NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	78		Excitement	2.9 [1153]		MVP	Terry Mills (DET): +9.7%
Detroit Pistons	84		Comeback	1.2 [952]		LVP	Monty Williams (SAS): -9.3%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cory Alexander	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.09	0.00	0.10	8	90%	0.01	3	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Greg Anderson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vernon Maxwell	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.05	0.00	0.06	19	54%	-0.00	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Vinny Del Negro	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	7	36%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Will Perdue	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Avery Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	9	48%	-0.02	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Jason Sasser	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carl Herrera	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	0.00	0.04	12	50%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.02
Monty Williams	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.12	-0.00	-0.03	12	29%	-0.09	1	-0.00	4	50%	-0.02

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.01	-0.02	11	72%	0.12	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	10	86%	0.09	5	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Otis Thorpe	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	13	53%	0.03	1	-0.01	6	83%	0.00
Grant Long	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	3	57%	0.03	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01
Theo Ratliff	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lindsey Hunter	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	11	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.02
Litterial Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	3	37%	0.01	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Don Reid	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.09	0.00	-0.04	3	36%	-0.03	2	-0.01	5	80%	-0.01
Joe Dumars	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	0.00	0.01	8	32%	-0.06	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.3	29.5	16.8	24.1	2.5	28.4	129.3
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +31.3%

DET +9.8%

DET +7.8%

DET +1.5%

SAS -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	DET	NBA	SAS	DET	NBA
this game	18.1	17.4	15.6	95.1	105.0	104.4
season	16.8	17.1		100.8	107.6
opponent	16.2	15.4		102.0	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	21.3	19.5	17.4	14.6	18.1
DET	17.5	15.6	16.9	19.7	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Sasser	8	6	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.12	-9	3	-12	18.7	18.0	0.71	14.7	17.7	-3.00
Will Perdue	56	53	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.57	14	-20	34	18.8	16.7	2.13	18.2	15.9	2.28
Cory Alexander	30	32	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.45	8	-14	22	16.4	19.1	-2.70	17.6	17.4	0.21
Monty Williams	53	54	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.35	4	-10	14	18.6	17.2	1.34	17.6	17.0	0.59
Vernon Maxwell	65	64	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.53	10	-16	26	17.8	19.4	-1.57	18.4	13.7	4.69
Avery Johnson	52	48	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.13	-14	8	-22	19.1	16.4	2.70	17.4	17.6	-0.21
Vinny Del Negro	38	36	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.12	-17	11	-28	17.9	18.3	-0.45	15.9	18.7	-2.71
Carl Herrera	71	72	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.32	-3	-3	0	18.0	18.5	-0.50	17.3	18.6	-1.32
Greg Anderson	37	35	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.24	-23	17	-40	17.2	18.8	-1.63	16.5	18.1	-1.59

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Grant Hill	64	67	0.55	-0.05	0.61	-0.18	25	-19	44	17.7	16.4	1.33	18.7	15.7	2.99
Terry Mills	56	58	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.18	11	-5	16	17.5	17.2	0.27	16.5	21.9	-5.38
Grant Long	26	29	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.06	15	-9	24	15.6	18.3	-2.76	17.6	18.4	-0.86
Michael Curry	38	37	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.32	0	6	-6	16.1	18.7	-2.64	17.4	18.7	-1.33
Litterial Green	29	27	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.18	3	3	0	15.3	18.7	-3.39	17.6	18.4	-0.77
Otis Thorpe	55	56	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.20	2	4	-2	18.6	15.0	3.60	18.2	18.0	0.16
Lindsey Hunter	55	58	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.47	-11	17	-28	18.3	15.5	2.85	17.8	18.7	-0.91
Joe Dumars	49	50	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.25	-4	10	-14	18.3	16.1	2.14	18.9	16.8	2.08
Don Reid	24	23	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	10	-14	16.9	17.7	-0.80	21.8	16.7	5.17
Theo Ratliff	4	5	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.15	-7	13	-20	18.5	17.4	1.12	17.8	18.1	-0.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.87,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.87,0.84,0.84,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 94, DAL 108	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.76,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.85,0.93,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
LAL 80, MIN 96	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.86,0.9,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.9%
PHI 91, SAS 113	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.7,0.81,0.86,0.92,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.88,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.82,0.83,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%