NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	69		Excitement	3.8 [1053]		MVP	Robert Covington (PHI): +9.4%
Philadelphia 76ers	89		Comeback	1.1 [353]		LVP	D.J. Augustin (DET): -7.8%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Greg Monroe	0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	0.00	15	57%	0.10	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.01	0.01	6	77%	0.08	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Joel Anthony	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Dinwiddie	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	6	37%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Anthony Tolliver	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.00	7	43%	-0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	0.03	16	44%	-0.04	1	-0.02	11	91%	0.03
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	-0.07	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.13	-0.00	-0.06	9	22%	-0.03	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Singler	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
D.J. Augustin	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.15	-0.00	-0.08	7	12%	-0.05	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robert Covington	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.16	0.01	0.08	11	83%	0.11	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
JaKarr Sampson	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.01	0.02	6	93%	0.10	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
KJ McDaniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.00	-0.01	7	62%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Henry Sims	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	7	71%	0.08	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Nerlens Noel	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	5	42%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Carter-Williams	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.02	10	56%	0.06	5	-0.07	5	60%	-0.02
Larry Drew	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	14	43%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Hollis Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.11	0.00	-0.07	9	11%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.09	0.00	-0.05	6	33%	-0.00	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	1.8	26.0	15.8	26.0	1.5	27.4	121.9
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +54.9%

DET -12.5%

PHI +9.5%

DET -0.9%

DET -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	PHI	NBA	DET	PHI	NBA
this game	15.8	17.0	15.1	78.4	101.1	104.2
season	15.7	14.9		104.0	94.3
opponent	14.8	15.3		103.4	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	15.4	17.0	17.0	14.0	15.8
PHI	13.4	16.5	20.9	18.0	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joel Anthony	12	11	0.05	-0.55	0.61	0.02	1	-21	22	10.2	16.6	-6.38	21.9	16.3	5.65
Spencer Dinwiddie	26	27	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.13	3	-23	26	13.8	16.6	-2.77	17.1	16.9	0.26
Jonas Jerebko	31	30	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.03	-3	-17	14	16.3	15.5	0.87	19.3	15.7	3.59
Jodie Meeks	60	59	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.12	-1	-19	18	15.4	16.5	-1.14	18.4	14.1	4.32
Caron Butler	37	37	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.18	1	-21	22	15.3	16.1	-0.85	18.3	16.0	2.30
Anthony Tolliver	37	38	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.10	-3	-17	14	15.5	16.0	-0.47	16.4	17.4	-0.96
Kyle Singler	35	35	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.04	-10	-10	0	16.8	15.1	1.77	15.7	17.8	-2.08
Andre Drummond	37	39	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.15	-15	-5	-10	15.2	16.2	-0.99	15.5	18.1	-2.66
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	44	45	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.43	-30	10	-40	15.8	15.7	0.11	15.0	19.0	-4.07
D.J. Augustin	62	61	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.22	-23	3	-26	16.6	13.8	2.77	16.9	17.1	-0.26
Greg Monroe	59	58	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.13	-20	0	-20	17.1	13.0	4.12	16.2	18.5	-2.38

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Carter-Williams	66	65	0.61	-0.11	0.71	-0.39	34	-14	48	16.9	17.2	-0.35	16.2	14.4	1.80
Luc Mbah a Moute	60	58	0.60	-0.10	0.69	-0.43	35	-15	50	16.3	18.4	-2.15	16.3	14.8	1.46
Nerlens Noel	57	55	0.57	-0.07	0.63	-0.43	34	-14	48	15.9	18.9	-2.94	15.9	15.6	0.30
JaKarr Sampson	45	45	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.33	26	-6	32	16.1	17.9	-1.75	15.4	16.1	-0.65
Robert Covington	48	47	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.30	22	-2	24	16.7	17.2	-0.47	14.9	16.8	-1.86
Hollis Thompson	35	38	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.20	-4	24	-28	17.2	16.8	0.34	15.3	16.1	-0.88
KJ McDaniels	43	43	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.25	-6	26	-32	17.9	16.1	1.75	16.1	15.4	0.65
Jerami Grant	35	36	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.37	-13	33	-46	18.6	15.9	2.76	15.7	15.8	-0.11
Henry Sims	29	30	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.34	-14	34	-48	18.5	16.2	2.31	16.7	15.3	1.37
Larry Drew	22	23	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.30	-14	34	-48	17.2	16.9	0.35	14.4	16.2	-1.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.61,0.68,0.76,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.84,0.79,0.74,0.81,0.78,0.8,0.85,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.87,0.87,0.8,0.77,0.79,0.82,0.85,0.88,0.79,0.85,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 91, SAC 111	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.86,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.82,0.82,0.76,0.82,0.84,0.78,0.84,0.84,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
MIA 70, SAC 96	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.72,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.72,0.72,0.72,0.77,0.83,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.86,0.89,0.94,0.96,0.99,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
SEA 78, GSW 90	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.8,0.76,0.8,0.8,0.74,0.82,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.89,0.85,0.8,0.77,0.82,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.85,0.84,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.97,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%