NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	98		Excitement	3.8 [1014]		MVP	Michael Jordan (CHI): +15.6%
Chicago Bulls	110		Comeback	1.4 [853]		LVP	Damon Stoudamire (TOR): -15.3%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Camby	0.00	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	18	59%	0.05	3	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
John Long	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Acie Earl	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	5	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Clifford Rozier	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Popeye Jones	-0.03	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	15	53%	-0.00	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Walt Williams	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.03	-0.01	0.09	16	56%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Doug Christie	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.20	-0.01	-0.07	9	29%	-0.05	5	-0.09	6	67%	-0.01
Damon Stoudamire	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.16	-0.03	-0.03	18	60%	0.08	12	-0.24	7	100%	0.02

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Jordan	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.16	0.02	0.02	16	71%	0.16	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Steve Kerr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	5	80%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ron Harper	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.00	0.03	8	69%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bill Wennington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.03	5	60%	0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luc Longley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	11	67%	0.08	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Scottie Pippen	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	10	60%	0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.01	0.03	16	53%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Jud Buechler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Parish	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Randy Brown	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	50%	-0.02	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Jason Caffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	7	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	1.8	27.1	14.8	24.6	2.4	23.5	116.8
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +40.4%

TOR -0.4%

TOR -15.0%

CHI +24.3%

CHI +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	CHI	NBA	TOR	CHI	NBA
this game	15.9	13.2	15.6	99.0	111.1	104.4
season	16.1	15.5		102.2	110.5
opponent	16.1	15.0		99.8	105.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	16.3	17.1	15.5	14.6	15.9
CHI	11.3	11.7	13.9	16.0	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Long	8	8	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.09	-10	-2	-8	17.9	15.7	2.13	11.1	13.4	-2.23
Walt Williams	89	89	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.27	2	-14	16	15.7	17.5	-1.76	13.4	11.5	1.86
Damon Stoudamire	85	87	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.37	3	-15	18	15.8	16.6	-0.76	13.3	12.3	0.95
Clifford Rozier	39	38	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.10	-7	-5	-2	15.6	16.1	-0.46	14.6	12.3	2.33
Popeye Jones	82	82	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.03	-11	-1	-10	16.0	15.3	0.75	13.0	13.9	-0.93
Marcus Camby	87	86	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.12	-8	-4	-4	15.8	17.1	-1.32	13.1	13.5	-0.33
Doug Christie	74	73	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.13	-18	6	-24	15.7	16.6	-0.96	12.5	15.1	-2.58
Acie Earl	31	32	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.08	-11	-1	-10	17.3	15.3	1.95	13.2	13.1	0.07

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Jordan	64	65	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.16	20	-8	28	12.2	14.9	-2.70	16.5	14.8	1.76
Jason Caffey	54	54	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.09	10	2	8	13.4	12.9	0.56	16.1	15.7	0.46
Ron Harper	44	44	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.14	7	5	2	14.3	12.3	1.98	15.9	15.9	0.02
Steve Kerr	43	43	0.31	0.19	0.13	-0.10	14	-2	16	12.5	13.7	-1.13	15.6	16.2	-0.56
Scottie Pippen	72	72	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.05	9	3	6	13.0	13.5	-0.48	15.8	16.2	-0.42
Toni Kukoc	72	71	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.18	4	8	-4	13.1	13.3	-0.22	16.1	15.5	0.63
Bill Wennington	35	35	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.07	7	5	2	14.3	12.6	1.72	16.1	15.8	0.30
Luc Longley	50	51	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.06	10	2	8	12.6	13.8	-1.24	15.9	15.9	0.00
Jud Buechler	7	7	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	12	-12	10.6	13.4	-2.80	13.6	16.1	-2.53
Robert Parish	14	13	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.13	-5	17	-22	12.6	13.3	-0.70	15.4	16.0	-0.62
Randy Brown	40	40	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.38	-16	28	-44	14.6	12.2	2.44	15.3	16.4	-1.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.42,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.88,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.9,0.88,0.92,0.9,0.86,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.8,0.85,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.92,0.95,0.89,0.91,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 78, DET 84	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.87,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.87,0.84,0.84,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.1%
WAS 98, PHX 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.74,0.76,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.87,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.87,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.73,0.77,0.83,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.79,0.85,0.93,0.99,1,1,0.96,1	96.0%
ATL 84, DET 91	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.81,0.8,0.83,0.91,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.9,0.89,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.92,0.86,0.94,0.95,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%