NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	98		Excitement	8.2 [223]		MVP	Omri Casspi (SAC): +13.3%
Los Angeles Clippers	92		Comeback	4.6 [64]		LVP	JJ Redick (LAC): -19.9%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Omri Casspi	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.06	0.07	0.00	2	100%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
DeMarcus Cousins	0.11	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.15,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11	0.12	0.01	0.02	23	67%	0.25	4	-0.14	5	80%	0.00
Carl Landry	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.02	0.08	-0.00	3	78%	0.19	2	-0.09	3	100%	0.03
Rudy Gay	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0,0,0	0.07	-0.05	0.01	14	64%	0.16	4	-0.16	11	91%	0.04
Ben McLemore	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	37%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Derrick Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Nik Stauskas	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	0.03	-0.00	5	40%	0.07	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	12	47%	-0.00	3	-0.08	6	100%	0.06
Ramon Sessions	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.07	-0.10	0.00	2	0%	-0.12	1	-0.05	2	0%	-0.07

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.04	0.00	3	117%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.04	0.00	10	65%	0.17	2	-0.07	6	100%	0.04
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05	0.05	0.09	-0.03	-0.00	12	62%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	9	56%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	5	40%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Douglas-Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	2	33%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jared Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1	-0.10	-0.12	0.01	-0.02	20	35%	-0.03	2	-0.07	8	62%	-0.02
Matt Barnes	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.11	-0.09	-0.00	11	30%	-0.12	3	-0.07	1	0%	-0.02
JJ Redick	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.04	-0.16	0.00	14	40%	-0.17	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	1.8	33.6	15.8	27.5	1.7	43.1	151.6
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +48.5%

SAC +11.9%

SAC +24.4%

LAC -40.4%

SAC +5.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	LAC	NBA	SAC	LAC	NBA
this game	15.5	15.8	15.1	106.5	100.0	104.2
season	14.9	14.6		103.7	110.5
opponent	15.3	14.8		104.6	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	14.8	15.6	15.7	15.8	15.5
LAC	17.9	14.4	17.8	13.6	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMarcus Cousins	66	65	0.85	-0.35	1.19	0.32	18	-12	30	15.7	15.1	0.57	16.0	15.4	0.63
Jason Thompson	72	72	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.25	10	-4	14	15.2	16.4	-1.23	15.6	16.7	-1.13
Darren Collison	77	77	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.21	11	-5	16	15.1	17.7	-2.68	15.6	17.0	-1.42
Rudy Gay	76	76	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.15	11	-5	16	14.9	18.1	-3.12	15.6	16.8	-1.21
Omri Casspi	30	31	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.44	0	6	-6	17.1	14.7	2.34	14.7	16.4	-1.72
Nik Stauskas	40	38	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.01	2	4	-2	15.3	15.6	-0.33	16.3	15.5	0.81
Ramon Sessions	16	16	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.18	-5	11	-16	18.1	14.9	3.12	16.8	15.6	1.21
Ben McLemore	38	40	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.03	1	5	-4	14.9	15.9	-0.92	16.3	15.4	0.90
Carl Landry	25	25	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.05	-5	11	-16	16.4	15.2	1.20	16.8	15.5	1.30
Derrick Williams	7	8	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.01	-6	12	-18	15.3	15.5	-0.22	16.6	15.7	0.89
Reggie Evans	13	12	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	0.04	-7	13	-20	15.7	15.5	0.24	15.0	15.9	-0.94

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hedo Turkoglu	18	19	0.25	-0.75	1.00	-0.02	9	-15	24	16.5	15.6	0.85	16.6	15.2	1.44
Jared Cunningham	20	21	0.18	-0.68	0.86	-0.03	7	-13	20	16.7	15.6	1.13	15.3	15.5	-0.26
Chris Douglas-Roberts	26	27	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.04	4	-10	14	17.2	15.3	1.92	16.3	15.1	1.19
Spencer Hawes	45	44	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.02	3	-9	12	14.9	16.7	-1.81	15.2	15.7	-0.46
Jordan Farmar	33	35	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.10	-5	-1	-4	16.7	15.3	1.33	14.8	15.9	-1.07
Matt Barnes	60	59	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.19	-5	-1	-4	15.3	16.7	-1.39	15.7	15.1	0.62
JJ Redick	65	63	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.32	-6	0	-6	15.3	17.1	-1.83	15.3	15.9	-0.65
DeAndre Jordan	47	48	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.30	-9	3	-12	16.7	14.9	1.81	15.7	15.2	0.46
Chris Paul	72	71	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.30	-13	7	-20	15.6	16.7	-1.13	15.5	15.3	0.26
Blake Griffin	74	73	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.31	-15	9	-24	15.6	16.5	-0.85	15.2	16.6	-1.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.47,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.67,0.63,0.72,0.75,0.7,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.41,0.53,0.47,0.38,0.29,0.23,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 94, MEM 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.66,0.59,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.63,0.64,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.75,0.76,0.69,0.81,0.75,0.74,0.67,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.65,0.46,0.31,0.21,0.16,0.09,0	91.7%
LAL 112, SEA 109	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.67,0.8,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.86,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.86,0.75,0.66,0.66,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.31,0.3,0.34,0.26,0	91.7%
MIN 110, IND 101	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.6,0.65,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.77,0.74,0.79,0.74,0.66,0.71,0.8,0.53,0.47,0.65,0.6,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.04,0	91.7%