NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	110		Excitement	8.3 [195]		MVP	Mo Williams (MIN): +49.8%
Indiana Pacers	101		Comeback	5.0 [68]		LVP	Lavoy Allen (IND): -15.2%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mo Williams	0.50	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.29,0.36,0.32,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.49,0.5	0.26	0.25	0.01	33	69%	0.58	3	-0.08	9	89%	0.06
Andrew Wiggins	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,0.06,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.08	0.02	16	53%	0.16	2	-0.07	6	100%	0.03
Robbie Hummel	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.05	0.00	6	58%	0.11	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Troy Daniels	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	4	62%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Bennett	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach LaVine	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	13	42%	-0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Chase Budinger	-0.10	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.01	0.00	6	25%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Gorgui Dieng	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.06	-0.05	0.01	7	56%	0.03	4	-0.15	4	100%	0.09

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.12	0.08	0.05	0.01	18	55%	0.12	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Damjan Rudez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.03	-0.03	6	67%	0.13	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
CJ Watson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	-0.01	0.03	9	85%	0.14	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Donald Sloan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.03	-0.00	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.08
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.04
Chris Copeland	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	-0.06	0.00	8	68%	0.12	2	-0.13	3	100%	0.01
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	10	50%	-0.12
David West	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.06	-0.02	8	67%	0.12	5	-0.19	2	100%	0.03
Roy Hibbert	0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	0.00	0.01	12	38%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Solomon Hill	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.06	0.00	6	12%	-0.15	0	0.00	4	0%	-0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.5	31.5	16.5	26.3	2.3	40.5	141.9
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +17.1%

MIN +4.3%

MIN +8.7%

MIN +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	IND	NBA	MIN	IND	NBA
this game	15.3	14.3	15.1	113.4	103.1	104.2
season	15.0	16.0		101.2	102.3
opponent	15.0	15.0		102.0	110.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	13.7	17.0	15.8	14.7	15.3
IND	16.3	14.3	13.0	13.5	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gorgui Dieng	76	77	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.30	18	-9	27	14.9	16.5	-1.53	14.7	12.8	1.85
Mo Williams	88	90	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.22	14	-5	19	15.1	16.9	-1.78	14.3	13.6	0.70
Robbie Hummel	52	53	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.32	10	-1	11	15.0	15.6	-0.56	14.0	14.6	-0.62
Andrew Wiggins	74	76	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.19	9	0	9	14.5	17.7	-3.17	14.1	14.7	-0.54
Thaddeus Young	73	74	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.19	6	3	3	15.3	15.2	0.15	14.0	15.2	-1.25
Troy Daniels	23	22	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.03	4	5	-1	17.7	14.5	3.11	15.7	13.8	1.89
Anthony Bennett	39	39	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.02	-1	10	-11	15.8	14.9	0.82	14.4	14.2	0.20
Zach LaVine	9	8	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.02	-5	14	-19	16.9	15.1	1.78	13.6	14.3	-0.70
Chase Budinger	51	51	-0.36	0.86	-1.22	-0.07	-10	19	-29	15.6	14.9	0.74	13.9	14.7	-0.84

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lavoy Allen	32	31	0.28	-0.78	1.07	0.05	8	-17	25	14.4	14.2	0.21	15.6	15.1	0.54
Solomon Hill	47	48	0.17	-0.67	0.83	0.05	4	-13	17	14.3	14.2	0.06	15.4	15.2	0.23
Chris Copeland	2	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-8	7	4.5	14.5	-9.97	12.0	15.3	-3.35
Roy Hibbert	40	41	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.03	-2	-7	5	15.0	13.7	1.33	15.6	15.1	0.53
Donald Sloan	31	31	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.13	2	-11	13	15.0	13.9	1.12	15.4	15.2	0.16
Damjan Rudez	34	33	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.05	-1	-8	7	14.3	14.2	0.04	15.4	15.2	0.13
Luis Scola	44	42	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.13	-6	-3	-3	14.7	13.9	0.80	15.5	15.1	0.47
Ian Mahinmi	11	12	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.17	-7	-2	-5	13.9	14.3	-0.40	14.7	15.4	-0.60
CJ Watson	67	66	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.11	-11	2	-13	13.9	15.0	-1.12	15.2	15.4	-0.16
CJ Miles	65	65	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.23	-9	0	-9	13.9	15.0	-1.06	15.2	15.4	-0.14
David West	66	66	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.27	-10	1	-11	13.9	14.9	-1.00	14.9	16.0	-1.06
Rodney Stuckey	51	48	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.26	-12	3	-15	14.5	14.0	0.43	15.2	15.4	-0.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.6,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.74,0.79,0.74,0.66,0.71,0.8,0.53,0.47,0.65,0.6,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 94, SAC 86	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.71,0.69,0.77,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.7,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.32,0.29,0.24,0.02,0	91.8%
SAC 98, LAC 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.47,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.67,0.63,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.41,0.53,0.47,0.38,0.29,0.23,0.15,0	91.7%
DEN 94, MEM 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.63,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.69,0.81,0.75,0.74,0.67,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.65,0.46,0.31,0.21,0.16,0.09,0	91.6%