NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	92		Excitement	7.0 [403]		MVP	Tim Hardaway Jr. (NYK): +20.5%
New York Knicks	100		Comeback	2.3 [134]		LVP	Perry Jones (OKC): -15.5%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Russell Westbrook	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.14,0.2,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.03,0.17,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08	0.11	-0.01	0.02	30	56%	0.20	4	-0.12	12	100%	0.06
Anthony Morrow	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.03	0.02	7	64%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dion Waiters	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	10	38%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Nick Collison	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Roberson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03	0.04	-0.04	0.03	11	59%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	5	46%	0.03	3	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
Serge Ibaka	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	9	45%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Kendrick Perkins	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	6	29%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Perry Jones	-0.15	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.12	-0.05	-0.01	5	0%	-0.12	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.03,0,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.08	0.14	0.01	8	78%	0.23	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Lance Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.07	-0.02	13	61%	0.19	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.03
Langston Galloway	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.00	15	56%	0.11	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Jason Smith	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.03	0.01	10	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,0.02,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	28	49%	0.09	2	-0.06	7	86%	-0.00
Jose Calderon	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cole Aldrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pablo Prigioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shane Larkin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Acy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	8	28%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.6	2.5	26.4	15.7	23.0	2.5	39.5	132.1
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +48.5%

OKC -16.5%

NYK +5.6%

NYK +9.3%

NYK +3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	NYK	NBA	OKC	NYK	NBA
this game	13.7	15.8	15.1	93.9	103.1	104.2
season	14.5	16.1		105.7	98.5
opponent	15.0	15.0		108.3	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	15.9	11.1	14.9	13.2	13.7
NYK	14.7	17.7	17.1	14.0	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kendrick Perkins	31	30	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.10	8	-16	24	14.5	13.4	1.09	15.3	16.1	-0.84
Ish Smith	5	5	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-9	10	5.8	14.1	-8.33	11.4	16.1	-4.69
Andre Roberson	29	30	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.05	-2	-6	4	14.4	13.4	1.01	16.1	15.7	0.37
Dion Waiters	39	39	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.11	2	-10	12	15.6	12.4	3.17	14.9	16.4	-1.50
Anthony Morrow	49	48	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.31	2	-10	12	13.1	14.3	-1.29	15.4	16.3	-0.85
Reggie Jackson	59	57	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.25	-1	-7	6	13.2	14.4	-1.22	15.9	15.7	0.16
Nick Collison	32	32	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.16	-5	-3	-2	15.3	12.9	2.34	15.3	16.1	-0.75
Perry Jones	48	47	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.03	-10	2	-12	13.7	13.7	0.01	17.2	14.6	2.61
Serge Ibaka	69	68	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.19	-7	-1	-6	13.2	14.9	-1.64	15.8	15.9	-0.07
Steven Adams	57	57	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.05	-13	5	-18	13.9	13.4	0.58	16.9	14.3	2.63
Russell Westbrook	72	72	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.15	-15	7	-22	13.0	15.6	-2.60	15.5	16.8	-1.29

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carmelo Anthony	77	78	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.15	15	-7	22	15.7	16.5	-0.89	13.8	13.5	0.26
Lou Amundson	67	67	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.19	11	-3	14	16.2	15.0	1.27	13.0	15.2	-2.23
Langston Galloway	74	75	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.17	11	-3	14	15.9	15.6	0.37	13.5	14.3	-0.73
Lance Thomas	52	51	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.32	4	4	0	15.1	16.7	-1.61	13.5	13.9	-0.32
Jason Smith	62	64	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.05	12	-4	16	15.8	15.9	-0.15	14.5	12.3	2.16
Tim Hardaway Jr.	45	46	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.30	-1	9	-10	15.0	16.6	-1.62	14.5	13.0	1.58
Jose Calderon	57	56	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.06	10	-2	12	16.3	15.2	1.14	12.9	14.8	-1.89
Quincy Acy	8	9	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.04	2	6	-4	15.0	15.9	-0.92	16.4	13.4	3.02
Shane Larkin	21	21	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.14	-6	14	-20	16.1	15.8	0.32	14.1	13.6	0.56
Pablo Prigioni	9	9	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.06	-7	15	-22	18.2	15.6	2.62	11.7	13.9	-2.24
Cole Aldrich	13	14	-0.24	0.74	-0.99	0.08	-11	19	-30	17.1	15.7	1.42	14.2	13.6	0.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.44,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.57,0.52,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.67,0.69,0.91,0.67,0.81,0.97,1,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 85, ATL 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.53,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.81,0.9,0.93,0.99,1,1,1	93.5%
DET 74, SAS 81	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.3,0.27,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.44,0.44,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.68,0.69,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.97,0.96,1	92.9%
CHH 79, PHI 84	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.37,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.38,0.45,0.34,0.34,0.44,0.56,0.62,0.57,0.52,0.62,0.73,0.64,0.88,0.95,0.9,0.96,0.98,0.99,1	92.7%