NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	99		Excitement	8.4 [218]		MVP	Dario Saric (PHI): +16.1%
Philadelphia 76ers	105		Comeback	7.8 [86]		LVP	Avery Bradley (BOS): -22.7%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelly Olynyk	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.10	0.05	-0.00	4	80%	0.15	0	0.00	7	86%	0.02
Al Horford	0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.18	-0.05	0.01	16	73%	0.15	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Gerald Green	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Terry Rozier	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.04	-0.03	12	50%	0.05	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Amir Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.07	1	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.06	0.04	0.00	13	44%	0.06	3	-0.09	8	87%	0.04
Jonas Jerebko	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	2	17%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jaylen Brown	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	6	17%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.22,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13	-0.12	-0.04	-0.03	12	31%	0.04	3	-0.17	2	100%	0.00
Avery Bradley	-0.23	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.23,-0.23	-0.07	-0.17	-0.02	14	45%	-0.09	4	-0.14	1	100%	0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dario Saric	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.16	0.16	0.08	0.08	-0.00	20	56%	0.19	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Richaun Holmes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.04	0.00	6	67%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sergio Rodriguez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.06	0.00	6	75%	0.19	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Long	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	4	67%	0.05	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	6	50%	0.11	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	12	50%	0.10	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Nik Stauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	7	64%	0.09	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jahlil Okafor	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	7	41%	-0.03	1	-0.03	8	75%	-0.01
Robert Covington	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.28,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.03	-0.11	-0.01	15	53%	0.06	4	-0.20	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.8	30.5	14.8	31.1	2.3	31.7	135.3
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +74.7%

BOS -26.7%

BOS -6.9%

PHI +8.9%

BOS -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	PHI	NBA	BOS	PHI	NBA
this game	14.0	14.0	14.8	97.1	101.0	107.7
season	14.7	14.5		110.1	101.9
opponent	14.4	14.9		107.6	108.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.2	15.3	11.8	14.9	14.0
PHI	15.1	15.3	13.0	12.9	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonas Jerebko	31	30	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.01	2	-8	10	17.0	12.6	4.43	14.3	13.9	0.36
Amir Johnson	50	50	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.08	1	-7	8	13.3	14.6	-1.32	14.6	13.4	1.18
Gerald Green	28	28	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.13	-2	-4	2	16.8	12.9	3.91	13.2	14.3	-1.09
Jae Crowder	75	77	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.27	2	-8	10	13.4	15.4	-1.98	14.6	12.2	2.41
Marcus Smart	74	77	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.32	2	-8	10	13.6	14.7	-1.10	14.5	12.7	1.81
Al Horford	67	70	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.38	3	-9	12	14.2	13.5	0.66	15.0	12.0	3.03
Kelly Olynyk	26	26	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.07	-13	7	-20	13.1	14.2	-1.17	12.1	14.6	-2.53
Jaylen Brown	29	27	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.03	-10	4	-14	12.9	14.4	-1.43	12.9	14.4	-1.46
Terry Rozier	53	56	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.28	-3	-3	0	14.9	13.0	1.91	13.1	15.0	-1.88
Avery Bradley	77	79	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.19	-12	6	-18	12.8	17.6	-4.83	13.5	15.7	-2.25

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nik Stauskas	65	63	0.86	-0.36	1.22	0.28	20	-14	34	13.1	15.6	-2.53	14.5	13.1	1.33
Robert Covington	80	79	0.78	-0.28	1.07	0.25	18	-12	30	13.7	15.1	-1.40	13.8	14.5	-0.74
Richaun Holmes	63	62	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.27	11	-5	16	14.2	13.7	0.54	14.1	13.8	0.29
Sergio Rodriguez	43	41	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.12	5	1	4	13.7	14.2	-0.49	15.5	12.9	2.53
T.J. McConnell	61	61	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.20	1	5	-4	14.2	13.7	0.49	12.9	15.5	-2.53
Gerald Henderson	39	38	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.09	8	-2	10	13.0	14.6	-1.66	13.0	14.5	-1.52
Shawn Long	16	16	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.04	6	0	6	12.6	14.3	-1.71	11.9	14.3	-2.46
Dario Saric	69	69	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.34	-13	19	-32	14.4	13.2	1.18	13.5	14.8	-1.28
Jahlil Okafor	22	22	-0.24	0.74	-0.97	0.09	-11	17	-28	16.1	13.5	2.64	15.5	13.5	1.92
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	62	59	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	0.19	-15	21	-36	15.0	12.5	2.57	14.6	13.0	1.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.59,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.23,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.11,0.17,0.28,0.27,0.26,0.18,0.38,0.34,0.43,0.63,0.53,0.64,0.54,0.67,0.55,0.78,0.68,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 103, CLE 109	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.23,0.25,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.21,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.73,0.75,0.72,0.78,0.85,1	91.9%
WAS 87, CHA 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.47,0.55,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.55,0.47,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.35,0.37,0.29,0.23,0.2,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.32,0.28,0.21,0.14,0.2,0.3,0.22,0.29,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.62,0.72,0.94,0.96,1	91.0%
NJN 82, ORL 90	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.48,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.3,0.27,0.32,0.34,0.41,0.3,0.33,0.32,0.5,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.53,0.54,0.67,0.69,0.79,0.83,0.96,1	90.7%