NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	104		Excitement	6.1 [612]		MVP	Rudy Fernandez (POR): +20.0%
New York Knicks	97		Comeback	4.4 [507]		LVP	Nicolas Batum (POR): -10.6%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Fernandez	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.11	0.12	0.02	11	69%	0.24	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Steve Blake	0.16	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.12	0.05	0.00	9	79%	0.16	1	0.00	1	100%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.09	0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.03	-0.00	12	61%	0.11	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Joel Przybilla	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.04	0.00	6	67%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sergio Rodriguez	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	7	36%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Travis Outlaw	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.02	0.03	15	53%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Greg Oden	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	5	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Channing Frye	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Roy	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	19	52%	0.11	6	-0.17	6	83%	0.01
Nicolas Batum	-0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	4	0%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Duhon	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.03	-0.01	14	64%	0.17	1	-0.02	8	100%	0.05
Al Harrington	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.02	0.08	-0.02	15	44%	0.10	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Tim Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	-0.06	-0.00	10	58%	0.00	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
David Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.07	-0.05	0.05	11	70%	0.07	3	-0.09	5	100%	0.02
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	10	36%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Wilson Chandler	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	12	44%	0.05	3	-0.11	1	100%	0.01
Anthony Roberson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.02	-0.02	0.06	6	50%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.4	30.5	16.8	24.4	2.5	31.4	134.1
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +51.0%

NYK -21.7%

POR +21.0%

NYK -0.8%

POR +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	NYK	NBA	POR	NYK	NBA
this game	16.9	13.1	15.5	108.3	101.0	106.4
season	16.7	13.8		111.0	106.2
opponent	15.5	16.0		109.1	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	18.0	17.3	17.1	15.1	16.9
NYK	9.7	14.0	14.8	14.3	13.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rudy Fernandez	44	43	0.73	-0.23	0.97	0.32	14	-7	21	16.5	17.2	-0.67	13.9	12.4	1.47
Sergio Rodriguez	37	38	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.25	14	-7	21	16.8	17.0	-0.24	14.1	12.4	1.72
Travis Outlaw	66	66	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.27	9	-2	11	16.6	17.6	-1.06	13.4	12.5	0.86
Joel Przybilla	51	50	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.27	7	0	7	16.5	17.3	-0.76	14.1	12.0	2.06
Nicolas Batum	44	42	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.19	8	-1	9	16.3	17.4	-1.13	12.8	13.3	-0.46
Channing Frye	10	12	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.00	-1	8	-9	19.4	16.6	2.78	12.0	13.2	-1.25
Greg Oden	38	39	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	-0.04	0	7	-7	18.1	16.1	2.03	12.2	13.7	-1.45
Brandon Roy	76	76	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.16	-7	14	-21	16.9	16.8	0.13	12.6	15.1	-2.60
LaMarcus Aldridge	55	56	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	-0.00	-2	9	-11	17.1	16.7	0.39	13.0	13.2	-0.14
Steve Blake	59	58	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	0.04	-7	14	-21	17.0	16.8	0.24	12.4	14.1	-1.72

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Roberson	41	43	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.19	4	-11	15	13.8	12.6	1.16	16.7	17.1	-0.34
Al Harrington	69	69	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.11	0	-7	7	13.7	11.6	2.04	17.6	15.2	2.34
Malik Rose	7	6	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.08	-8	1	-9	15.3	12.9	2.36	15.5	17.0	-1.50
Quentin Richardson	81	77	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.20	-1	-6	5	13.1	13.1	-0.05	17.3	15.4	1.92
David Lee	81	82	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.19	-2	-5	3	12.5	16.5	-4.08	16.8	17.3	-0.44
Chris Duhon	88	88	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.33	-3	-4	1	13.0	14.5	-1.53	16.7	19.0	-2.28
Tim Thomas	44	46	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.26	-9	2	-11	13.2	13.0	0.25	16.8	17.0	-0.20
Wilson Chandler	69	69	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.28	-16	9	-25	12.7	14.0	-1.26	16.4	18.1	-1.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.59,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.63,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.66,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.66,0.66,0.43,0.24,0.23,0.26,0.15,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 102, MIL 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.7,0.69,0.66,0.69,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.59,0.5,0.43,0.42,0.35,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.55,0.59,0.69,0.71,0.64,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.28,0.32,0.41,0.24,0.13,0.14,0.15,0.06,0.04,0	92.7%
SEA 103, DAL 101	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.68,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.77,0.69,0.58,0.54,0.44,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.55,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.57,0.52,0.33,0.42,0.26,0.24,0.1,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.05,0	92.1%
CLE 91, MIL 84	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.65,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.67,0.58,0.68,0.6,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.69,0.63,0.63,0.79,0.7,0.66,0.52,0.38,0.16,0.08,0.09,0.03,0,0.01,0,0,0	91.9%