NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	98		Excitement	4.7 [870]		MVP	Brandan Wright (PHX): +12.4%
Phoenix Suns	106		Comeback	1.2 [1008]		LVP	John Wall (WAS): -17.0%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Martell Webster	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	1	60%	0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Andre Miller	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Seraphin	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	-0.02	0.03	4	75%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Drew Gooden	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Otto Porter	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01	0.12	-0.02	0.09	8	78%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Garrett Temple	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.02	5	60%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	12	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Bradley Beal	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	15	43%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	-0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	0.04	8	55%	-0.00	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Paul Pierce	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	11	35%	-0.03	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.02
John Wall	-0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17	-0.16	-0.03	-0.01	16	34%	-0.09	5	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandan Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.12	0.01	0.01	7	87%	0.12	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.00	-0.02	13	55%	0.10	0	0.00	7	86%	-0.00
PJ Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.03	0.02	7	75%	0.08	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.02
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.01	0.02	15	59%	0.05	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.01
Marcus Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Miles Plumlee	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	17	44%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Alex Len	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	7	57%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.02	-0.03	9	42%	0.05	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	7	33%	-0.01	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.2	3.4	28.5	16.7	25.2	0.1	41.9	138.0
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +45.7%

PHX +6.2%

WAS -7.9%

PHX +5.7%

PHX +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	PHX	NBA	WAS	PHX	NBA
this game	14.8	15.0	15.1	102.1	109.3	104.2
season	15.1	14.4		102.9	103.7
opponent	15.0	15.3		104.9	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.4	18.6	14.0	11.5	14.8
PHX	14.0	12.7	16.0	17.3	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Garrett Temple	16	16	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.09	3	-11	14	12.6	15.2	-2.63	15.8	14.9	0.94
Martell Webster	18	19	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.04	0	-8	8	13.2	15.2	-1.96	14.2	15.2	-1.02
Andre Miller	10	9	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.06	-6	-2	-4	19.3	14.3	5.01	11.7	15.4	-3.71
Kevin Seraphin	27	26	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.10	-2	-6	4	15.3	14.6	0.72	15.3	14.9	0.33
Paul Pierce	48	48	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.14	-1	-7	6	15.7	13.9	1.75	15.2	14.8	0.43
Rasual Butler	7	7	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.11	-10	2	-12	19.6	14.4	5.13	10.7	15.4	-4.65
Kris Humphries	66	66	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.25	0	-8	8	14.2	16.2	-2.07	15.7	13.7	1.94
Drew Gooden	30	31	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.02	-8	0	-8	16.2	14.2	2.07	13.7	15.7	-1.94
Bradley Beal	72	72	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.28	0	-8	8	14.5	15.6	-1.08	15.5	13.8	1.66
Otto Porter	48	49	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.13	-7	-1	-6	13.9	15.7	-1.75	14.8	15.2	-0.43
Marcin Gortat	67	69	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.25	-3	-5	2	15.0	14.4	0.57	15.2	14.5	0.70
John Wall	71	73	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.21	-6	-2	-4	14.5	15.6	-1.12	15.2	14.5	0.71

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Goran Dragic	73	73	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.09	14	-6	20	14.7	15.9	-1.18	15.0	14.1	0.90
Eric Bledsoe	72	71	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.21	8	0	8	15.2	14.5	0.69	15.2	13.6	1.59
PJ Tucker	64	62	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.34	2	6	-4	15.8	13.6	2.16	13.7	16.8	-3.11
Brandan Wright	35	35	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.03	12	-4	16	14.7	15.2	-0.58	14.8	14.8	-0.02
Marcus Morris	37	37	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.01	13	-5	18	14.2	15.5	-1.32	14.7	14.9	-0.13
Markieff Morris	71	71	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.21	2	6	-4	15.6	13.6	1.99	14.9	14.7	0.18
Miles Plumlee	11	12	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.02	6	2	4	12.7	15.3	-2.60	17.2	14.5	2.79
Isaiah Thomas	42	42	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.07	2	6	-4	14.2	15.7	-1.48	14.1	15.3	-1.19
Alex Len	50	47	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.35	-13	21	-34	16.1	13.9	2.21	14.7	14.9	-0.13
Gerald Green	30	30	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.06	-6	14	-20	14.2	15.4	-1.25	15.7	14.4	1.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.74,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.87,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.73,0.77,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.79,0.85,0.93,0.99,1,1,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 98, CHI 110	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.42,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.9,0.88,0.92,0.9,0.86,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.8,0.85,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.92,0.95,0.89,0.91,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1	96.0%
SAC 115, DEN 120	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.8,0.83,0.87,0.87,0.88,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.89,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.85,0.88,0.81,0.77,0.8,0.89,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.98,1,0.99,0.98,0.94,0.97,1	95.1%
MIA 89, GSW 104	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.78,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.87,0.86,0.88,0.89,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.84,0.87,0.85,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%