NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	91		Excitement	3.2 [1154]		MVP	Austin Daye (SAS): +16.5%
San Antonio Spurs	113		Comeback	1.1 [1318]		LVP	Thaddeus Young (PHI): -11.0%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hollis Thompson	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.00	-0.03	7	57%	0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Byron Mullens	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	0.00	0.04	11	68%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Anderson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.02	9	56%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Elliot Williams	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.10	0.00	0.07	7	87%	0.04	1	-0.00	2	0%	-0.01
Jarvis Varnado	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	0	0%	-0.00	1	-0.00	2	0%	-0.01
James Nunnally	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Henry Sims	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.04	8	56%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Casper Ware	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Carter-Williams	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.12	-0.00	-0.06	20	36%	-0.03	3	-0.03	7	71%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.00	20	38%	-0.07	3	-0.04	5	60%	-0.02

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Austin Daye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.20	0.01	0.05	13	85%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kawhi Leonard	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.09	0.00	-0.01	9	75%	0.11	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.01	0.02	12	73%	0.12	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.13	0.01	0.07	9	83%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.03	7	50%	0.04	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Jeff Ayres	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	3	62%	0.02	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	6	58%	0.02	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aron Baynes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	11	50%	-0.00	2	-0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	0.00	-0.02	7	50%	-0.00	5	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.4	25.4	14.7	25.2	2.8	26.2	119.1
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +47.7%

SAS +1.8%

SAS +4.5%

PHI -3.9%

PHI -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	SAS	NBA	PHI	SAS	NBA
this game	14.9	14.8	15.1	93.8	116.5	105.2
season	13.7	15.0		98.4	109.8
opponent	15.0	15.0		101.1	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.7	13.9	14.8	15.2	14.9
SAS	14.9	14.9	14.6	14.8	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hollis Thompson	73	72	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.19	0	-22	22	15.2	13.9	1.36	15.0	14.1	0.91
Byron Mullens	37	37	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.24	-15	-7	-8	14.8	15.0	-0.23	13.8	15.4	-1.59
Casper Ware	22	21	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.26	-17	-5	-12	15.1	14.8	0.31	12.9	15.3	-2.47
Thaddeus Young	68	69	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.16	-3	-19	16	14.9	14.8	0.15	15.3	13.6	1.72
James Nunnally	15	15	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.22	-16	-6	-10	15.7	14.8	0.91	13.7	15.0	-1.33
James Anderson	70	69	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.18	-15	-7	-8	14.8	15.3	-0.50	13.9	17.0	-3.05
Michael Carter-Williams	75	76	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.11	-5	-17	12	14.8	15.1	-0.31	15.3	12.9	2.47
Jarvis Varnado	22	23	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.26	-18	-4	-14	14.2	15.1	-0.92	15.8	14.5	1.35
Henry Sims	67	65	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.05	-8	-14	6	15.2	14.3	0.86	14.5	15.5	-1.01
Elliot Williams	36	38	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.08	-13	-9	-4	14.2	15.3	-1.16	16.4	13.8	2.63

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kawhi Leonard	52	52	0.52	-0.02	0.53	-0.25	26	-4	30	14.3	15.4	-1.09	15.6	14.1	1.55
Marco Belinelli	54	53	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.34	27	-5	32	15.3	14.1	1.18	14.9	14.9	-0.02
Austin Daye	56	56	0.44	0.06	0.38	-0.23	23	-1	24	15.5	13.9	1.63	14.7	15.2	-0.52
Patty Mills	46	46	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.04	16	6	10	16.0	13.7	2.34	14.6	15.2	-0.55
Jeff Ayres	38	37	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.12	18	4	14	16.0	14.0	2.03	14.6	15.1	-0.49
Manu Ginobili	55	56	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.13	-1	23	-24	14.0	15.8	-1.83	15.2	14.5	0.71
Tim Duncan	49	50	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.12	-1	23	-24	14.2	15.4	-1.27	14.9	14.9	-0.08
Cory Joseph	72	72	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.06	1	21	-20	14.3	16.1	-1.73	14.6	15.7	-1.11
Boris Diaw	59	59	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.06	0	22	-22	14.4	15.4	-1.07	14.9	14.9	0.00
Aron Baynes	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.15	5	17	-12	13.2	15.0	-1.78	16.2	14.7	1.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.7,0.81,0.86,0.92,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.93,0.88,0.9,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.91,0.82,0.83,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 78, DET 84	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.66,0.76,0.79,0.83,0.87,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.87,0.84,0.84,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.8%
ATL 94, DAL 108	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.76,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.84,0.88,0.85,0.93,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.89,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%
LAL 80, MIN 96	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.91,0.93,0.87,0.87,0.84,0.86,0.9,0.87,0.92,0.92,0.97,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%