NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	102		Excitement	7.7 [301]		MVP	Isaiah Thomas (PHX): +15.0%
Milwaukee Bucks	96		Comeback	3.4 [489]		LVP	Jerryd Bayless (MIL): -17.9%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Thomas	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.11	0.03	-0.00	8	79%	0.19	2	-0.04	8	87%	0.03
Goran Dragic	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13	0.02	0.12	0.01	13	62%	0.21	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	0.11	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.11	0.13	0.01	0.02	17	67%	0.19	2	-0.08	5	80%	-0.02
Marcus Morris	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.03	0.07	-0.01	6	40%	0.08	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Alex Len	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	7	56%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Miles Plumlee	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.07	-0.00	9	33%	0.06	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.03
PJ Tucker	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.00	0.00	7	36%	-0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.2,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.01	-0.01	10	38%	-0.00	7	-0.17	6	67%	-0.04

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Knight	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.16,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.00	0.01	20	59%	0.11	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.03
Khris Middleton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.04	-0.00	9	59%	0.16	1	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
Giannis Antetokounmpo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.00	13	57%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
John Henson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	9	65%	0.09	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.03
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	9	45%	0.00	0	0.00	4	100%	0.04
Johnny O'Bryant	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	4	30%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Kendall Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	4	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.14	-0.02	0.00	7	39%	-0.04	6	-0.13	4	75%	0.01
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.08	-0.10	0.00	7	29%	-0.08	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.8	1.7	28.3	15.4	25.6	2.6	36.3	134.7
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +49.6%

PHX +3.4%

MIL -4.3%

MIL -3.5%

PHX +4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	MIL	NBA	PHX	MIL	NBA
this game	14.4	14.6	15.1	102.0	97.0	104.2
season	14.4	14.5		103.7	100.5
opponent	15.7	15.0		101.0	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	16.4	13.6	13.2	14.4	14.4
MIL	12.4	15.2	13.4	17.7	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Markieff Morris	73	71	0.88	-0.38	1.27	0.42	16	-10	26	13.7	16.1	-2.44	15.7	11.7	4.04
Goran Dragic	81	79	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.37	12	-6	18	14.3	14.7	-0.45	15.1	12.4	2.66
Isaiah Thomas	62	62	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.30	14	-8	22	14.0	14.9	-0.89	15.5	13.1	2.34
Gerald Green	31	32	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.26	2	4	-2	14.9	14.1	0.77	15.0	14.4	0.63
Eric Bledsoe	80	79	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.27	-2	8	-10	14.3	14.6	-0.29	14.8	13.5	1.29
Marcus Morris	41	40	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.04	1	5	-4	15.6	13.5	2.14	12.4	16.0	-3.57
Alex Len	50	50	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.08	4	2	2	14.3	14.4	-0.06	14.6	14.5	0.13
PJ Tucker	58	57	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.06	-4	10	-14	14.4	14.3	0.10	13.4	16.2	-2.76
Miles Plumlee	24	25	-0.40	0.90	-1.31	-0.02	-13	19	-32	14.8	14.2	0.61	12.0	15.4	-3.39

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zaza Pachulia	52	51	0.18	-0.68	0.85	0.03	5	-11	16	14.2	14.9	-0.69	14.6	14.2	0.41
Johnny O'Bryant	30	31	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.03	2	-8	10	14.4	14.7	-0.30	14.4	14.4	-0.02
Khris Middleton	61	62	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.21	6	-12	18	15.1	13.7	1.40	15.0	13.3	1.70
Giannis Antetokounmpo	70	71	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.17	3	-9	12	14.2	15.4	-1.14	14.6	13.8	0.81
Brandon Knight	71	73	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.21	-1	-5	4	14.4	15.0	-0.64	14.5	14.1	0.30
Kendall Marshall	28	27	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.12	-5	-1	-4	15.0	14.4	0.64	14.1	14.5	-0.30
Jared Dudley	51	50	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.12	-5	-1	-4	13.5	15.7	-2.20	14.4	14.3	0.10
O.J. Mayo	38	38	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.12	-12	6	-18	13.7	15.1	-1.40	13.3	15.0	-1.70
John Henson	47	49	-0.68	0.18	-0.85	-0.35	-11	5	-16	14.9	14.2	0.69	14.2	14.6	-0.41
Jerryd Bayless	47	48	-0.68	0.18	-0.87	-0.33	-12	6	-18	16.4	13.0	3.40	14.0	14.7	-0.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.59,0.5,0.43,0.42,0.35,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.69,0.71,0.64,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.28,0.32,0.41,0.24,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.06,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 106, TOR 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.56,0.66,0.69,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.55,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.52,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.42,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.16,0.04,0,0	92.8%
POR 104, NYK 97	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.63,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.66,0.66,0.43,0.24,0.23,0.26,0.15,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0	92.7%
SEA 103, DAL 101	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.68,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.77,0.69,0.58,0.54,0.44,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.57,0.52,0.33,0.42,0.26,0.24,0.1,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.05,0	92.6%