NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	91		Excitement	6.0 [629]		MVP	Donyell Marshall (CLE): +14.1%
Milwaukee Bucks	84		Comeback	5.0 [161]		LVP	Mo Williams (MIL): -16.3%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donyell Marshall	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.07	0.04	-0.03	13	61%	0.14	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Drew Gooden	0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.10	-0.02	0.02	10	82%	0.14	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
LeBron James	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.04,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.06	0.00	29	49%	0.12	4	-0.07	7	86%	0.02
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.04	-0.02	17	40%	0.04	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.03
Alan Henderson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ira Newble	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Jones	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.02	-0.01	7	21%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Wilks	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Eric Snow	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	3	36%	-0.02	3	-0.09	8	62%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Bogut	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	9	67%	0.11	3	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	15	56%	0.06	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jermaine Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jiri Welsch	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dan Gadzuric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Michael Redd	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08	-0.08	0.03	-0.06	0.06	22	51%	-0.01	2	-0.07	11	100%	0.03
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	12	50%	0.04	4	-0.13	2	50%	-0.02
Toni Kukoc	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	3	0%	-0.07	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.12	-0.05	-0.00	16	32%	-0.11	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.4	28.6	16.4	24.6	2.0	33.2	129.5
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +32.8%

CLE +8.2%

MIL -2.2%

CLE +15.8%

MIL -4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	MIL	NBA	CLE	MIL	NBA
this game	15.5	14.6	15.6	95.8	87.5	104.4
season	16.2	15.5		105.6	104.6
opponent	15.5	15.5		106.0	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	16.4	14.0	15.4	16.3	15.5
MIL	14.2	15.4	15.2	13.7	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donyell Marshall	54	55	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.24	20	-13	33	14.6	16.8	-2.19	14.0	15.4	-1.42
Mike Wilks	30	30	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.29	17	-10	27	16.0	15.3	0.73	14.5	14.7	-0.13
Ira Newble	51	53	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.21	18	-11	29	15.4	15.7	-0.40	14.3	15.1	-0.81
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	74	74	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.37	9	-2	11	15.9	14.4	1.48	14.6	14.5	0.10
LeBron James	90	92	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.29	8	-1	9	15.5	16.4	-0.91	14.5	17.5	-3.00
Alan Henderson	7	7	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	10	-13	15.4	15.5	-0.12	17.3	14.4	2.87
Damon Jones	63	63	-0.27	0.77	-1.03	-0.03	-8	15	-23	15.4	15.8	-0.46	14.6	14.8	-0.20
Eric Snow	52	52	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	0.12	-14	21	-35	15.5	15.6	-0.12	14.9	14.3	0.65
Drew Gooden	54	54	-0.41	0.91	-1.32	-0.06	-12	19	-31	16.3	14.6	1.67	15.3	13.8	1.49

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamaal Magloire	75	75	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.25	9	-16	25	14.2	16.2	-2.06	16.6	11.5	5.05
Andrew Bogut	57	58	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.06	0	-7	7	15.4	13.5	1.83	16.1	14.6	1.50
Michael Redd	83	81	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.28	5	-12	17	14.4	15.8	-1.41	16.3	10.9	5.49
Jermaine Jackson	19	19	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.08	-5	-2	-3	15.5	14.4	1.12	13.8	16.0	-2.18
Jiri Welsch	39	38	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.13	-7	0	-7	13.3	15.5	-2.26	14.7	16.1	-1.33
Mo Williams	86	85	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.16	-7	0	-7	14.3	17.0	-2.65	15.5	15.8	-0.29
Toni Kukoc	27	26	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.03	-14	7	-21	14.9	14.5	0.42	12.4	16.7	-4.29
Bobby Simmons	78	78	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.38	-3	-4	1	15.0	13.2	1.79	16.0	13.4	2.59
Dan Gadzuric	16	15	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.10	-13	6	-19	16.6	14.2	2.40	11.0	16.4	-5.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.65,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.67,0.58,0.68,0.6,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.62,0.69,0.63,0.63,0.79,0.7,0.66,0.52,0.38,0.16,0.08,0.09,0.03,0,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 102, GSW 93	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.75,0.78,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.38,0.36,0.19,0.14,0.08,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0	93.0%
MIN 109, LAC 97	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.68,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.68,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.66,0.79,0.73,0.61,0.61,0.68,0.65,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.71,0.62,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.27,0.21,0.12,0.05,0,0,0,0,0	92.6%
CLE 103, LAL 84	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.52,0.49,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.67,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.43,0.23,0.11,0.15,0.09,0.1,0,0,0,0	92.2%