0.47,0.54,0.77,0.9,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 99, CLE 106	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.54,0.6,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.25,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.23,0.27,0.29,0.2,0.28,0.34,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.21,0.43,0.42,0.26,0.33,0.28,0.46,0.46,0.68,0.72,1	92.1%
WAS 87, CHA 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.47,0.55,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.55,0.47,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.35,0.37,0.29,0.23,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.32,0.28,0.21,0.14,0.2,0.3,0.22,0.29,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.62,0.72,0.94,0.96,1	91.7%
TOR 81, NOH 85	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.49,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.19,0.16,0.2,0.22,0.27,0.22,0.25,0.38,0.3,0.25,0.31,0.42,0.3,0.29,0.4,0.47,0.64,0.55,0.73,1	91.7%